BetMGM Take Time Out During #SGWeek23! EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (3 Runs Or Less) (GBB) (Div I)

Newcastle (AW)

13:05

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 30.32s (slow by 6.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Johnny Ringo (GB) Ryan Sexton · Lucinda Russell	6/1	Won
2nd	Dashing Darcey (GB) David Egan · Roger Varian	5/1	0.3
3rd	Puella Law (IRE) Jason Hart · John Quinn	5/1	2
4th	Mahato (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	8/13F	4.25
5th	Filibustering (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	40/1	.75
6th	Triple Force (GB) Andrew Mullen · Ann Duffield	66/1	0.1
7th	Northgate (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	250/1	.5
8th	Alreet Cha (IRE) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	20/1	0.1
9th	Invincible Amy (IRE) Joanna Mason · Gemma Tutty	50/1	1
10th	Alibi Warning (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	200/1	1
11th	A Friend To All (GB) Harry Russell · Mark Walford	125/1	.5
12th	Red Hatter (GB) Paul Mulrennan · John Norton	200/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Mahato Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	136	—	1	-	92	-	29d	—	—	-24	28	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Promising; winner on Windsor debut (6f, soft; form franked); should stay 7f; chance
11 (7)	Puella Law Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	123	—	243	74	86	50	25d	—	—	+1	15.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Shaped with credit on all three starts, including over 7f at Chelmsford; each-way chance.
3 (2)	Dashing Darcey Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	P	-	-	-	21d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
20,000 breeze-up buy; pulled up when favourite for Wolves maiden last month; interesting
4 (8)	Johnny Ringo Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Lucinda Russell	128	t	22	-	87	-	25d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.50/1	7 14%
Two good runs so far (second to Listed-placed filly last time); should go well on AW debut
10 (11)	Alreet Cha Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	123	—	9	-	57	-	32d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Dandy Man filly; 14l ninth of 15 in a York novice on debut last month; should do better
5 (12)	Filibustering Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-brother to 2 winners; dam half-sister to Emily Upjohn; quite an interesting newcomer
12 (10)	Invincible Amy Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	121	—	9	-	30	-	176d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Green when 20l ninth of ten on Redcar debut (6-1); should improve; this a stronger race
2 (5)	Triple Force Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ann Duffield	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ann Duffield	130	—	9	-	61	-	38d	—	—	-2	0.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Well-beaten 80-1 shot on Redcar debut last month (7f, good); others stronger
8 (3)	A Friend To All Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
By Mayson; first foal of a 1m winner; worth a market check on debut
9 (6)	Alibi Warning Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	125	—	77	-	63	16	32d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten in novice events over 5f and 6f here; improvement needed
7 (1)	Red Hatter Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Norton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Norton	126	—	06	-	61	16	49d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Modest efforts so far and would be a surprise winner
6 (4)	Northgate Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	126	—	7	-	52	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Well beaten 100-1 shot in a 1m novice here last month; best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mahato	8/13	8/13	8/13	8/13	8/13
Puella Law	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	4/1
Dashing Darcey	6	5	6	6	11/2
Johnny Ringo	6	7	7	7	7
Alreet Cha	12	20	20	20	18/1
Filibustering	40	33	33	33	33
Invincible Amy	66	40	50	50	40/1
Triple Force	80	50/1	80	80	40/1
A Friend To All	100	125/1	100	100	80
Alibi Warning	200/1	125	125	125	100
Red Hatter	500	200/1	250	250	250
Northgate	500	200	250	250	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mahato

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 18

8/13

2nd

Puella Law

15.9

OR: 6 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Johnny Ringo

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

Dashing Darcey

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Alreet Cha

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Filibustering

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Invincible Amy

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Triple Force

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

A Friend To All

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Alibi Warning

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Red Hatter

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Northgate

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Puella Law	74	86	50
Mahato	—	92	—
Dashing Darcey	—	—	—
Johnny Ringo	—	87	—
Alreet Cha	—	57	—
Filibustering	—	—	—
Invincible Amy	—	30	—
Triple Force	—	61	—
A Friend To All	—	—	—
Alibi Warning	—	63	16
Red Hatter	—	61	16
Northgate	—	52	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Northgate	15d ago	Fit
Dashing Darcey	21d ago	Fit
Puella Law	25d ago	Fit
Johnny Ringo	25d ago	Fit
Mahato	29d ago	Fit
Alreet Cha	32d ago	Fit
Alibi Warning	32d ago	Fit
Triple Force	38d ago	Fit
Red Hatter	49d ago	Fresh
Invincible Amy	176d ago	Long break
Filibustering	—	—
A Friend To All	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.