Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-02-10

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 26.94s (slow by 0.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Billy Mill (GB) Saffie Osborne · Rod Millman	15/2	Won
2nd	He's A Gentleman (IRE) Kevin Stott · Hugo Palmer	7/2J	0.2
3rd	Algheed (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	12/1	0.2
4th	Remarkable Force (IRE) Tom Marquand · Brian Toomey	11/1	0.05
5th	Surprise Picture (IRE) Billy Garritty · Grant Tuer	18/1	1.25
6th	Wiseacre (IRE) Luke Morris · D Donovan	22/1	.5
7th	Thapa Vc (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Mark Rimell	17/2	.5
8th	Royal Musketeer (GB) David Allan · Steph Hollinshead	22/1	1.5
9th	She's Centimental (USA) Jack Mitchell · Alice Haynes	14/1	3
10th	Eden Storm (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	7/1	1
11th	A Pint Of Bear (IRE) P J McDonald · Scott Dixon	22/1	7
12th	Baileysgutfeeling (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	7/2J	3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	Baileysgutfeeling Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	133	p	60508-	78	88	37	149d	—	—	-9	13.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Starts out for new yard off reduced mark & after a wind op; cheekpieces added; interesting
4 (5)	He's A Gentleman Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Hugo Palmer	J:Kevin Stott T:Hugo Palmer	133	v	31212-	78	91	74	53d	—	—	+14	29.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two wins and two seconds from his last four starts (all here); should remain competitive
7 (8)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Rimell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Rimell	131	t	7311-7	76	92	76	21d	—	—	-2	9.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ended 2023 with two 7f wins; not at his best last time but not impossibly handicapped
3 (7)	Eden Storm Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	134	—	0561-8	79	92	69	22d	—	—	+1	9.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Both career wins have come over C&D; below par last time but still has time to do better
6 (2)	Billy Mill Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	132	—	219-03	77	94	82	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	9.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Close 3rd in this race last year off 5lb higher; should be at concert pitch now; contender
1 (3)	Remarkable Force Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Brian Toomey	J:Tom Marquand T:Brian Toomey	136	b	0392-7	81	93	62	30d	—	—	+1	10.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Went close on stable debut but less good last month; change of headgear tonight
9 (6)	She's Centimental Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Alice Haynes	J:Jack Mitchell T:Alice Haynes	129	—	865-81	74	95	72	14d	—	—	+1	7.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Popped up in cheekpieces two weeks ago; headgear off today and this trip a query
8 (1)	Algheed Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	6348-2	75	92	83	19d	—	—	+6	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Conditions to suit and she ran creditably last time; others perhaps better treated though
12 (10)	A Pint Of Bear Grey J:P J McDonald T:Scott Dixon	J:P J McDonald T:Scott Dixon	121	p	88-157	66	92	71	5d	—	—	0	5.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
C&D win last month but held twice in Class 5 since and now steps up a grade
10 (12)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Grant Tuer	J:Billy Garritty T:Grant Tuer	127	v	06-214	72	94	83	18d	—	—	+2	6.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Two C&D wins since September but he's opposable from the widest stall
2 (4)	Wiseacre Grey J:Luke Morris T:D Donovan	J:Luke Morris T:D Donovan	134	p	8641-6	79	91	60	22d	—	—	+5	8.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ran away with a 1m AW handicap last summer; never dangerous on recent stable debut
11 (11)	Royal Musketeer Bay J:David Allan T:Steph Hollinshead	J:David Allan T:Steph Hollinshead	124	—	6391-5	69	93	81	22d	—	—	+2	6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
7f win at Southwell in December; raced too freely latest; tricky draw to overcome here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Baileysgutfeeling	5/2	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4
He's A Gentleman	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Thapa Vc	8/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Eden Storm	9/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2
Billy Mill	9/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Remarkable Force	10/1	9/1	11/1	17/2	9/1
She's Centimental	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Algheed	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
A Pint Of Bear	14/1	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Surprise Picture	22/1	18/1	22/1	16/1	18/1
Wiseacre	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Royal Musketeer	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

He's A Gentleman

29.5

OR: 7 Form: 18.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Baileysgutfeeling

13.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Algheed

13.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Remarkable Force

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Thapa Vc

9.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Eden Storm

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Billy Mill

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Wiseacre

8.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

She's Centimental

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Surprise Picture

6.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Royal Musketeer

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

A Pint Of Bear

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Remarkable Force	81	93	62
Eden Storm	79	92	69
Wiseacre	79	91	60
Baileysgutfeeling	78	88	37
He's A Gentleman	78	91	74
Billy Mill	77	94	82
Thapa Vc	76	92	76
Algheed	75	92	83
She's Centimental	74	95	72
Surprise Picture	72	94	83
Royal Musketeer	69	93	81
A Pint Of Bear	66	92	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
A Pint Of Bear	5d ago	Quick return
Billy Mill	14d ago	Fit
She's Centimental	14d ago	Fit
Surprise Picture	18d ago	Fit
Algheed	19d ago	Fit
Thapa Vc	21d ago	Fit
Eden Storm	22d ago	Fit
Wiseacre	22d ago	Fit
Royal Musketeer	22d ago	Fit
Remarkable Force	30d ago	Fit
He's A Gentleman	53d ago	Fresh
Baileysgutfeeling	149d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.