Golf And Gallop Package Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:40

Golf And Gallop Package Handicap

Date 2024-09-03

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 57.52s (slow by 0.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Liv Lucky (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	12/1	Won
2nd	Dandy Fitz (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	11/8F	.75
3rd	Street Life (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Patrick Morris	10/1	0.3
4th	Mecca's Duchess (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	22/1	0.3
5th	Irish Dancer (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	28/1	0.2
6th	Colors Of Freedom (GB) Luke Morris · Joe Ponting	7/1	.5
7th	Enchanted Night (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Christine Dunnett	100/30	0.3
8th	Hard Nut (IRE) Mark Winn · Linda Perratt	20/1	0.3
9th	Foreseeable Future (FR) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	11/1	.75
10th	Another Angel (IRE) Harry Russell · Antony Brittain	40/1	0.3
11th	Lady Ursula (IRE) Finley Marsh · Patrick Morris	100/1	3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Dandy Fitz Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	135	—	063581	56	65	50	4d	—	—	-11	23	0.41/1	13/8 38%
6lb penalty demands more but comes from a similar draw; has a fair chance of following up
10 (4)	Enchanted Night Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	126	p	349263	46	69	53	4d	—	—	-9	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Claims on her two recent C&D efforts as she bids to get her yard on the board for the year
7 (2)	Colors Of Freedom Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Joe Ponting	J:Luke Morris T:Joe Ponting	128	p	903454	48	68	54	4d	—	—	-7	4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Decent C&D record (dual winner for Archie Watson), latterly when fourth on Friday; claims
5 (7)	Street Life Chestnut J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	129	b	572022	49	67	56	14d	—	—	+4	12.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Three-time C&D winner who arrives in form; no obvious reason he won't go well again
4 (8)	Foreseeable Future Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	132	v	535223	52	68	-	15d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well handicapped but the years look to be catching up and his record on Tapeta isn't good
6 (9)	Hard Nut Bay J:Mark Winn T:Linda Perratt	J:Mark Winn T:Linda Perratt	129	—	076801	49	68	33	7d	—	—	+6	11.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
50-1 winner on turf last Tuesday; inconsistent now and far from certain to back that up
8 (5)	Liv Lucky Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	126	—	-48850	46	66	63	8d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Attempting 5f for the first time since early in her 2yo career; is regressive anyway
3 (11)	Mecca's Duchess Grey J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	134	p	757037	55	63	-	25d	—	—	0	4.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Again didn't see out 6f last time; capable off this mark if the headgear does the job
11 (6)	Irish Dancer Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	126	b	270060	46	67	-	24d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor maiden who's only finished placed once; is hard to enthuse about on his AW debut
9 (10)	Another Angel Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	126	v	283265	46	68	63	75d	—	—	+2	4.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Veteran who's done most winning at Newcastle and been on the decline in recent times
1 (3)	Lady Ursula Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Patrick Morris	J:Finley Marsh T:Patrick Morris	135	—	93/63-	55	62	-	595d	—	—	0	1.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Hard to know what she's capable of now; tough to back unless the market speaks her way

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Dandy Fitz	13/8	11/8	11/8
Enchanted Night	3/1	3/1	10/3
Colors Of Freedom	15/2	15/2	15/2
Street Life	10/1	10/1	10/1
Foreseeable Future	9/1	10/1	9/1
Hard Nut	16/1	16/1	16/1
Liv Lucky	20/1	18/1	16/1
Mecca's Duchess	18/1	16/1	18/1
Irish Dancer	28/1	40/1	33/1
Another Angel	40/1	33/1	40/1
Lady Ursula	66/1	40/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dandy Fitz

OR: 1.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Foreseeable Future

12.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Street Life

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Enchanted Night

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Hard Nut

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Mecca's Duchess

4.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Another Angel

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.4 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Colors Of Freedom

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Lady Ursula

1.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Liv Lucky

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Irish Dancer

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dandy Fitz	56	65	50
Mecca's Duchess	55	63	—
Lady Ursula	55	62	—
Foreseeable Future	52	68	—
Street Life	49	67	56
Hard Nut	49	68	33
Colors Of Freedom	48	68	54
Enchanted Night	46	69	53
Liv Lucky	46	66	63
Irish Dancer	46	67	—
Another Angel	46	68	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dandy Fitz	4d ago	Quick return
Enchanted Night	4d ago	Quick return
Colors Of Freedom	4d ago	Quick return
Hard Nut	7d ago	Quick return
Liv Lucky	8d ago	Quick return
Street Life	14d ago	Fit
Foreseeable Future	15d ago	Fit
Irish Dancer	24d ago	Fit
Mecca's Duchess	25d ago	Fit
Another Angel	75d ago	Fresh
Lady Ursula	595d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.