Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots And London Mile Series Qual) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2024-08-14

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Winning Time 1m 39.79s (slow by 2.39s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Highland Spring (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	14/1	Won
2nd	Valkyrian (IRE) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	40/1	.5
3rd	Gracious Leader (GB) James Doyle · Roger Varian	11/10F	.5
4th	Nap Hand (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Alan King	11/1	0.05
5th	Phoenix Passion (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	13/2	0.05
6th	Francesi (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	22/1	1.5
7th	Cavalry Call (IRE) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	20/1	0.3
8th	Speeding Bullet (IRE) Joe Leavy · Richard Hannon	14/1	1
9th	Al Mudhaffar (IRE) Rob Hornby · Charlie Fellowes	18/1	.75
10th	Desfondado (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Simon Dow	12/1	2
11th	Baltimore Boy (IRE) P J McDonald · James Horton	8/1	1.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (6)	Gracious Leader Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	127	—	6-041	72	89	74	21d	—	—	-25	20.5	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Odds-on winner on his handicap debut at Lingfield last month (2nd won since); up in class
5 (5)	Phoenix Passion Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	136	—	-31111	81	86	46	49d	—	—	+24	36.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Chasing a five-timer and may not have reached his ceiling yet; shortlisted
1 (8)	Baltimore Boy Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	142	p	505345	80	91	67	33d	—	—	+2	11.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Handicapped to win, has conditions to suit & latest Ascot run can be upgraded; contender
9 (9)	Highland Spring Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	132	b	52-855	77	84	56	39d	—	—	+1	8.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
6-race maiden; ran well enough here in June but didn't look straightforward; now blinkered
3 (10)	Nap Hand Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Alan King	J:Billy Loughnane T:Alan King	139	—	2/5743	77	86	57	30d	—	—	+6	12	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not added to debut win yet but conditions suit and he's slowly edging down the weights
4 (11)	Desfondado Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Simon Dow	J:Hollie Doyle T:Simon Dow	139	—	149149	77	85	62	11d	—	—	+8	13.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Two AW wins this year; had an excuse at Goodwood (draw) latest & he's stuck wide here too
7 (2)	Speeding Bullet Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	134	—	14-956	79	83	-	54d	—	—	+4	8.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Not matched his 2yo form in three runs this year; promise over C&D last year; others safer
8 (7)	Al Mudhaffar Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	133	p	2140	78	88	43	47d	—	—	+9	15.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two good runs at Dundalk for J O'Brien; sold 30,000gns last month; return to AW looks a +
6 (4)	Francesi Grey J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	135	—	368583	73	87	56	18d	—	—	+6	9.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Poor strike-rate but his latest third at Newcastle brings him right into the reckoning
10 (1)	Cavalry Call Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	129	h	6575	74	81	-	21d	—	—	+3	7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
No real improvement for the switch to handicaps at Salisbury last month; others stronger
2 (3)	Valkyrian Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	142	—	762112	80	83	65	14d	—	—	+24	26.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two 1m wins last month; beaten fair and square at Leicester latest and this looks tougher

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Gracious Leader	5/6	evn	10/11	Evens	evn
Phoenix Passion	7/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Baltimore Boy	10/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	9/1
Highland Spring	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Nap Hand	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Desfondado	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Speeding Bullet	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Al Mudhaffar	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Francesi	18/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Cavalry Call	20/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Valkyrian	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Phoenix Passion

36.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 25 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Valkyrian

26.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

3rd

Gracious Leader

20.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15

Evens

Al Mudhaffar

15.1

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Desfondado

13.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Nap Hand

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Baltimore Boy

11.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Francesi

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Highland Spring

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Speeding Bullet

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Cavalry Call

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Phoenix Passion	81	86	46
Baltimore Boy	80	91	67
Valkyrian	80	83	65
Speeding Bullet	79	83	—
Al Mudhaffar	78	88	43
Highland Spring	77	84	56
Nap Hand	77	86	57
Desfondado	77	85	62
Cavalry Call	74	81	—
Francesi	73	87	56
Gracious Leader	72	89	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desfondado	11d ago	Quick return
Valkyrian	14d ago	Fit
Francesi	18d ago	Fit
Gracious Leader	21d ago	Fit
Cavalry Call	21d ago	Fit
Nap Hand	30d ago	Fit
Baltimore Boy	33d ago	Fit
Highland Spring	39d ago	Fit
Al Mudhaffar	47d ago	Fresh
Phoenix Passion	49d ago	Fresh
Speeding Bullet	54d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.