Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.03s (slow by 2.63s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Moyola (GB) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	8/1	Won
2nd	Miss Rainbow (IRE) James Sullivan · Tracy Waggott	11/1	3.75
3rd	Louella (IRE) Ben Curtis · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	13/2	.5
4th	Dadas Boy (IRE) Hollie Doyle · David Loughnane	11/2	0.05
5th	Torvar (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	15/8F	.5
6th	Chillout Charlie (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	20/1	.75
7th	Socialise (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Nigel Tinkler	7/2	1.75
8th	Clionia (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Gemma Tutty	33/1	1.75
9th	Lady Showcasing (GB) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	40/1	.75
10th	Rock Lodge (GB) Shane Gray · Phillip Makin	33/1	2.75
11th	Entrecasteaux (IRE) Sam James · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	66/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Torvar Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	135	h	565543	60	69	53	7d	—	—	-15	14.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Ran well with hood refitted in higher grade over C&D last week; claims from same mark
8 (11)	Socialise Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Nigel Tinkler	129	p	955444	54	69	43	3d	—	—	-14	7.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Best effort up to 7f here earlier in week; not without a chance back in distance
2 (8)	Louella Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	586322	60	70	-	16d	—	—	+3	16.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Unexposed sort; turned in best effort over 5f at Catterick last time; claims back up to 6f
10 (7)	Dadas Boy Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	124	—	96033	49	65	40	17d	—	—	-3	8.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has bettered form of first three races since going into nurseries; return to 6f could suit
3 (10)	Moyola Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	134	t	836544	59	67	-	16d	—	—	-4	5.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Behind Louella at Catterick last time but worth a try over this trip for this AW debut
4 (3)	Miss Rainbow Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tracy Waggott	J:James Sullivan T:Tracy Waggott	134	—	86363	59	65	48	18d	—	—	+1	8.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Ran respectably over C&D on handicap debut but more needed if she's to win this
11 (12)	Clionia Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Gemma Tutty	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Gemma Tutty	121	—	809	46	62	-	20d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Regressive form in novice events; plenty to prove for this AW and nursery debut
5 (2)	Chillout Charlie Brown J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	876	59	60	-	24d	—	—	0	3.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Has shown ability and may do better back in trip now switched to handicap company
7 (6)	Lady Showcasing Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	586607	55	66	50	10d	—	—	-1	2.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Has shown ability but she'll have to better form of last three runs if she's to figure
6 (9)	Entrecasteaux Grey J:Sam James T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Sam James T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	079	55	59	-	76d	—	—	-1	2	16.25/1	66 2%
Hasn't shown much but has improved with every run; market should guide on AW/nursery debut
12 (1)	Rock Lodge Bay J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	121	v	000458	46	68	-	18d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Well beaten back up in trip over C&D last time; visor needs to have a significant effect
NR (5)	Parsons Meadow Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Philip Kirby	J:Cam Hardie T:Philip Kirby	127	—	3800	52	26	-	18d	—	—	-32	18.9	37.25/1	150 1%
Showed ability on debut but well beaten since, including on AW/nursery debut last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Torvar	13/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	7/4
Socialise	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Louella	11/2	5	5	5	5
Dadas Boy	7	13/2	13/2	7	13/2
Moyola	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Miss Rainbow	10	10	10	10	10
Clionia	22	18	18	18	22
Chillout Charlie	33	28	20	25	28
Lady Showcasing	40	28	22	28	33
Entrecasteaux	66	50	25	40	66
Rock Lodge	66	66	28	40	66
Parsons Meadow	150	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Parsons Meadow

18.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 17.5

150

2nd

Louella

16.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Torvar

14.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 9.4

15/8

Miss Rainbow

8.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.1

Dadas Boy

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Socialise

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Moyola

5.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Chillout Charlie

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lady Showcasing

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Entrecasteaux

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Clionia

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Rock Lodge

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Torvar	60	69	53
Louella	60	70	—
Moyola	59	67	—
Miss Rainbow	59	65	48
Chillout Charlie	59	60	—
Lady Showcasing	55	66	50
Entrecasteaux	55	59	—
Socialise	54	69	43
Parsons Meadow	52	26	—
Dadas Boy	49	65	40
Clionia	46	62	—
Rock Lodge	46	68	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Socialise	3d ago	Quick return
Torvar	7d ago	Quick return
Lady Showcasing	10d ago	Quick return
Louella	16d ago	Fit
Moyola	16d ago	Fit
Dadas Boy	17d ago	Fit
Miss Rainbow	18d ago	Fit
Rock Lodge	18d ago	Fit
Parsons Meadow	18d ago	Fit
Clionia	20d ago	Fit
Chillout Charlie	24d ago	Fit
Entrecasteaux	76d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.