Germany Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

11:30

Germany Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2023-12-06

Distance 1m55y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £69,776

Winning Time 1m 40.76s (slow by 2.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Simply Maverick (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · P F Yiu	19/5	Won
2nd	Fearless Fire (IRE) Karis Teetan · David A Hayes	16/5F	4.75
3rd	Turin Warrior (AUS) Zac Purton · K L Man	37/10	.75
4th	Legion Of Merit (NZ) Brenton Avdulla · W Y So	16/1	1
5th	Looking Cool (NZ) Mickael Barzalona · F C Lor	16/1	1
6th	Dragon Pride (AUS) Jerry Chau · T P Yung	27/1	0.1
7th	Chateau (IRE) Alexis Badel · J Size	18/1	.5
8th	Super Baby (AUS) L J Ferraris · Mark Newnham	23/1	1
9th	Royal Pride (AUS) James McDonald · C Fownes	51/10	.75
10th	Amazing Boy (IRE) Tom Marquand · C W Chang	44/5	.75
11th	Lucky Gold (NZ) Lyle Hewitson · K W Lui	24/1	0.1
12th	Merchant Prince (AUS) K C Leung · Jamie Richards	80/1	2

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Stormtrouper Bay J:TBC T:C H Yip	J: T:C H Yip	119	—	360089	44	82	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Safely held in all three outings this term; should be showing more off his current mark
R14 (14)	Serangoon b/br J:TBC T:A S Cruz	J: T:A S Cruz	129	tp	750000	54	74	-	25d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	1	—	—
Disappointing since a promising debut; impossible to make a case for in current form
1 (10)	Lucky Gold Bay J:L Hewitson T:K W Lui	J:L Hewitson T:K W Lui	135	b	144707	60	75	-	21d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Dual 7f winner at Sha Tin last season; last two starts have been lacklustre; down in grade
2 (7)	Royal Pride Bay J:James McDonald T:C Fownes	J:James McDonald T:C Fownes	133	—	465440	58	78	-	31d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Off the mark last season and has remained in consistent form; slightly more needed here
3 (3)	Merchant Prince Bay J:K C Leung T:Jamie Richards	J:K C Leung T:Jamie Richards	132	tb	0-0000	57	57	-	31d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
Useful 2yo when trained in Australia but a well-beaten outsider in four local starts
4 (9)	Looking Cool Bay J:Mickael Barzalona T:F C Lor	J:Mickael Barzalona T:F C Lor	129	p	516996	54	77	-	31d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Bettered a couple of modest efforts when a creditable sixth last month; on a workable mark
5 (4)	Super Baby Bay J:L J Ferraris T:Mark Newnham	J:L J Ferraris T:Mark Newnham	126	tb	908898	51	84	-	28d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
7lb lower than when winning over C&D in January but recent form has been underwhelming
6 (11)	Chateau Chestnut J:Alexis Badel T:J Size	J:Alexis Badel T:J Size	125	—	090096	50	76	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Listed winner in Britain but yet to make a significant impact after 11 local starts
7 (12)	Turin Warrior Bay J:Zac Purton T:K L Man	J:Zac Purton T:K L Man	125	b	757822	50	85	-	35d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	—	8.5	—	—
Showing all the right signs that a breakthrough victory is imminent; bold bid likely
8 (2)	Fearless Fire Bay J:Karis Teetan T:David A Hayes	J:Karis Teetan T:David A Hayes	124	b	408824	49	84	-	35d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Long in the tooth now but can still be competitive; enters calculations
9 (6)	Legion Of Merit Grey J:Brenton Avdulla T:W Y So	J:Brenton Avdulla T:W Y So	123	tb	390066	48	80	-	35d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Made a pleasing return to action in October but failed to build on that run last month
10 (5)	Simply Maverick Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:P F Yiu	J:Andrea Atzeni T:P F Yiu	122	—	0095	47	74	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Improving with each start this season; lightly raced and likely to have more to offer
11 (1)	Amazing Boy Bay J:Tom Marquand T:C W Chang	J:Tom Marquand T:C W Chang	121	t	278425	46	79	-	28d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Seemingly in decent nick this season; inside draw to work from; one for the shortlist
12 (8)	Dragon Pride b/br J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	121	v	366210	45	79	-	31d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Ended last season with a Class 5 success; never involved on his belated reappearance

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dragon Pride

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Turin Warrior

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Fearless Fire

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Amazing Boy

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Looking Cool

OR: 1 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Gold

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Royal Pride

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Merchant Prince

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Serangoon

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Super Baby

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Stormtrouper

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Chateau

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Legion Of Merit

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Simply Maverick

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lucky Gold	60	75	—
Royal Pride	58	78	—
Merchant Prince	57	57	—
Serangoon	54	74	—
Looking Cool	54	77	—
Super Baby	51	84	—
Chateau	50	76	—
Turin Warrior	50	85	—
Fearless Fire	49	84	—
Legion Of Merit	48	80	—
Simply Maverick	47	74	—
Amazing Boy	46	79	—
Dragon Pride	45	79	—
Stormtrouper	44	82	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chateau	10d ago	Quick return
Lucky Gold	21d ago	Fit
Simply Maverick	21d ago	Fit
Serangoon	25d ago	Fit
Stormtrouper	28d ago	Fit
Super Baby	28d ago	Fit
Amazing Boy	28d ago	Fit
Royal Pride	31d ago	Fit
Merchant Prince	31d ago	Fit
Looking Cool	31d ago	Fit
Dragon Pride	31d ago	Fit
Turin Warrior	35d ago	Fit
Fearless Fire	35d ago	Fit
Legion Of Merit	35d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.