Newcastle (AW)

16:15 ✓ Result

BetMGM: Stay Golden With Responsible Play EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Date 2023-11-17
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,564
Winning Time 1m 26.58s (slow by 2.78s)

Result

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (7)
Involvement
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
137 h 1
-
91
-
51d -28
30
0.13/1
1/2
67%
Won by 4l on his Redcar debut in September and sets a useful standard under a penalty
3 (3)
El Zoud
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
130
-
-
-
-13
5.4
0.75/1
4
25%
Plenty to like on paper and he's an interesting newcomer for leading yard
2 (1)
Daarkom
Bay
J:Adam Farragher(3)
T:William Haggas
J:Adam Farragher(3)
T:William Haggas
130
-
54
-
23d -6
2.2
2.25/1
10
10%
Ran green at Newmarket and he needs a transformation on his second start
7 (4)
Power Shot
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
J:Clifford Lee
T:K R Burke
130
-
-
-
-4
1.4
3.75/1
16
6%
Yard 24% with 2yos here this year and interesting to see how he figures in market
9 (8)
Heat Of Passion
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
J:Luke Morris
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
125
-
-
-
-4
1.4
4.25/1
18
6%
Has a striking pedigree and interesting to see how he figures in the market
8 (6)
Smart Vision
Bay
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Jessica Macey
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Jessica Macey
130 5
-
74
-
185d -2
0.9
6.00/1
25
4%
Some ability at Wetherby (5.5f) in May but he's not been seen since; others preferred
4 (5)
Fortydegree
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Hugo Palmer
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Hugo Palmer
130 t 7
-
61
-
43d -2
0.9
6.75/1
28
4%
18-1 on his Salisbury debut (7f, soft) last month and he finished last of nine
6 (9)
Minstrel Knight
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Edward Bethell
J:P J McDonald
T:Edward Bethell
130
-
-
-
-2
0.8
8.00/1
33
3%
Has a good pedigree and he needs checking in market on debut
5 (2)
Lumenbourg
Bay
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Julie Camacho
J:Ryan Sexton(3)
T:Julie Camacho
130
-
60
-
18d -1
0.5
37.25/1
150
1%
100-1 for C&D novice on recent debut and he ran green before trailing home in 11th of 12
Horse bet365 Coral
Involvement
4/9 1/2
El Zoud
4 4
Daarkom
10 9
Power Shot
16 14
Heat Of Passion
18 16
Smart Vision
25 22
Fortydegree
25 28
Minstrel Knight
33 28
Lumenbourg
150 66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Involvement
30
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20
1/2
2nd El Zoud
5.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4
4
3rd Daarkom
2.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
10
4 Power Shot
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
16
5 Heat Of Passion
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18
6 Smart Vision
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
25
7 Fortydegree
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
28
8 Minstrel Knight
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33
9 Lumenbourg
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
150

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Involvement
91
El Zoud
Daarkom
54
Power Shot
Heat Of Passion
Smart Vision
74
Fortydegree
61
Minstrel Knight
Lumenbourg
60

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Lumenbourg 18d ago Fit
Daarkom 23d ago Fit
Fortydegree 43d ago Fit
Involvement 51d ago Fresh
Smart Vision 185d ago Long break
El Zoud
Power Shot
Heat Of Passion
Minstrel Knight

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.