Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:35

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-02-24

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Winning Time 1m 39.12s (slow by 1.42s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Benavente (GB) Shane Gray · Kevin Thomas Coleman	9/2	Won
2nd	Star Zinc (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Rebecca Menzies	100/30F	1.25
3rd	Cavalluccio (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	12/1	0.3
4th	Thapa Vc (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Mark Rimell	11/1	1.25
5th	Eagle Day (IRE) Hollie Doyle · David Evans	18/5	2.25
6th	Cusack (GB) Jonny Peate · David Thompson	7/1	1.25
7th	Visibility (IRE) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	25/1	.5
8th	Eden Storm (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	33/1	4.25
9th	Innse Gall (GB) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	22/1	0.3
10th	Wiseacre (IRE) Joanna Mason · D Donovan	20/1	1.25
11th	Perseverants (FR) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	28/1	0.3
12th	Plastic Paddy (GB) Luke Morris · Michael Appleby	17/2	1.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Eagle Day Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	132	t	113-63	77	93	83	15d	—	—	-6	12	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Ended 2023 on the up; too free upped in distance last time but still ran well; considered
7 (7)	Star Zinc Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Rebecca Menzies	131	—	6-2721	76	93	82	7d	—	—	-6	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Talented and comes here after a good win at Newcastle last week (7f); C&D winner; chance
1 (12)	Benavente Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	133	—	5122-4	78	94	69	20d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Irish raider; close 4th over 7f at Newcastle latest; return to 1m looks a plus; e-w shout
12 (1)	Cusack Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	130	p	22-311	75	95	67	11d	—	—	-1	8.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Marked improvement the last twice and could notch the hat-trick in his current form
9 (5)	Plastic Paddy Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	130	p	30-032	75	95	71	10d	—	—	0	8.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
His five AW wins have come over this trip; placed over 7f the last twice; one to consider
11 (11)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Mark Rimell	J:Jack Mitchell T:Mark Rimell	130	t	311-77	75	93	78	14d	—	—	+2	7.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
All nine wins have come at 7f but stays 1m; needs to raise his game to take this
10 (3)	Cavalluccio Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	130	b	162-12	75	92	76	34d	—	—	+3	7.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Progressing well over 1m2f at Chelmsford; career-high mark to deal with back at 1m
2 (10)	Wiseacre Grey J:Joanna Mason T:D Donovan	J:Joanna Mason T:D Donovan	133	p	641-66	78	92	80	14d	—	—	+4	8.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Late headway over 7f in two runs for this yard; only 1m run resulted in wide-margin win
6 (8)	Innse Gall Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	131	—	1856-7	76	92	56	44d	—	—	+3	7.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Encouraging start for new connections here last month; back to last winning mark
5 (4)	Perseverants Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	132	—	82027-	77	93	-	286d	—	—	+10	12.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fair mark on last season's best but he is returning from nine months off in a warm race
8 (2)	Visibility Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	131	—	14-470	76	92	80	25d	—	—	+4	7.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Conditions suitable but he needs to step up on his last couple of efforts
3 (9)	Eden Storm Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	133	—	561-80	78	93	70	14d	—	—	+5	7.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
7f win at Wolverhampton in December; less good twice since; new trip needs to spark extra

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Eagle Day	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Star Zinc	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Benavente	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cusack	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Plastic Paddy	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Thapa Vc	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Cavalluccio	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Wiseacre	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Innse Gall	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Perseverants	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Visibility	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Eden Storm	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Perseverants

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

2nd

Eagle Day

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Star Zinc

11.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Benavente

10.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Cusack

8.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Plastic Paddy

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Wiseacre

8.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Thapa Vc

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Innse Gall

7.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Eden Storm

7.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Cavalluccio

7.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Visibility

7.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Benavente	78	94	69
Wiseacre	78	92	80
Eden Storm	78	93	70
Eagle Day	77	93	83
Perseverants	77	93	—
Star Zinc	76	93	82
Innse Gall	76	92	56
Visibility	76	92	80
Cusack	75	95	67
Plastic Paddy	75	95	71
Thapa Vc	75	93	78
Cavalluccio	75	92	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Zinc	7d ago	Quick return
Plastic Paddy	10d ago	Quick return
Cusack	11d ago	Quick return
Thapa Vc	14d ago	Fit
Wiseacre	14d ago	Fit
Eden Storm	14d ago	Fit
Eagle Day	15d ago	Fit
Benavente	20d ago	Fit
Visibility	25d ago	Fit
Cavalluccio	34d ago	Fit
Innse Gall	44d ago	Fit
Perseverants	286d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.