Australia Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

10:30

Australia Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2023-12-06

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £52,183

Winning Time 1m 10.77s (slow by 1.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Diamond Flare (AUS) L J Ferraris · Mark Newnham	66/10	Won
2nd	Hercules (AUS) Karis Teetan · C H Yip	71/10	0.3
3rd	Easy Two (NZ) Jerry Chau · Jimmy Ting	32/1	0.3
4th	Modest Gentleman (IRE) Lyle Hewitson · K W Lui	31/5	.5
5th	Crystal Powerful (AUS) Brenton Avdulla · W K Mo	7/1	.75
6th	Valhalla (NZ) C Y Ho · C Fownes	12/5F	1.25
7th	H Z Tourbillon (AUS) Tom Marquand · T P Yung	23/1	.75
8th	Goodmanship (AUS) James McDonald · Douglas Whyte	13/1	0.3
9th	Noir Rider (AUS) Hollie Doyle · C W Chang	13/1	0.1
10th	Super Hornet (NZ) Andrea Atzeni · Jamie Richards	49/1	1.25
11th	Noble Boyz (AUS) Alexis Badel · K L Man	9/1	21
12th	Dragon Kingdom (AUS) K C Leung · Y S Tsui	12/1	9.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Brilliant Pioneer Bay J:TBC T:P F Yiu	J: T:P F Yiu	128	t	559528	33	66	-	14d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Maiden; has made progress this campaign (unlucky over C&D last month) and one to consider
R14 (14)	Great Days Bay J:TBC T:P C Ng	J: T:P C Ng	133	p	690096	38	52	-	7d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Appreciated the ease in grade with a more prominent showing over 5f; minor place claims
1 (3)	Diamond Flare Grey J:L J Ferraris T:Mark Newnham	J:L J Ferraris T:Mark Newnham	135	b	580909	40	65	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Downgraded and career-low mark for this return to grass but percentage call is to oppose
2 (12)	H Z Tourbillon Bay J:Tom Marquand T:T P Yung	J:Tom Marquand T:T P Yung	135	t	006503	40	56	-	21d	—	—	—	3	—	—
C&D winner off a much higher mark and can turn tables with Valhalla on these terms
3 (1)	Hercules Brown J:Karis Teetan T:C H Yip	J:Karis Teetan T:C H Yip	133	tb	890805	38	67	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Improved showing behind Valhalla latest; eased 1lb and has the plum inside draw; chances
4 (6)	Valhalla Bay J:C Y Ho T:C Fownes	J:C Y Ho T:C Fownes	133	t	514421	38	57	-	21d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Beat a few of these over C&D three weeks ago; up 6lb but can't rule out in current mood
5 (2)	Crystal Powerful Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:W K Mo	J:Brenton Avdulla T:W K Mo	131	htb	000088	36	65	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Promising 2yo; displayed more zest since being gelded and could be a lively outsider
6 (11)	Goodmanship b/br J:James McDonald T:Douglas Whyte	J:James McDonald T:Douglas Whyte	129	tb	953762	34	56	-	7d	—	—	—	5.9	—	—
Only success was over C&D; hit the bar over 5f a week ago but faces a tricky wide draw
7 (5)	Modest Gentleman Chestnut J:L Hewitson T:K W Lui	J:L Hewitson T:K W Lui	129	tb	724930	34	65	-	14d	—	—	—	3.1	—	—
Local maiden; took a backward step over C&D two weeks ago; can only be watched at present
8 (9)	Dragon Kingdom gr/b J:K C Leung T:Y S Tsui	J:K C Leung T:Y S Tsui	125	—	279500	30	66	-	49d	—	—	—	0	—	—
13lb below his last winning mark (which was over C&D) but hard to fancy on recent evidence
9 (4)	Easy Two Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:Jimmy Ting	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:Jimmy Ting	123	htv	005709	28	59	-	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Ten starts to date and yet to threaten; easily overlooked despite a further ratings dip
10 (7)	Noble Boyz Brown J:Alexis Badel T:K L Man	J:Alexis Badel T:K L Man	120	tv	543794	25	63	-	28d	—	—	—	0.9	—	—
Continues to ease in the ratings and more to like about his recent run in first-time visor
11 (10)	Super Hornet Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Jamie Richards	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Jamie Richards	119	tb	060680	24	62	-	143d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Still winless in 18 starts and a big step forward is needed
12 (8)	Noir Rider Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:C W Chang	J:Hollie Doyle T:C W Chang	118	b	964042	23	60	-	21d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Chased home Valhalla off a career-low mark over C&D three weeks ago; claims on that effort

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Valhalla

15.5

OR: 0 Form: 15.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Goodmanship

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Noir Rider

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Brilliant Pioneer

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Modest Gentleman

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0

—

H Z Tourbillon

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Noble Boyz

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Great Days

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Diamond Flare

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Hercules

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Crystal Powerful

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dragon Kingdom

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Easy Two

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Super Hornet

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Diamond Flare	40	65	—
H Z Tourbillon	40	56	—
Great Days	38	52	—
Hercules	38	67	—
Valhalla	38	57	—
Crystal Powerful	36	65	—
Goodmanship	34	56	—
Modest Gentleman	34	65	—
Brilliant Pioneer	33	66	—
Dragon Kingdom	30	66	—
Easy Two	28	59	—
Noble Boyz	25	63	—
Super Hornet	24	62	—
Noir Rider	23	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Great Days	7d ago	Quick return
Goodmanship	7d ago	Quick return
Diamond Flare	10d ago	Quick return
Brilliant Pioneer	14d ago	Fit
Modest Gentleman	14d ago	Fit
Easy Two	14d ago	Fit
H Z Tourbillon	21d ago	Fit
Hercules	21d ago	Fit
Valhalla	21d ago	Fit
Crystal Powerful	21d ago	Fit
Noir Rider	21d ago	Fit
Noble Boyz	28d ago	Fit
Dragon Kingdom	49d ago	Fresh
Super Hornet	143d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.