Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-03-25

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 26.91s (slow by 3.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ratafia (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael Herrington	9/2	Won
2nd	Water Of Leith (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	3/1F	.75
3rd	Mr Squires (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	6/1	0.3
4th	Martin's Brig (IRE) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	9/2	3.25
5th	Spartan Fighter (GB) Harry Russell · Antony Brittain	12/1	0.05
6th	Lope De Rueda (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Rebecca Menzies	20/1	2.75
7th	Bulls Aye (IRE) David Nolan · Iain Jardine	17/2	2.25
8th	Code Purple (GB) Andrew Breslin · Ben Haslam	7/1	0.05
9th	Paco's Pride (GB) Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	28/1	12

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Martin's Brig Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	127	b	6-2351	54	73	49	13d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-12	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
1m winner here latest; up another 2lb for that but he's an each-way player again.
1 (2)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	461-23	62	76	66	3d	0W/1P 1 run	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Third here (6f) on Friday; still a bit to prove over this far but should be involved.
5 (6)	Ratafia Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	133	—	82112-	60	76	51	132d	—	—	+10	25.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Up another 4lb for this reappearance but makes the shortlist given how well he acts here.
7 (7)	Code Purple Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Ben Haslam	131	—	65588-	58	77	60	107d	—	—	-6	5.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won this last year when going into the race in better form; 4lb lower and not written off.
4 (5)	Mr Squires Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	134	—	4-3076	61	72	63	7d	—	—	-5	5.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Claims based on Southwell form either side of Christmas but below that level since.
3 (1)	Lope De Rueda Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Rebecca Menzies	134	ht	5085-0	61	73	24	24d	—	—	-3	5.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Raced freely and finished last of 12 (C&D); tongue-tie now accompanies hood; bit to prove.
2 (4)	Bulls Aye Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Iain Jardine	J:David Nolan T:Iain Jardine	135	—	85351-	62	73	-	161d	—	—	+10	16.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well below his best turf form in just two previous attempts on AW; more needed.
6 (3)	Spartan Fighter Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	132	v	00-391	59	72	63	27d	—	—	-3	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Scored at Southwell (7f) last month but a 4lb rise might make it tough to follow up.
8 (9)	Paco's Pride Grey J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	130	—	33427-	57	75	31	132d	—	—	+4	8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Placed in 5-13 starts; well below par on first start for this trainer; others preferred.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Martin's Brig	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Water Of Leith	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2	3/1
Ratafia	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Code Purple	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Mr Squires	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Lope De Rueda	12/1	9/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Bulls Aye	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Spartan Fighter	14/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Paco's Pride	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ratafia

25.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Bulls Aye

16.1

OR: 3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

3rd

Water Of Leith

8.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Paco's Pride

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Martin's Brig

6.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Mr Squires

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Code Purple

5.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Lope De Rueda

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Spartan Fighter

4.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Water Of Leith	62	76	66
Bulls Aye	62	73	—
Mr Squires	61	72	63
Lope De Rueda	61	73	24
Ratafia	60	76	51
Spartan Fighter	59	72	63
Code Purple	58	77	60
Paco's Pride	57	75	31
Martin's Brig	54	73	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Water Of Leith	3d ago	Quick return
Mr Squires	7d ago	Quick return
Martin's Brig	13d ago	Quick return
Lope De Rueda	24d ago	Fit
Spartan Fighter	27d ago	Fit
Code Purple	107d ago	Long break
Ratafia	132d ago	Long break
Paco's Pride	132d ago	Long break
Bulls Aye	161d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.