Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

17:25

Date 2024-08-14

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Winning Time 1m 27.50s (slow by 2.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Elwateen (IRE) Kevin Stott · Saeed bin Suroor	4/6F	Won
2nd	Orchid (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	10/1	1
3rd	Del Ray (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	10/1	2.75
4th	Bintmaha (IRE) Neil Callan · William Knight	11/1	2.25
5th	Maybe Not (GB) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	8/1	.75
6th	Inquisition (GB) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	13/2	2.5
7th	Emily Rebecca (GB) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	28/1	.5
8th	Amarachi (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Conrad Allen	50/1	2.25
9th	Goodnight Irene (IRE) Tom Marquand · Michael Bell	25/1	.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Elwateen Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed bin Suroor	J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed bin Suroor	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-33	17.1	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Dam a Group 1 winner; lots to like on paper; no surprise to see her involved
7 (7)	Inquisition Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Half-sister to smart performer in Qatar out of Group 3 winner; yard 3-10 with 2yos in 2024
8 (8)	Maybe Not Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Half-sister to 1m winner Glencalvie out of a useful AW winner; interesting newcomer
10 (10)	Orchid Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
110,000euros half-sister to 3 winners out of Listed winner; yard's 2yos having a good year
1 (9)	Del Ray Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	—	10	-	82	-	20d	—	—	+2	9.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Too bad to be true in Listed race latest; penalty for debut win could leave her vulnerable
3 (3)	Bintmaha Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	128	—	75	-	74	-	41d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Some promise in two turf runs this summer but a good chunk of progress is required to win
5 (4)	Emily Rebecca Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
42,000gns yearling; half-sister to a useful 1m winner; apprentice ridden on debut
6 (6)	Goodnight Irene Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Bell	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Bell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
100,000gns half-sister to 3 winners; in-form yard's 2yos going well this year; respected
2 (1)	Amarachi Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
50,000gns breeze-up 2yo; half-sister to two winners and worth a market check
NR (2)	Niyla Breeze Grey J:TBC T:Richard Hughes	J: T:Richard Hughes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
42,000gns half-sister to a fair 1m2f winner in France; betting should be a good guide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Elwateen	8/11	5/6	8/11	4/5	4/5
Inquisition	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Maybe Not	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Orchid	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Del Ray	12/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Bintmaha	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Emily Rebecca	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Goodnight Irene	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Amarachi	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Elwateen

17.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Del Ray

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Inquisition

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Maybe Not

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

11/1

Orchid

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Bintmaha

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Emily Rebecca

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Goodnight Irene

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Amarachi

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Niyla Breeze

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Elwateen	—	—	—
Inquisition	—	—	—
Maybe Not	—	—	—
Orchid	—	—	—
Del Ray	—	82	—
Bintmaha	—	74	—
Emily Rebecca	—	—	—
Goodnight Irene	—	—	—
Amarachi	—	—	—
Niyla Breeze	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Del Ray	20d ago	Fit
Bintmaha	41d ago	Fit
Elwateen	—	—
Inquisition	—	—
Maybe Not	—	—
Orchid	—	—
Emily Rebecca	—	—
Goodnight Irene	—	—
Amarachi	—	—
Niyla Breeze	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.