Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 0.17s (slow by 2.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Macarone (GB) Franny Norton · Craig Lidster	7/2	Won
2nd	Vitarli (IRE) Sam James · Craig Lidster	25/1	0.2
3rd	Elliott (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Rebecca Menzies	7/1	0.3
4th	Zachary (GB) Marco Ghiani · Charlie Johnston	9/4F	1
5th	Lotting's Lass (IRE) Gianluca Sanna · John Quinn	11/1	0.2
6th	Stoneacre Girl (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	25/1	0.2
7th	She'sashambles (IRE) Shane Gray · Phillip Makin	66/1	0.05
8th	Mart (GB) G Cheyne · Dylan Cunha	100/30	0.3
9th	Mehigburn (IRE) Ben Curtis · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	16/1	1.5
10th	Belvoir Kitten (GB) Cam Hardie · David C Griffiths	33/1	.5
11th	Jungle Jean (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Katie Scott	18/1	1.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (6)	Zachary Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	387351	54	72	55	6d	—	—	-8	21.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Improved to win on AW debut at Chelmsford last time; penalty to carry but may do better
2 (5)	Mart Grey J:G Cheyne T:Dylan Cunha	J:G Cheyne T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	64566	63	69	47	66d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	-15	11.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Regressive for Michael Bell but has been gelded; interesting after break for new yard
5 (2)	Macarone Bay J:Franny Norton T:Craig Lidster	J:Franny Norton T:Craig Lidster	133	—	049214	61	71	-	32d	—	—	+6	14.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Didn't get home over 6f on soft last time but return to 5f should suit; AW debut
8 (11)	Elliott Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	129	—	6563	57	69	43	22d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Best effort on AW/nursery debut last time and should give another good account
11 (1)	Lottings Lass Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	124	—	666513	52	68	43	16d	—	—	+4	13.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Won on sole AW start and ran well back on turf last time; should give a good account
1 (3)	Jungle Jean Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Katie Scott	J:Hollie Doyle T:Katie Scott	135	—	6405	63	70	19	16d	—	—	-2	5.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Best efforts have been on turf and needs to improve if she's to win this back on AW
9 (7)	Mehigburn Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	—	65685	57	68	67	61d	—	—	-2	3.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Respectable run over C&D on second start but below that level since; gelded since last run
6 (9)	Stoneacre Girl Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	131	p	096	59	66	46	53d	—	—	-2	3.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Best effort on AW debut; needs to step up again to win from this mark on nursery debut
3 (8)	Vitarli Bay J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	135	—	174084	63	69	41	6d	—	—	+1	4.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Hasn't built on early promise and below best on AW debut last time; more needed
12 (12)	Belvoir Kitten Bay J:Cam Hardie T:David C Griffiths	J:Cam Hardie T:David C Griffiths	119	—	070684	47	66	46	22d	—	—	-2	0.9	12.25/1	50 2%
Far from disgraced on first run for yard at Southwell; this stiffer track should suit
NR (10)	Horse Whisperer Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Chris Dwyer	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Chris Dwyer	134	—	966126	62	70	-	10d	—	—	+5	14	2.75/1	12 8%
Improved to win over this trip on nursery debut but didn't get home over 6f last time
7 (4)	Shesashambles Bay J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	129	—	440	57	66	-	30d	—	—	0	2.3	16.25/1	66 2%
Showed ability on debut but below that level since; would want to see market support

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zachary	2	2	15/8	15/8	15/8
Mart	2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Macarone	10	9	8	8	9
Elliott	9	9	17/2	9	8
Lottings Lass	10	9	8	7	8
Jungle Jean	11	12	12	12	12
Mehigburn	16	14	12	14	14
Stoneacre Girl	20	16	18	18	28
Vitarli	33	25	22	22	28
Belvoir Kitten	40	33	28	33	50
Horse Whisperer	12	10	8	8	9
Shesashambles	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zachary

21.4

OR: 1 Form: 11.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Macarone

14.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.4

3rd

Horse Whisperer

OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.5

Lottings Lass

13.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

Mart

11.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Elliott

7.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Jungle Jean

5.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Vitarli

4.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Stoneacre Girl

3.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Mehigburn

3.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Shesashambles

2.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Belvoir Kitten

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mart	63	69	47
Jungle Jean	63	70	19
Vitarli	63	69	41
Horse Whisperer	62	70	—
Macarone	61	71	—
Stoneacre Girl	59	66	46
Elliott	57	69	43
Mehigburn	57	68	67
Shesashambles	57	66	—
Zachary	54	72	55
Lottings Lass	52	68	43
Belvoir Kitten	47	66	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zachary	6d ago	Quick return
Vitarli	6d ago	Quick return
Horse Whisperer	10d ago	Quick return
Lottings Lass	16d ago	Fit
Jungle Jean	16d ago	Fit
Elliott	22d ago	Fit
Belvoir Kitten	22d ago	Fit
Shesashambles	30d ago	Fit
Macarone	32d ago	Fit
Stoneacre Girl	53d ago	Fresh
Mehigburn	61d ago	Fresh
Mart	66d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.