Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

13:20

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Brunello Breeze Bay J:Franny Norton T:Tom Tate	J:Franny Norton T:Tom Tate	129	b	075631	57	78	65	15d	—	—	-14	27.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
C&D win 15 days ago in sparkling fashion; back up 8lb but may have turned a major corner
10 (1)	Bobby Shaftoe Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	b	432524	60	74	65	3d	—	—	-2	12.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three wins here in February/March and back here for minor honours on last two outings
6 (4)	Letaba Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	135	b	426352	68	73	68	36d	—	—	+2	16	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-11 but twice close second in 1m2f handicaps, including at Chelmsford on latest outing
8 (2)	Isle Of Wolves Bay J:Jason Hart T:Harriet Bethell	J:Jason Hart T:Harriet Bethell	133	p	235243	61	76	68	10d	—	—	0	12.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
2-38 record, with his last win in 2019; stacks of minor honours; big each-way chance
7 (3)	Bustaam Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	134	—	4-3504	67	73	38	7d	—	—	-3	6.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ex-French; 33-1 when fourth of 11 in C&D handicap last Friday and he could build on that
1 (5)	Restorer Grey J:Sam James T:Ian Williams	J:Sam James T:Ian Williams	140	p	445812	68	75	-	53d	—	—	+13	17.9	4.75/1	20 5%
11yo who ended a three-year losing spell in September and beaten a neck next time; player
2 (11)	Painless Potter Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Billy Garritty T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	138	—	46-090	66	73	34	—	—	—	+2	4.6	9.75/1	40 3%
One win each on Flat and over hurdles; some AW minor honours make this look a good mark
4 (8)	Purple Gown Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Adam Nicol	J:Luke Morris T:Adam Nicol	136	t	052965	64	69	31	10d	—	—	+3	5.6	9.75/1	40 3%
2nd on second of five runs for yard; has not yet shone beyond 1m; has first go beyond 1m2f
3 (7)	Sense Of Worth Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	138	—	007007	66	70	53	17d	—	—	+3	4.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Recent results leave plenty to be desired, albeit not beaten far over 1m2f on latest
9 (10)	Typewritten Grey J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	133	p	-33358	61	75	65	141d	—	—	+4	6.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Two respectable runs for new yard; back from a break with a disappointing turf run in June
5 (6)	Polar Princess Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	135	—	4248	68	73	57	100d	—	—	+6	7.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Lightly raced; after wind surgery, market may again guide on this handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral
Brunello Breeze	6/5	11/10
Bobby Shaftoe	9/2	9/2
Letaba	5	11/2
Isle Of Wolves	6	13/2
Bustaam	8	8/1
Restorer	20	18/1
Painless Potter	40	33
Purple Gown	40	40
Sense Of Worth	50	50
Typewritten	50	50
Polar Princess	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brunello Breeze

27.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Restorer

17.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 12 Odds: 1.4

3rd

Letaba

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Isle Of Wolves

12.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Bobby Shaftoe

12.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Polar Princess

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.2

100

Bustaam

6.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Typewritten

6.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

Purple Gown

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

Painless Potter

4.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Sense Of Worth

4.5

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Letaba	68	73	68
Restorer	68	75	—
Polar Princess	68	73	57
Bustaam	67	73	38
Painless Potter	66	73	34
Sense Of Worth	66	70	53
Purple Gown	64	69	31
Isle Of Wolves	61	76	68
Typewritten	61	75	65
Bobby Shaftoe	60	74	65
Brunello Breeze	57	78	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bobby Shaftoe	3d ago	Quick return
Bustaam	7d ago	Quick return
Isle Of Wolves	10d ago	Quick return
Purple Gown	10d ago	Quick return
Brunello Breeze	15d ago	Fit
Sense Of Worth	17d ago	Fit
Letaba	36d ago	Fit
Restorer	53d ago	Fresh
Polar Princess	100d ago	Long break
Typewritten	141d ago	Long break
Painless Potter	—	—