Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)

Warwick

13:05

Date 2024-01-22

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize £4,221

Winning Time 4m 1.20s (slow by 25.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Givemefive (IRE) Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham	2/1	Won
2nd	Orchestra (FR) Paddy Brennan · Fergal O'Brien	5/4F	18
3rd	Royal Deeside (GB) Daryl Jacob · Alan King	14/1	2.5
4th	Camarrate (IRE) Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	9/1	2.5
5th	Sir Cilia (GB) Ben Poste · Matt Crawley	400/1	8.5
6th	Chester Tonik (FR) Ben Jones · Alexandra Dunn	200/1	39
7th	Snow Forecast (GB) Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	500/1	.75
8th	Ceilidh King (GB) Lorcan Williams · Jack Jones	300/1	6
9th	Demilion (IRE) Charlie Deutsch · Alexandra Dunn	150/1	2.75

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Baltic Voyage (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Anthony Honeyball	11/1
P.U.	Jumeirah King (GB) Jonathan Burke · Anthony Honeyball	5/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Orchestra Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	154	—	2	-	114	106	23d	—	—	-19	16.4	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Good second on hurdle/stable debut last month (front two clear; well backed); solid claims
1	Givemefive Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	161	—	1	-	110	95	46d	—	—	-4	15.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Flat winner who created positive impression at Market Rasen on hurdle debut; good claims
8	Jumeirah King Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Jonathan Burke T:Anthony Honeyball	154	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Seven-race maiden on the Flat; sold 34,000gns in October; tongue tied for hurdle debut
2	Baltic Voyage Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	154	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Useful Flat winner (RPR 91); sold 52,000gns in Oct; now tongue tied; can race too freely
3	Camarrate Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
1m4f AW win for G Tuer in September (RPR 81); sold 70,000gns since; newcomer of interest
10	Royal Deeside Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Alan King	J:Daryl Jacob T:Alan King	154	—	62	-	98	92	33d	—	—	0	6.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Needs to step up on his two hurdle runs so far; others appeal more
5	Chester Tonik Chestnut J:Ben Jones T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Ben Jones T:Alexandra Dunn	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
1m2f Flat winner for P Chapple-Hyam last May; others had stronger Flat form; yard run two
6	Demilion Grey J:Charlie Deutsch T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Alexandra Dunn	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Ended time with C Johnston quietly but capable at best on the Flat (RPR 87); yard run two
4	Ceilidh King Chestnut J:Lorcan Williams T:Jack Jones	J:Lorcan Williams T:Jack Jones	154	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Limitations well established on the Flat; change of code needs to have a dramatic effect
11	Sir Cilia Bay J:Ben Poste T:Matt Crawley	J:Ben Poste T:Matt Crawley	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Poor form on the Flat and he's hard to recommend now changing code
12	Snow Forecast Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Poor Flat form for J Portman; best watched after an absence
NR	Djerbanni Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ian Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ian Williams	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Promising 1m7f winner in France; sold 52,000euros in July; betting instructive

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Orchestra	5/4	5/4	5/4
Givemefive	3/1	3/1	3/1
Jumeirah King	13/2	13/2	13/2
Baltic Voyage	17/2	17/2	17/2
Camarrate	6/1	6/1	6/1
Royal Deeside	10/1	10/1	10/1
Chester Tonik	150/1	150/1	150/1
Demilion	100/1	100/1	100/1
Ceilidh King	150/1	150/1	150/1
Sir Cilia	250/1	250/1	250/1
Snow Forecast	250/1	250/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Orchestra

16.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

5/4

2nd

Givemefive

15.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Royal Deeside

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Camarrate

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Jumeirah King

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Baltic Voyage

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Demilion

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Chester Tonik

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Ceilidh King

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Sir Cilia

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Snow Forecast

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Djerbanni

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Orchestra	—	114	106
Givemefive	—	110	95
Jumeirah King	—	—	—
Baltic Voyage	—	—	—
Camarrate	—	—	—
Royal Deeside	—	98	92
Chester Tonik	—	—	—
Demilion	—	—	—
Ceilidh King	—	—	—
Sir Cilia	—	—	—
Snow Forecast	—	—	—
Djerbanni	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Orchestra	23d ago	Fit
Royal Deeside	33d ago	Fit
Givemefive	46d ago	Fresh
Jumeirah King	—	—
Baltic Voyage	—	—
Camarrate	—	—
Chester Tonik	—	—
Demilion	—	—
Ceilidh King	—	—
Sir Cilia	—	—
Snow Forecast	—	—
Djerbanni	—	—