Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:25

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-03-01

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 2m 12.53s (slow by 5.03s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Asgard's Captain (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Dylan Cunha	11/8F	Won
2nd	Sense Of Worth (IRE) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	10/1	2
3rd	Explorers Way (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	12/1	1.25
4th	Percy Willis (GB) Hollie Doyle · Jedd O'Keeffe	12/1	.5
5th	Cusack (GB) Jonny Peate · David Thompson	7/2	1.25
6th	My Little Queens (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	14/1	2.75
7th	Urban Road (GB) Sean Kirrane · Alan Brown	9/1	0.3
8th	Midnight Lion (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	100/1	1.75
9th	Law Supreme (FR) Dougie Costello · Ian Williams	25/1	1
10th	The Vik (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	80/1	3.75
11th	Emperor Caradoc (FR) Harry Russell · Paul Midgley	100/1	.75
12th	Skilled Warrior (IRE) Joanna Mason · Grant Tuer	12/1	3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (10)	Asgard's Captain Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	133	—	1-1521	73	86	75	4d	—	—	-13	25.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Has progressed again for his new yard this year; shortlisted under a 5lb penalty
1 (7)	Cusack Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	135	p	2-3116	75	90	63	6d	—	—	-2	14.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
The return here will help but he has to prove he can do it off this high a mark
11 (4)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Alan Brown	J:Sean Kirrane T:Alan Brown	126	v	0-2194	66	88	65	15d	—	—	-3	6.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Unlucky not to go closer on Polytrack last time; goes on the shortlist off the same mark
6 (2)	Skilled Warrior Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Grant Tuer	J:Joanna Mason T:Grant Tuer	132	p	68-488	72	93	73	18d	—	—	0	7.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Regressive and needs to improve a deal on recent efforts to take this
12 (12)	Explorers Way Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	123	—	80-411	63	86	55	20d	—	—	-1	5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Four course wins in the last six months; this is tougher upped 4lb but enters calculations
9 (6)	Sense Of Worth Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	128	—	51-932	68	87	66	18d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Found his level again this winter and nothing wrong with his latest second; player
7 (5)	Percy Willis Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jedd O'Keeffe	130	p	554-85	70	88	77	11d	—	—	0	6.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Consistent enough all winter bar a couple of blips over hurdles, and holds each-way claims
2 (8)	My Little Queens Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	133	—	643-90	73	86	43	21d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hard to get excited by her record on Tapeta and she's some way down the pecking order
3 (11)	Law Supreme Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Ian Williams	J:Dougie Costello T:Ian Williams	133	t	6-2270	73	88	59	21d	—	—	+3	6.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has run poorly twice since two seconds over shorter in January; isn't obviously fancied
8 (1)	Emperor Caradoc Bay J:Harry Russell T:Paul Midgley	J:Harry Russell T:Paul Midgley	129	—	330-60	69	87	77	28d	—	—	+3	5.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Not looked to see out 1m in a few tries and this is a step into the unknown stamina-wise
10 (9)	The Vik Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	128	—	821/0-	68	85	-	325d	—	—	+3	5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Off since a poor one last spring but worth a look in the market for a yard in decent nick
5 (3)	Midnight Lion Brown J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	t	418-06	72	79	44	25d	—	—	+4	5.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Poor for this yard and would want to see good support before considering him

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Asgard's Captain	5/4	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4
Cusack	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Urban Road	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Skilled Warrior	12/1	11/1	17/2	10/1	9/1
Explorers Way	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sense Of Worth	10/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Percy Willis	14/1	11/1	14/1	10/1	11/1
My Little Queens	16/1	16/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Law Supreme	33/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Emperor Caradoc	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
The Vik	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Midnight Lion	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Asgard's Captain

25.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Cusack

14.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Skilled Warrior

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

My Little Queens

7.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Urban Road

6.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Percy Willis

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Law Supreme

6.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Sense Of Worth

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Midnight Lion

5.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Emperor Caradoc

5.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Explorers Way

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

The Vik

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cusack	75	90	63
Asgard's Captain	73	86	75
My Little Queens	73	86	43
Law Supreme	73	88	59
Skilled Warrior	72	93	73
Midnight Lion	72	79	44
Percy Willis	70	88	77
Emperor Caradoc	69	87	77
Sense Of Worth	68	87	66
The Vik	68	85	—
Urban Road	66	88	65
Explorers Way	63	86	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Asgard's Captain	4d ago	Quick return
Cusack	6d ago	Quick return
Percy Willis	11d ago	Quick return
Urban Road	15d ago	Fit
Skilled Warrior	18d ago	Fit
Sense Of Worth	18d ago	Fit
Explorers Way	20d ago	Fit
My Little Queens	21d ago	Fit
Law Supreme	21d ago	Fit
Midnight Lion	25d ago	Fit
Emperor Caradoc	28d ago	Fit
The Vik	325d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.