Daily Football Offers At Rhino.Bet Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

18:25

Daily Football Offers At Rhino.Bet Handicap

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 49.01s (slow by 8.91s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ardbraccan (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	9/1	Won
2nd	Contrast (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	22/1	3.25
3rd	The Spotlight Kid (GB) Robert Havlin · Dean Ivory	10/1	1
4th	Bay Dream Believer (IRE) Mark Winn · Mark Walford	18/1	0.05
5th	My Mate Mike (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Dean Ivory	22/1	0.3
6th	Macho Sun (IRE) Adam Farragher · Julia Feilden	8/1	1.75
7th	Haaf A Diamond (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Kevin Frost	10/1	1.75
8th	Cariad (GB) Liam Wright · George Scott	18/1	1
9th	Realised (GB) George Wood · Harry Eustace	9/2	0.3
10th	Seattle Time (GB) Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	11/4F	1.25
11th	Glencalvie (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	9/1	1.75
12th	Tonal (FR) Paddy Mathers · Ian Williams	11/1	3.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Realised Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	135	—	459-	62	71	39	166d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Well connected; minor form in qualifying runs; could do a lot better now handicapping
7 (5)	Seattle Time Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	134	—	29-603	61	75	65	29d	—	—	-6	6.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Acts on soft; looked worth another go at 1m when making late headway over 7f on AW latest
4 (9)	The Spotlight Kid Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	135	p	34437-	62	71	60	170d	—	—	-1	8.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Handles soft; both wins over 7f at Yarmouth; looked non-stayer over 1m more often than not
11 (11)	Tonal Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Williams	J:Paddy Mathers T:Ian Williams	131	—	934140	58	73	32	28d	—	—	+1	10	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Cosy winner at about 1m1f on AW in February; excuses since; should still have potential
9 (8)	Macho Sun Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Julia Feilden	J:Adam Farragher T:Julia Feilden	132	—	75260-	59	75	67	169d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Maiden; good C&D form on reappearance last April and mark has dropped
6 (12)	Glencalvie Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	134	—	755961	61	74	42	7d	—	—	+7	15.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Winning return to turf over 1m last week; back up 3lb; much slower ground today
3 (10)	Ardbraccan Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	136	tp	94360-	63	75	64	189d	—	—	0	6.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Sole win back in 2021; has C&D form but nearly all races on good or quicker ground
2 (3)	Cariad Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:George Scott	J:Liam Wright(7) T:George Scott	137	v	75615-	64	74	58	165d	—	—	+6	12.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Four AW wins at 1m; turf maiden but acts well over C&D and has won after a break
1 (7)	Contrast Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	137	—	17220-	64	74	67	196d	—	—	+8	12.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Course winner over usual 1m2f trip but well held on latest run over 1m back in 2022
8 (1)	Bay Dream Believer Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Mark Walford	132	h	42500-	59	73	53	158d	—	—	+1	4.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Suited by drop to 1m in 2023; has won on good, effective on good to soft; has a squeak
10 (6)	My Mate Mike Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Dean Ivory	J:Darragh Keenan T:Dean Ivory	132	h	30-810	59	73	63	44d	—	—	-1	3.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On the up when winning 7f AW handicap in February; well held latest; first 1m handicap
12 (2)	Haaf A Diamond Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Kevin Frost	127	—	51230-	54	73	64	221d	—	—	+6	9.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Versatile tactically, made all for 1m win but held up when strong-finishing 3rd later

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Realised	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Seattle Time	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
The Spotlight Kid	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tonal	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Macho Sun	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Glencalvie	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Ardbraccan	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Cariad	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Contrast	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Bay Dream Believer	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
My Mate Mike	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Haaf A Diamond	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Glencalvie

15.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

8/1

2nd

Contrast

12.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

14/1

3rd

Cariad

12.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Tonal

OR: 2 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Haaf A Diamond

9.5

OR: 1 Form: 7.6 Odds: 0.9

22/1

The Spotlight Kid

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Realised

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Macho Sun

7.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Ardbraccan

6.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Seattle Time

6.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Bay Dream Believer

4.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

18/1

My Mate Mike

3.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cariad	64	74	58
Contrast	64	74	67
Ardbraccan	63	75	64
Realised	62	71	39
The Spotlight Kid	62	71	60
Seattle Time	61	75	65
Glencalvie	61	74	42
Macho Sun	59	75	67
Bay Dream Believer	59	73	53
My Mate Mike	59	73	63
Tonal	58	73	32
Haaf A Diamond	54	73	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Glencalvie	7d ago	Quick return
Tonal	28d ago	Fit
Seattle Time	29d ago	Fit
My Mate Mike	44d ago	Fit
Bay Dream Believer	158d ago	Long break
Cariad	165d ago	Long break
Realised	166d ago	Long break
Macho Sun	169d ago	Long break
The Spotlight Kid	170d ago	Long break
Ardbraccan	189d ago	Long break
Contrast	196d ago	Long break
Haaf A Diamond	221d ago	Long break