BetUK Take Time Out During #SGWeek23! Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

BetUK Take Time Out During #SGWeek23! Handicap

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Nazca Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Linda Perratt	J:Callum Shepherd T:Linda Perratt	134	—	001111	60	75	58	18d	—	—	+12	34.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
4-4 since dropped to 6f; could have more to offer and still feasibly treated; solid claims
8 (8)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	131	—	704667	57	75	47	14d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-9	6.2	0.75/1	4 25%
On a dangerous mark and caught the eye here two weeks ago; one to take seriously
4 (11)	Highjacked Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:John Davies	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:John Davies	134	—	-27473	60	75	56	49d	—	—	-2	9.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
On a losing run but last time was better, especially given he pulled hard; one to consider
9 (10)	Lezardrieux Bay J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	131	—	000042	57	77	58	12d	—	—	-1	9.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Near-miss over C&D 12 days ago and he's still well treated despite a 1lb rise; contender
7 (5)	Langholm Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	132	t	332367	58	76	54	4d	—	—	+1	7.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Catterick specialist who has drawn a blank this year; weak finish switched to AW last week
1 (6)	Rich Waters Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	134	—	706705	60	71	-	70d	—	—	-3	4.4	2.75/1	12 8%
On losing run but having first AW start for this yard and it should suit; check betting
11 (9)	Urban Dandy Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	130	p	150544	56	75	71	12d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Two Tapeta wins this year; shaping nicely of late but needs the extra furlong to lift him
5 (2)	Eldeyaar Brown J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	—	077211	59	73	54	52d	—	—	+19	22.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Chasing hat-trick after front-running wins on turf in September; harder to dominate today
10 (12)	Hurstwood Grey J:David Nolan T:Peter Niven	J:David Nolan T:Peter Niven	131	—	578350	57	72	22	12d	—	—	+1	4.2	6.00/1	25 4%
C&D winner; disappointing over 5f here 12 days ago; vulnerable again in this field
12 (3)	Mumcat Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	130	—	652313	56	75	64	15d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win last month and followed it up with a close third; should remain competitive
6 (4)	Spartan Fighter Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	133	v	257880	59	67	43	39d	—	—	0	3	9.75/1	40 3%
Five-time course winner but not scored since March 2022; recent efforts here below par
3 (7)	Eagle Creek Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	800600	60	68	46	14d	—	—	-1	3.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Little encouragement for this yard but he's tumbled down the weights; check betting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Nazca	5/2	10/3	10/3	3	10/3
Water Of Leith	4	4	4	4	4
Highjacked	7	6	13/2	6	13/2
Lezardrieux	8	7	7	7	7
Langholm	12	11	11	11	11
Rich Waters	12	11	11	11	12
Urban Dandy	16	16	14	14	16
Eldeyaar	28	22	22	22	22
Hurstwood	25	25	25	25	25
Mumcat	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Spartan Fighter	40	28	28	28	28
Eagle Creek	20	22	22	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nazca

34.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 25 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Eldeyaar

22.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 1.1

3rd

Mumcat

19.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 13 Odds: 5

9/2

Highjacked

9.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 4 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Lezardrieux

9.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

Langholm

7.5

OR: 2 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

Water Of Leith

6.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Rich Waters

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Hurstwood

4.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Eagle Creek

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Urban Dandy

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Spartan Fighter

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nazca	60	75	58
Highjacked	60	75	56
Rich Waters	60	71	—
Eagle Creek	60	68	46
Eldeyaar	59	73	54
Spartan Fighter	59	67	43
Langholm	58	76	54
Water Of Leith	57	75	47
Lezardrieux	57	77	58
Hurstwood	57	72	22
Urban Dandy	56	75	71
Mumcat	56	75	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Langholm	4d ago	Quick return
Lezardrieux	12d ago	Quick return
Urban Dandy	12d ago	Quick return
Hurstwood	12d ago	Quick return
Water Of Leith	14d ago	Fit
Eagle Creek	14d ago	Fit
Mumcat	15d ago	Fit
Nazca	18d ago	Fit
Spartan Fighter	39d ago	Fit
Highjacked	49d ago	Fresh
Eldeyaar	52d ago	Fresh
Rich Waters	70d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.