Enjoy The Racing App For Free Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:00

Enjoy The Racing App For Free Handicap

Date 2024-04-05

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 2m 30.07s (slow by 2.27s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Louisiana Bay (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Jack Jones	5/2F	Won
2nd	Velvet Vulcan (GB) Rob Hornby · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	15/2	5
3rd	Night Bear (GB) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	15/2	.5
4th	Fullforward (IRE) William Carson · Michael Madgwick	9/1	.5
5th	Chinthurst (GB) Joe Leavy · Jim Boyle	6/1	1.25
6th	Qeyaady (GB) David Egan · Pat Phelan	25/1	3.5
7th	Curtiz (GB) David Probert · Hughie Morrison	22/1	0.1
8th	Gilbert (GB) Callum Shepherd · Adam West	28/1	.75
9th	Hurtle (IRE) Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	12/1	.75
10th	Largo Bay (USA) George Rooke · Michael Madgwick	5/1	.5
11th	Dee's Dream (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	40/1	7
12th	Bakersboy (GB) Grace McEntee · Phil McEntee	40/1	16
13th	Irezumi (GB) Charlie Bennett · Jim Boyle	40/1	1.25
14th	Beat The Heat (GB) Luke Catton · Jim Boyle	40/1	.5
15th	On The Nose (GB) Alice Bond · Adam West	150/1	16
16th	Capricorn Prince (GB) Hector Crouch · Gary Moore	28/1	99

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (11)	Louisiana Bay Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Jack Jones	J:Oisin Murphy T:Jack Jones	133	—	254412	58	72	60	17d	—	—	-2	20.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Southwell scorer before an excellent Wolver second when not enjoying clear run; player
8 (14)	Largo Bay Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	J:George Rooke T:Michael Madgwick	131	—	35-113	56	74	64	44d	—	—	-7	4.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Kickstarted 2024 with back-to-back victories here and good Kempton 3rd since; in the mix
1 (13)	Night Bear Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	137	p	9-8733	62	72	41	13d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
On a long losing run but he arrives in decent nick; one for the shortlist
9 (8)	Fullforward Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	131	—	442-02	56	72	64	44d	—	—	-4	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Consistent sort and a good Kempton second last time out; can make his presence felt
11 (16)	Chinthurst Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Jim Boyle	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Jim Boyle	129	—	48322-	54	73	-	169d	—	—	+6	13.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Still a maiden but ended 2023 in good order; enters calculations on his AW debut
12 (12)	Velvet Vulcan Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Rob Hornby T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	127	tp	7-2417	52	71	64	38d	—	—	-5	2.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Opened his account over C&D and not discredited when 7th at Southwell since; shortlisted
10 (9)	Hurtle Grey J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Luke Morris T:Paul & Oliver Cole	131	tb	830-76	56	77	69	13d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not disgraced on back of a wind op when sixth at Newcastle 13 days ago; considered
5 (1)	Curtiz Bay J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	133	—	2-3185	58	70	48	36d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won at Chelmsford in January and solid fifth there latest; this course scorer can go well
13 (3)	Gilbert Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	124	tp	62362-	49	70	26	137d	—	—	+6	8.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Course winner who got back on track when runner-up at Kempton in November; in the picture
14 (10)	Qeyaady Bay J:David Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:David Egan T:Pat Phelan	121	—	003-74	46	71	42	—	—	—	-3	1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
In good form on AW before pulled up over hurdles at Plumpton; can bounce back
4 (5)	Capricorn Prince Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Gary Moore	J:Hector Crouch T:Gary Moore	134	p	2326-7	59	72	46	37d	—	—	0	3.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
A three-time C&D winner but he's not the most reliable; others appeal more
6 (2)	Dee's Dream Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Hollie Doyle T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	133	—	20317-	58	69	36	196d	—	—	+10	12.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won at Brighton and a solid Kempton seventh later in September; merits consideration
2 (4)	Beat The Heat Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Jim Boyle	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Jim Boyle	137	p	/8261-	62	72	-	—	—	—	+14	16.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Scored at Bath last summer but off since pulled up over hurdles at Plumpton in November
3 (7)	Bakersboy Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	135	p	03442/	60	-	-	487d	—	—	+7	8.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Course winner early in 2022 but been absent for 16 months; needs to hit the ground running
15 (6)	Irezumi Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	121	v	57607-	46	64	47	161d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Is 0-11 but he recorded a fair C&D seventh in October; possibilities after a layoff
16 (15)	On The Nose Bay J:Alice Bond(7) T:Adam West	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Adam West	121	b	/7507-	46	58	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
A winner in 2022 but her more recent form for current yard is far less encouraging

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Louisiana Bay	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Largo Bay	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Night Bear	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Fullforward	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Chinthurst	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Velvet Vulcan	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Hurtle	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Curtiz	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gilbert	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Qeyaady	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Capricorn Prince	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Dee's Dream	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Beat The Heat	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Bakersboy	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Irezumi	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
On The Nose	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Louisiana Bay

20.7

OR: 2 Form: 12 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Beat The Heat

16.1

OR: 3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0.6

33/1

3rd

Chinthurst

13.1

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Dee's Dream

12.2

OR: 2 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Gilbert

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Bakersboy

8.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Curtiz

7.1

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Night Bear

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Largo Bay

4.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Fullforward

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Capricorn Prince

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Hurtle

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Velvet Vulcan

2.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Qeyaady

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Irezumi

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

On The Nose

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Night Bear	62	72	41
Beat The Heat	62	72	—
Bakersboy	60	—	—
Capricorn Prince	59	72	46
Louisiana Bay	58	72	60
Curtiz	58	70	48
Dee's Dream	58	69	36
Largo Bay	56	74	64
Fullforward	56	72	64
Hurtle	56	77	69
Chinthurst	54	73	—
Velvet Vulcan	52	71	64
Gilbert	49	70	26
Qeyaady	46	71	42
Irezumi	46	64	47
On The Nose	46	58	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Night Bear	13d ago	Quick return
Hurtle	13d ago	Quick return
Louisiana Bay	17d ago	Fit
Curtiz	36d ago	Fit
Capricorn Prince	37d ago	Fit
Velvet Vulcan	38d ago	Fit
Largo Bay	44d ago	Fit
Fullforward	44d ago	Fit
Gilbert	137d ago	Long break
Irezumi	161d ago	Long break
Chinthurst	169d ago	Long break
Dee's Dream	196d ago	Long break
Bakersboy	487d ago	Long break
Qeyaady	—	—
Beat The Heat	—	—
On The Nose	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.