BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Maiden Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,104

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Moon Flight Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	424	74	83	62	21d	—	—	-24	27.4	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Below-par fourth over 6f here last time; leading player on his 7f/1m efforts in August
1 (5)	Light Speed Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	133	—	6	-	65	-	10d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Hinted at ability in 7f AW event at Southwell last week, while seeming green
6 (4)	Madam Florence Chestnut J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	126	—	8-5	-	72	19	3d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Encouraging effort over 1m here on Tuesday when back from 15-month layoff
4 (2)	Ribble Rouser Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	131	—	9-333	77	80	-	104d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Modest third over 6f when last seen; holds major claims on his 7f/1m efforts in June
3 (3)	Brazen Rascal Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	131	—	80	-	60	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Down the field in a couple of Southwell contests
5 (1)	Dazamay Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Philip Kirby	J:Cam Hardie T:Philip Kirby	128	—	67	-	54	-	3d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Has achieved little in both outings

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Moon Flight	5/6	8/11	5/6	4/6	4/6
Light Speed	3/1	3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Madam Florence	9/2	4	5/1	11/2	11/2
Ribble Rouser	7/1	6	13/2	6	13/2
Brazen Rascal	80	80	80	50	80
Dazamay	200	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moon Flight

27.4

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 17.9

5/6

2nd

Ribble Rouser

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Light Speed

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Madam Florence

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

11/2

Brazen Rascal

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Dazamay

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ribble Rouser	77	80	—
Moon Flight	74	83	62
Light Speed	—	65	—
Madam Florence	—	72	19
Brazen Rascal	—	60	—
Dazamay	—	54	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Madam Florence	3d ago	Quick return
Dazamay	3d ago	Quick return
Light Speed	10d ago	Quick return
Brazen Rascal	10d ago	Quick return
Moon Flight	21d ago	Fit
Ribble Rouser	104d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.