Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:45

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-10-31

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 41.17s (slow by 4.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Revoquable (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	7/2	Won
2nd	Copper Mountain (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	5/2F	0.2
3rd	Foshan (IRE) Billy Garritty · Adam Nicol	22/1	2.75
4th	Two Rivers (IRE) Sam James · Iain Jardine	6/1	1.25
5th	Rubellite (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Stella Barclay	100/1	1
6th	Calleveryoneuknow (GB) Kevin Stott · Amy Murphy	100/30	1.25
7th	Billy McGarry (GB) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	17/2	4.5
8th	Bawaader (IRE) Luke Morris · David Thompson	25/1	.75
9th	Indian Outlaw (IRE) Oisin Orr · Paul Collins	40/1	1.25
10th	Keeponbelieving (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Liam Bailey	10/1	0.1
11th	Mr Coco Bean (USA) Andrew Breslin · Helen Cuthbert	50/1	18

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (12)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	t	698542	50	71	44	25d	—	—	-11	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Came within a neck of ending her losing run over C&D last time; still on a fair mark
6 (4)	Calleveryoneuknow Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Amy Murphy	J:Kevin Stott T:Amy Murphy	131	p	426063	51	65	54	4d	—	—	-15	12.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
0-11, but ran well when third at Lingfield recently; possibilities off the same mark
5 (11)	Revoquable Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	—	147705	49	68	34	33d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has become well handicapped, but ran poorly in one previous visit here
10 (10)	Two Rivers Bay J:Sam James T:Iain Jardine	J:Sam James T:Iain Jardine	128	p	636503	48	63	44	19d	—	—	-5	6.9	1.25/1	6 17%
0-13, but has shown glimpses of ability; frame material on those efforts
1 (6)	Billy McGarry Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	p	-44875	52	64	41	41d	—	—	-7	3.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Disappointing favourite on stable debut last time; interesting to see if backers return
2 (9)	Keeponbelieving Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Liam Bailey	J:Oisin Murphy T:Liam Bailey	134	b	237750	54	66	25	19d	—	—	-4	3.7	2.50/1	11 9%
0-8, but twice ran with credit here in the spring; blinkers on
NR (5)	Royal Prospect Bay J:Graham Lee T:Susan Corbett	J:Graham Lee T:Susan Corbett	133	tp	850627	50	68	45	14d	—	—	-12	10	1.00/1	5 20%
Three-time winner here and second over C&D on penultimate start; cheekpieces on
7 (7)	Foshan Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Adam Nicol	J:Billy Garritty T:Adam Nicol	130	p	373-08	47	66	22	18d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Has shown little in two starts for this yard since returning from 466 days off last month
8 (2)	Bawaader Grey J:Luke Morris T:David Thompson	J:Luke Morris T:David Thompson	129	—	787588	46	62	47	36d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Won a couple of 0-50 classified events at the start of the year, but precious little since
12 (3)	Indian Outlaw Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Paul Collins	J:Oisin Orr T:Paul Collins	126	p	975804	46	64	16	44d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
0-12, but ran with credit at Dundalk for previous stable; worth keeping an eye on
9 (8)	Mr Coco Bean Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Helen Cuthbert	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Helen Cuthbert	129	p	436760	46	62	30	94d	—	—	-1	1.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Has made the frame on several occasions here, but losing run up to 31
11 (1)	Rubellite Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Stella Barclay	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Stella Barclay	126	—	85668	46	46	29	149d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Modest form for William Haggas; watch market on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Copper Mountain	11/4	10/3	3	3	3
Calleveryoneuknow	3	11/4	3	11/4	5/2
Revoquable	4	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Two Rivers	6	6	6	6	6
Billy McGarry	8	17/2	8	7	17/2
Keeponbelieving	11	11	9	11	11
Royal Prospect	5	5	5	5	5
Foshan	16	16	14	16	16
Bawaader	28	22	22	22	22
Indian Outlaw	50	40	33	40	40
Mr Coco Bean	50	40	33	40	40
Rubellite	80	50	40	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Calleveryoneuknow

12.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 4 Odds: 8.4

11/4

2nd

Copper Mountain

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Royal Prospect

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.5

Two Rivers

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.3

Revoquable

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Keeponbelieving

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

Billy McGarry

3.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Foshan

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mr Coco Bean

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Bawaader

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Indian Outlaw

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Rubellite

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Keeponbelieving	54	66	25
Billy McGarry	52	64	41
Calleveryoneuknow	51	65	54
Copper Mountain	50	71	44
Royal Prospect	50	68	45
Revoquable	49	68	34
Two Rivers	48	63	44
Foshan	47	66	22
Bawaader	46	62	47
Indian Outlaw	46	64	16
Mr Coco Bean	46	62	30
Rubellite	46	46	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Calleveryoneuknow	4d ago	Quick return
Royal Prospect	14d ago	Fit
Foshan	18d ago	Fit
Two Rivers	19d ago	Fit
Keeponbelieving	19d ago	Fit
Copper Mountain	25d ago	Fit
Revoquable	33d ago	Fit
Bawaader	36d ago	Fit
Billy McGarry	41d ago	Fit
Indian Outlaw	44d ago	Fit
Mr Coco Bean	94d ago	Long break
Rubellite	149d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.