Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-17

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 12.65s (slow by 2.25s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Eyes (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	15/2	Won
2nd	Secret Daay (GB) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	8/1	.5
3rd	Fighting Chance (GB) Molly Gunn · Simon West	66/1	0.1
4th	Kittybrewster (GB) Tom Eaves · Suzzanne France	25/1	1.25
5th	Beneficiary (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey	3/1	0.3
6th	Doon The Glen (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	6/1	1
7th	Jazzagal (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	12/1	0.2
8th	Deputise (GB) Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	12/1	.5
9th	Fircombe Hall (GB) Hollie Doyle · Philip Kirby	5/2F	0.2
10th	Mutabaahy (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	33/1	1
11th	Ice Cream Castles (GB) Gina Mangan · Heather Main	11/1	1
12th	The White Elephant (GB) Amie Waugh · Simon Waugh	150/1	10

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (12)	Beneficiary Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	134	—	664955	50	66	54	31d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Not beaten far over 5f last month and his best efforts have come over C&D; contender
3 (9)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip Kirby	J:Hollie Doyle T:Philip Kirby	133	p	526-96	49	50	36	24d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three-time C&D winner; down in grade and Hollie Doyle booked; one to take seriously
11 (5)	Doon The Glen Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	v	547507	45	57	37	36d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Attracted some support here last time and fared a bit better; P Mulrennan a good booking
5 (6)	Eyes Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	130	p	643547	46	63	45	17d	—	—	-6	3.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Not easy to win with but conditions fine and ran well here last month; each-way claims
6 (10)	Secret Daay Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	129	b	009395	45	60	17	11d	—	—	-7	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Exposed over 7f but has shown promise; worth another crack at 6f; each-way claims
4 (3)	Jazzagal Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	—	736298	49	62	-	5d	—	—	-2	5	2.75/1	12 8%
Capable at this level but below par the last twice and she has something to prove on AW
1 (1)	Deputise Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	135	—	969170	51	64	52	36d	—	—	+1	6.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Southwell winner in August (6f); less good twice since but can't ignore at this level
10 (7)	Ice Cream Castles Grey J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	128	—	699	45	55	-	25d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Not easily recommended on form but she's bred to do better and this is a weak race
7 (4)	Mutabaahy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	p	610800	45	64	52	36d	—	—	-1	3	6.00/1	25 4%
Inconsistent but conditions no problem and he's prolific in the context of this field
8 (11)	Kittybrewster Brown J:Tom Eaves T:Suzzanne France	J:Tom Eaves T:Suzzanne France	129	—	7-5000	45	55	-	89d	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Placed over C&D as a 2yo; struggled in handicaps; return to AW needs to give her a lift
9 (2)	Fighting Chance Chestnut J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Simon West	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Simon West	129	p	090787	45	49	-	42d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Unplaced in all 16 runs and he's impossible to recommend
12 (8)	The White Elephant Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Simon Waugh	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Simon Waugh	128	—	9-0300	45	51	35	36d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Hint of promise when 3rd at Southwell in March but little encouragement on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Beneficiary	11/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Fircombe Hall	11/4	10/3	11/4	10/3	3
Doon The Glen	6	5	11/2	6	13/2
Eyes	8	7	13/2	7	7
Secret Daay	7	7	6	13/2	7
Jazzagal	12	11	10	12	12
Deputise	16	14	14	16	16
Ice Cream Castles	18	16	12	14	18
Mutabaahy	25	25	22	22	25
Kittybrewster	33/1	40	28	28	33
Fighting Chance	66/1	50	40	50	40
The White Elephant	150	100	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beneficiary

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

11/4

2nd

Deputise

6.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Fircombe Hall

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Jazzagal

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

Secret Daay

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Eyes

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.9

Doon The Glen

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Mutabaahy

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 1

Ice Cream Castles

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Kittybrewster

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Fighting Chance

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

The White Elephant

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Deputise	51	64	52
Beneficiary	50	66	54
Fircombe Hall	49	50	36
Jazzagal	49	62	—
Eyes	46	63	45
Doon The Glen	45	57	37
Secret Daay	45	60	17
Ice Cream Castles	45	55	—
Mutabaahy	45	64	52
Kittybrewster	45	55	—
Fighting Chance	45	49	—
The White Elephant	45	51	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jazzagal	5d ago	Quick return
Secret Daay	11d ago	Quick return
Eyes	17d ago	Fit
Fircombe Hall	24d ago	Fit
Ice Cream Castles	25d ago	Fit
Beneficiary	31d ago	Fit
Doon The Glen	36d ago	Fit
Deputise	36d ago	Fit
Mutabaahy	36d ago	Fit
The White Elephant	36d ago	Fit
Fighting Chance	42d ago	Fit
Kittybrewster	89d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.