Play Southwell Golf Course Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Play Southwell Golf Course Handicap

Date 2024-09-03

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 37.56s (fast by 0.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kalamunda (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Joseph Parr	9/2	Won
2nd	City Of York (GB) Jim Crowley · David Simcock	7/2F	1.75
3rd	Windsor Pass (IRE) Luke Morris · John Butler	28/1	2.25
4th	Saturnalia (GER) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	9/2	2.25
5th	Harlem Nights (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	17/2	.5
6th	Shot Of Love (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	10/1	.5
7th	Kynsa (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	15/2	1.5
8th	Landlordtothestars (IRE) Christian Howarth · James Evans	16/1	1
9th	Visibility (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	12/1	0.1
10th	Retraction (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	20/1	1.5
11th	Cabrillo (IRE) Jason Hart · Ruth Carr	18/1	1.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	City Of York Bay J:Jim Crowley T:David Simcock	J:Jim Crowley T:David Simcock	136	h	057445	76	86	68	20d	—	—	-7	11.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Landed a hat-trick around this time last year; little room for manoeuvre off this mark
4 (5)	Saturnalia Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	134	p	-35434	74	88	67	25d	—	—	-2	13.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Can pull hard and has done his winning over 7f, but is capable if settling upped to 1m
7 (8)	Kalamunda Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	130	—	110-80	70	90	-	16d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Currently 0-8 on turf and 2-2 on the AW; out of form but the return here will help
6 (7)	Kynsa Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	p	431412	71	86	64	26d	—	—	+12	24.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Cheekpieces have helped but has a career-high mark to overcome, having gone up another 3lb
1 (10)	Harlem Nights Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	137	—	2213-8	77	87	-	10d	—	—	0	9.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well held for his new yard off a career-high mark on his belated comeback ten days ago
8 (9)	Visibility Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	129	—	517504	69	89	50	16d	—	—	+1	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
This is a bit easier and he's on a fair mark again, so holds each-way claims
5 (4)	Shot Of Love Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	v	008229	71	88	75	8d	—	—	+5	13.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Front-runner whose wins have come round easier courses off lower marks; drawn to attack
9 (11)	Landlordtothestars Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:James Evans	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:James Evans	128	—	245925	68	89	75	56d	—	—	+3	9.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has two wins and a close third to his name in three runs here; goes on the shortlist
3 (2)	Cabrillo Brown J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	135	—	588536	75	87	-	36d	—	—	+5	9.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't build on his Doncaster third latest but claims if getting away better and settling
10 (6)	Retraction Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	126	—	54-466	66	87	54	17d	—	—	0	5.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran well over C&D on his debut for this yard in the spring; can't be ruled out
11 (3)	Windsor Pass Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	121	—	64-964	61	88	-	17d	—	—	0	3.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Longstanding maiden; has shown enough on turf lately to suggest she can be a factor here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
City Of York	7/2	7/2	7/2
Saturnalia	9/2	9/2	9/2
Kalamunda	6/1	6/1	6/1
Kynsa	6/1	11/2	13/2
Harlem Nights	10/1	17/2	10/1
Visibility	12/1	11/1	12/1
Shot Of Love	11/1	12/1	11/1
Landlordtothestars	14/1	11/1	12/1
Cabrillo	16/1	16/1	16/1
Retraction	16/1	14/1	16/1
Windsor Pass	28/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kynsa

24.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Shot Of Love

13.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.4

12/1

3rd

Saturnalia

13.1

OR: 6 Form: 2.7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

City Of York

11.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Landlordtothestars

9.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Cabrillo

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Harlem Nights

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Visibility

8.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 2 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Kalamunda

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Retraction

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Windsor Pass

3.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Harlem Nights	77	87	—
City Of York	76	86	68
Cabrillo	75	87	—
Saturnalia	74	88	67
Kynsa	71	86	64
Shot Of Love	71	88	75
Kalamunda	70	90	—
Visibility	69	89	50
Landlordtothestars	68	89	75
Retraction	66	87	54
Windsor Pass	61	88	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shot Of Love	8d ago	Quick return
Harlem Nights	10d ago	Quick return
Kalamunda	16d ago	Fit
Visibility	16d ago	Fit
Retraction	17d ago	Fit
Windsor Pass	17d ago	Fit
City Of York	20d ago	Fit
Saturnalia	25d ago	Fit
Kynsa	26d ago	Fit
Cabrillo	36d ago	Fit
Landlordtothestars	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.