Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:45

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-01-19

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 0.33s (slow by 2.83s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pepsi Cat (IRE) David Allan · Steph Hollinshead	4/1	Won
2nd	Moon Flight (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	13/8F	.75
3rd	Dark Kestrel (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	40/1	.5
4th	Nelson Gay (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	11/1	0.1
5th	Rodborough (GB) Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	7/2	0.2
6th	Not Too Real Bad (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Michael Appleby	20/1	1.75
7th	Ramon Di Loria (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Ewan Whillans	10/1	2
8th	Mokaatil (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Ian Williams	11/1	.5
9th	Majeski Man (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	18/1	1.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Moon Flight Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	134	—	4221-2	74	92	73	12d	—	—	-12	21.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Close second in Class 3 race at Wolverhampton on debut for new yard; up 1lb in future
5 (8)	Rodborough Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	132	p	495-21	72	88	76	8d	—	—	-8	11.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Success last week took her Southwell record to 3-4; in good form but is 0-10 elsewhere
3 (1)	Pepsi Cat Bay J:David Allan T:Steph Hollinshead	J:David Allan T:Steph Hollinshead	135	t	22211-	75	90	73	20d	—	—	+18	32.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has form figures of 1222211 since running in 5f handicaps; progressive at this trip
2 (9)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	135	p	87623-	75	89	75	20d	—	—	+6	15.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won narrowly off this mark over C&D last June; ties in with Pepsi Cat on latest effort
9 (5)	Not Too Real Bad Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Appleby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Appleby	119	tp	06-082	59	91	81	10d	—	—	-3	4.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran well in first-time cheekpieces at Southwell last week; now 3lb lower; shortlisted
8 (3)	Mokaatil Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	122	b	844-57	62	87	78	4d	—	—	-1	4.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Some encouraging efforts of late but his 18-race losing sequence is a negative
7 (2)	Ramon Di Loria Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton T:Ewan Whillans	129	—	38145-	69	89	75	20d	—	—	+7	11.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Never landed a blow (behind Pepsi Cat and Nelson Gay) last time; opposed
1 (6)	Majeski Man Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	99022-	75	88	-	154d	—	—	+12	15.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Close second in two races at Thirsk in August when last seen; had wind surgery since
6 (7)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	t	02807-	71	82	47	70d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+5	7.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Comfortably held in two AW events for new yard; enough to prove dropped in trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Moon Flight	13/8	13/8	13/8	7/4	13/8
Rodborough	3/1	10/3	3/1	10/3	3/1
Pepsi Cat	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Nelson Gay	10/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	8/1
Not Too Real Bad	16/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Mokaatil	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Ramon Di Loria	18/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Majeski Man	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Dark Kestrel	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pepsi Cat

32.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 22 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Moon Flight

21.6

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

7/4

3rd

Majeski Man

15.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Nelson Gay

15.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Ramon Di Loria

11.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Rodborough

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Dark Kestrel

7.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Mokaatil

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Not Too Real Bad

4.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pepsi Cat	75	90	73
Nelson Gay	75	89	75
Majeski Man	75	88	—
Moon Flight	74	92	73
Rodborough	72	88	76
Dark Kestrel	71	82	47
Ramon Di Loria	69	89	75
Mokaatil	62	87	78
Not Too Real Bad	59	91	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mokaatil	4d ago	Quick return
Rodborough	8d ago	Quick return
Not Too Real Bad	10d ago	Quick return
Moon Flight	12d ago	Quick return
Pepsi Cat	20d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	20d ago	Fit
Ramon Di Loria	20d ago	Fit
Dark Kestrel	70d ago	Fresh
Majeski Man	154d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.