Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-03-01

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 41.77s (slow by 4.77s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Danielsflyer (IRE) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	15/2	Won
2nd	Armoured (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	2/1F	.75
3rd	Mercurius Power (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	6/1	0.1
4th	Lochnaver (GB) Joanna Mason · Jim Goldie	17/2	2
5th	Anif (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	25/1	1
6th	Masterpainter (IRE) Phil Dennis · Michael Dods	11/2	0.1
7th	Concert Boy (IRE) Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	12/1	0.2
8th	Reel Prospect (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	9/1	1.5
9th	Dougies Dream (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	28/1	1
10th	Elladora (GB) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	100/1	1.25
11th	Loom Large (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	22/1	2

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
DSQ	Rocket Rod (IRE) Shane Gray · Geoffrey Harker	12/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (11)	Armoured Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	134	t	6077-1	64	81	58	39d	—	—	-1	19.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Good value for narrow defeat of Mercurius Power here in January; up just the 4lb
11 (4)	Masterpainter Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	128	v	66-352	58	78	54	10d	—	—	-8	6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Gave it good go in the new visor when beaten a head over C&D ten days ago
1 (6)	Mercurius Power Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	135	tp	31-023	65	78	58	26d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Five-time winner; exposed but running well having made the frame here the last twice
2 (10)	Danielsflyer Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	135	p	633-81	65	77	64	13d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three course wins, the latest narrowly over 7f off 4lb lower; not sure to repeat that
3 (7)	Reel Prospect Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	135	—	165-64	65	77	37	26d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Never getting there from off the pace when beaten just under 6l the last time
12 (1)	Lochnaver Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	121	—	10-762	51	79	74	10d	—	—	-6	2.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recent second here but over 1m2f and not raced at a mile for a long time
8 (12)	Concert Boy Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	131	v	53-535	61	77	60	13d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Could have run better here 13 days ago when behind Danielsflyer
4 (8)	Rocket Rod Bay J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	135	—	6253-0	65	79	53	57d	—	—	0	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Rattled off a hat-trick here in 2022 and well handicapped again; too bad to be true latest
7 (3)	Loom Large Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	t	5126-8	62	78	55	28d	—	—	+1	3.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Had a wind op since last run; both wins at 1m2f but fine at this trip; hard to rule out
10 (9)	Anif Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	129	—	000-07	59	75	52	13d	—	—	0	3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Multiple winner but has been struggling for a while now
5 (5)	Dougies Dream Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	134	p	41600-	64	76	37	166d	—	—	+5	7.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Badly out of form when last seen but potentially interesting off this mark
9 (2)	Elladora Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	131	b	28737-	61	74	-	159d	—	—	+5	6.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Won four times for Katie Scott when often making the running; fine on Tapeta

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Armoured	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Masterpainter	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mercurius Power	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Danielsflyer	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Reel Prospect	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Lochnaver	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Concert Boy	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rocket Rod	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Loom Large	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Anif	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Dougies Dream	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Elladora	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Armoured

19.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Dougies Dream

7.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

28/1

3rd

Mercurius Power

6.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Danielsflyer

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Reel Prospect

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Elladora

6.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Masterpainter

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Rocket Rod

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Concert Boy

4.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Loom Large

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Anif

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Lochnaver

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mercurius Power	65	78	58
Danielsflyer	65	77	64
Reel Prospect	65	77	37
Rocket Rod	65	79	53
Armoured	64	81	58
Dougies Dream	64	76	37
Loom Large	62	78	55
Concert Boy	61	77	60
Elladora	61	74	—
Anif	59	75	52
Masterpainter	58	78	54
Lochnaver	51	79	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Masterpainter	10d ago	Quick return
Lochnaver	10d ago	Quick return
Danielsflyer	13d ago	Quick return
Concert Boy	13d ago	Quick return
Anif	13d ago	Quick return
Mercurius Power	26d ago	Fit
Reel Prospect	26d ago	Fit
Loom Large	28d ago	Fit
Armoured	39d ago	Fit
Rocket Rod	57d ago	Fresh
Elladora	159d ago	Long break
Dougies Dream	166d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Armoured	Hold Up
Reel Prospect	Hold Up
Rocket Rod	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.