Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

14:50

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-01-19

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 29.06s (slow by 3.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sea The Buckthorn (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Mark Usher	100/30C	Won
2nd	Fieldsman (USA) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	7/2	.5
3rd	Ok Pal (GB) Hollie Doyle · Adrian Wintle	28/1	1.25
4th	Outreach (GB) George Bass · Mark Usher	100/30C	0.2
5th	Van Zant (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	100/30C	.5
6th	Available Angel (GB) P J McDonald · John Mackie	9/1	0.1
7th	Musaytir (IRE) Joanna Mason · Grace Harris	66/1	.5
8th	Kraken Diamond (IRE) David Probert · Brian Toomey	12/1	1
9th	Say Grace (IRE) William Carson · Grace Harris	50/1	4.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Outreach Grey J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	134	—	62621-	52	69	54	24d	—	—	-1	22.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Off the mark over C&D on Boxing Day and he's gone up just 2lb; key player
3 (8)	Fieldsman Bay J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	134	—	5751-2	52	68	58	14d	—	—	-8	11.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
12yo who won at Southwell in December and went close there last time; solid claims
7 (4)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Usher	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Usher	129	h	7644-3	47	65	57	9d	—	—	-11	8.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-13 but eyecatching fourth over C&D on Boxing Day and might not be far away
6 (5)	Van Zant Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	2531-8	47	66	60	11d	—	—	-14	5.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won over C&D on Boxing Day; disappointing at Newcastle since but could bounce back
1 (7)	Kraken Diamond Bay J:David Probert T:Brian Toomey	J:David Probert T:Brian Toomey	135	—	/0000-	53	60	-	42d	—	—	-7	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hasn't achieved much but lightly raced and new trainer has made promising start to career
8 (2)	Available Angel Bay J:P J McDonald T:John Mackie	J:P J McDonald T:John Mackie	128	p	25340-	46	64	57	32d	—	—	-3	4.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Finished last here most recently but two good runs here previously; not ruled out each-way
5 (10)	Ok Pal Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Wintle	J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Wintle	132	p	1490-8	50	62	34	12d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well beaten on final two runs for Tony Carroll and down the field here on stable debut
9 (9)	Say Grace Bay J:William Carson T:Grace Harris	J:William Carson T:Grace Harris	128	p	0753-6	46	62	46	4d	—	—	-3	1.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Third over C&D on Boxing Day but well beaten here since; back to having something to prove
10 (1)	Musaytir Grey J:Joanna Mason T:Grace Harris	J:Joanna Mason T:Grace Harris	128	v	007-69	46	58	30	4d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Just 1-39 and hasn't been shaping as though she's about to add a second win
NR (3)	Swiss Rowe Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Mark Loughnane	134	p	4004-8	52	64	44	14d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Inconsistent and well beaten last time but in the shake-up if he's on a going day

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Outreach	3/1	11/4	11/4	9/4	9/4
Fieldsman	3/1	9/2	5/1	7/2	9/2
Sea The Buckthorn	6/1	7/2	3/1	6/1	3/1
Van Zant	13/2	4/1	7/2	11/2	10/3
Kraken Diamond	13/2	9/1	17/2	13/2	9/1
Available Angel	16/1	10/1	10/1	16/1	10/1
Ok Pal	16/1	16/1	11/1	14/1	14/1
Say Grace	18/1	33/1	33/1	22/1	33/1
Musaytir	40/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Outreach

22.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 15 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Fieldsman

11.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

5/1

3rd

Sea The Buckthorn

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

6/1

Van Zant

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

13/2

Available Angel

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.2

16/1

Kraken Diamond

3.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Ok Pal

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Say Grace

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Musaytir

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Swiss Rowe

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kraken Diamond	53	60	—
Outreach	52	69	54
Fieldsman	52	68	58
Swiss Rowe	52	64	44
Ok Pal	50	62	34
Sea The Buckthorn	47	65	57
Van Zant	47	66	60
Available Angel	46	64	57
Say Grace	46	62	46
Musaytir	46	58	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Say Grace	4d ago	Quick return
Musaytir	4d ago	Quick return
Sea The Buckthorn	9d ago	Quick return
Van Zant	11d ago	Quick return
Ok Pal	12d ago	Quick return
Fieldsman	14d ago	Fit
Swiss Rowe	14d ago	Fit
Outreach	24d ago	Fit
Available Angel	32d ago	Fit
Kraken Diamond	42d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.