Happy 19th Birthday Lily Watkinson Handicap (Div I)

Thirsk

18:05

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 16.87s (slow by 8.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cold Stare (IRE) David Nolan · David O'Meara	9/1	Won
2nd	Slainte Mhath (GB) Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	8/1	2.25
3rd	Impressor (IRE) Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	22/1	1.25
4th	Thankuappreciate (GB) Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	8/1	.5
5th	Secret Road (IRE) Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson	13/2	1.25
6th	Rainbow Rain (GB) Luke Morris · Tracy Waggott	28/1	1.25
7th	Society Lion (GB) Saffie Osborne · Ed Dunlop	18/1	0.2
8th	Dandy Spirit (IRE) William Pyle · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	33/1	0.3
9th	King's Crown (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	4/1J	.5
10th	Music Society (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	14/1	1
11th	Dark Kestrel (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	50/1	1.5
12th	Mersea (FR) Sam James · Grant Tuer	4/1J	12

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
RR	Huddle Up (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	6/1

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	King's Crown Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	132	p	09734-	72	89	78	194d	—	—	-2	11.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
C&D winner; has joined yard that excels with sprinters; dangerous if returning to his best
7 (13)	Mersea Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	131	—	86-621	71	89	-	9d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Rallied gamely to win at Southwell; should be in the thick of things again
9 (7)	Huddle Up Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	130	—	3337-3	70	90	83	27d	—	—	0	11.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Third at Doncaster in March; second in division of this race last year; leading contender
11 (12)	Secret Road Grey J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	127	h	-33741	67	88	74	20d	—	—	+9	18.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Consistent; won at Southwell last month and does not look overburdened by a 3lb rise
2 (4)	Slainte Mhath Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	135	—	4256-3	75	91	79	17d	—	—	+3	11.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close third at Catterick; again unlikely to be far away under optimum conditions
5 (6)	Thankuappreciate Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	133	—	34503-	73	87	77	203d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	11.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
1-15; often blows the start and stable has been quiet so far this year
10 (9)	Cold Stare Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	128	tp	40-776	68	90	89	50d	—	—	-1	6.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Second here 12 months ago; interesting back on turf and with cheekpieces returning
3 (10)	Music Society Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	134	—	50063-	74	88	87	182d	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-14 in 2023; no great record fresh; others make more obvious appeal
1 (3)	Society Lion Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Dunlop	135	t	3074-0	75	89	86	104d	—	—	+2	8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won a division of this race in 2023; has to be respected off the same mark
4 (1)	Impressor Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	133	p	3123-5	73	90	81	17d	—	—	+3	6.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Four wins last year; possibly needed reappearance and cheekpieces are back today; chance
12 (5)	Rainbow Rain Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tracy Waggott	J:Luke Morris T:Tracy Waggott	121	p	1534-6	61	87	68	12d	—	—	0	3.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Three wins in 2023; might have needed latest run; soft conditions would be a worry
8 (11)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	t	07-320	71	89	74	76d	—	—	+3	6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has had wind surgery since last poor run; unproven on ground softer than good
13 (8)	Dandy Spirit Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:William Pyle(5) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	118	—	8089-9	58	86	91	11d	—	—	0	2.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Most recent win came off 7lb higher; probably needed latest run; could go well at a price

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
King's Crown	5/1	5/1	5/1
Mersea	6/1	6/1	6/1
Huddle Up	6/1	6/1	6/1
Secret Road	7/1	7/1	7/1
Slainte Mhath	15/2	15/2	15/2
Thankuappreciate	17/2	17/2	17/2
Cold Stare	9/1	9/1	9/1
Music Society	11/1	11/1	11/1
Society Lion	11/1	11/1	11/1
Impressor	18/1	18/1	18/1
Rainbow Rain	20/1	20/1	20/1
Dark Kestrel	28/1	28/1	28/1
Dandy Spirit	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Secret Road

18.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.7

7/1

2nd

Slainte Mhath

11.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Thankuappreciate

11.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.2

17/2

King's Crown

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Huddle Up

11.1

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Music Society

10.7

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Mersea

8.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Society Lion

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Impressor

6.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Cold Stare

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Dark Kestrel

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Rainbow Rain

3.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Dandy Spirit

2.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Slainte Mhath	75	91	79
Society Lion	75	89	86
Music Society	74	88	87
Thankuappreciate	73	87	77
Impressor	73	90	81
King's Crown	72	89	78
Mersea	71	89	—
Dark Kestrel	71	89	74
Huddle Up	70	90	83
Cold Stare	68	90	89
Secret Road	67	88	74
Rainbow Rain	61	87	68
Dandy Spirit	58	86	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mersea	9d ago	Quick return
Dandy Spirit	11d ago	Quick return
Rainbow Rain	12d ago	Quick return
Slainte Mhath	17d ago	Fit
Impressor	17d ago	Fit
Secret Road	20d ago	Fit
Huddle Up	27d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	50d ago	Fresh
Dark Kestrel	76d ago	Fresh
Society Lion	104d ago	Long break
Music Society	182d ago	Long break
King's Crown	194d ago	Long break
Thankuappreciate	203d ago	Long break