Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

Date 2024-02-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 24.54s (fast by 0.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Newsreader (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	11/2	Won
2nd	Lessay (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	5/4F	1.75
3rd	Spirit Of The Rose (GB) Luke Morris · Clive Cox	25/1	2.25
4th	Thunder Flow (IRE) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	14/1	1.75
5th	Never Better (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	5/1	1
6th	Stacey Racey (GB) Josephine Gordon · Keiran Burke	250/1	4.25
7th	Sold The Dream (GB) William Cox · Charles Hills	150/1	1.25
8th	Miss Oxford (GB) Raul Da Silva · Roger Varian	40/1	0.05
9th	Ormering Tide (IRE) Hollie Doyle · David Evans	66/1	14
10th	Road To Wembley (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	80/1	1.25
11th	Not Afraid (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	11/4	0.3
12th	Glad Hope (GB) George Rooke · John Flint	250/1	25
13th	Amarilla Girl (GB) Aidan Keeley · P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	300/1	15

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Lessay Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	1-2	84	87	82	32d	—	—	-5	32.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Ties in with Newsreader on both C&D performances, caught near the finish latest
4 (3)	Not Afraid Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	5-	-	67	57	84d	—	—	-18	7.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Showed promise here in November; withdrawn (upset in stalls) in December
3 (2)	Never Better Brown J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
165,000euros 2yo; by No Nay Never and from a very classy family; interesting
2 (4)	Newsreader Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	7-1	-	84	79	32d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Got up late to collar Lessay over C&D last month; open to further progress
8 (6)	Thunder Flow Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	126	t	8-5	-	78	54	32d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
May well take another step forward with this longer trip worth exploring
12 (1)	Spirit Of The Rose Bay J:Luke Morris T:Clive Cox	J:Luke Morris T:Clive Cox	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Showcasing half-sister to two winners for her connections; respected newcomer
11 (12)	Miss Oxford b/br J:Raul Da Silva T:Roger Varian	J:Raul Da Silva T:Roger Varian	121	—	6-4	-	80	54	22d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Both starts on Tapeta, better effort when fourth at Newcastle latest
6 (8)	Road To Wembley Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	126	h	579-	-	65	46	85d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Needs improvement for the gelding operation and first-time hood
5 (7)	Ormering Tide Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
20,000euros 2yo; Bungle Inthejungle half-brother to four winners
7 (11)	Sold The Dream Bay J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	126	—	0-8	-	59	41	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Down the field in a couple of C&D events
9 (10)	Amarilla Girl Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	121	b	P-8	-	-	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
One to treat with caution judged on her Chelmsford efforts
10 (13)	Glad Hope Chestnut J:George Rooke T:John Flint	J:George Rooke T:John Flint	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Waldgeist filly; yard isn't noted for debut scorers
13 (9)	Stacey Racey Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	121	—	80-	-	71	31	63d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Down the field in both runs

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lessay	11/8	5/4	5/4	11/8	5/4
Not Afraid	9/4	5/2	9/4	85/40	9/4
Never Better	5/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Newsreader	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
Thunder Flow	16/1	18/1	22/1	18/1	18/1
Spirit Of The Rose	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Miss Oxford	25/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Road To Wembley	25/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Ormering Tide	40/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Sold The Dream	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Amarilla Girl	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Glad Hope	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Stacey Racey	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lessay

32.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Newsreader

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Not Afraid

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Never Better

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Thunder Flow

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Spirit Of The Rose

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Miss Oxford

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Road To Wembley

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Ormering Tide

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Sold The Dream

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Glad Hope

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Stacey Racey

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Amarilla Girl

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lessay	84	87	82
Not Afraid	—	67	57
Never Better	—	—	—
Newsreader	—	84	79
Thunder Flow	—	78	54
Spirit Of The Rose	—	—	—
Miss Oxford	—	80	54
Road To Wembley	—	65	46
Ormering Tide	—	—	—
Sold The Dream	—	59	41
Amarilla Girl	—	—	—
Glad Hope	—	—	—
Stacey Racey	—	71	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sold The Dream	16d ago	Fit
Miss Oxford	22d ago	Fit
Amarilla Girl	25d ago	Fit
Lessay	32d ago	Fit
Newsreader	32d ago	Fit
Thunder Flow	32d ago	Fit
Stacey Racey	63d ago	Fresh
Not Afraid	84d ago	Fresh
Road To Wembley	85d ago	Fresh
Never Better	—	—
Spirit Of The Rose	—	—
Ormering Tide	—	—
Glad Hope	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.