Racing TV Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Racing TV Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Wild Angel Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-24	11.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Attractively bred filly whose trainer has an excellent strike-rate at Kempton this year
5 (3)	Kathleen's Glory Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	5	-	72	-	24d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Should improve with Newmarket effort under her belt; that form has been boosted
7 (8)	Motabaah Brown J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	6	-	77	-	18d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Easy to back and seemed to need the outing at Newbury; open to improvement
4 (4)	Chadleeny Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
110,000euros (breeze-up) 2yo; by Kingman and from a smart family; interesting
1 (6)	Adorla Of Achill Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	5	-	80	56	27d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Just over 2l fifth at Wolverhampton, showing clear promise; enters calculations
12 (5)	Wilhelmina Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
80,000gns yearling; New Bay half-sister to a Group 1 winner; check the betting
8 (10)	Royale Goodnight Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	128	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
61,000euros yearling; by Golden Horn; wears tongue-tie on debut; market helpful
10 (12)	Sweet Couture Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
50,000gns (breeze-up) 2yo; by Dandy Man; in good hands; heed the market signals
3 (7)	Bear Facts Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tom Ward	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tom Ward	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
32,000gns yearling; by Kodi Bear; yard is only 1-33 with 2yos this season
9 (1)	Sangara Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
30,000gns yearling; wears hood on debut; others are more appealing
2 (11)	Baileys Value Brown J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Bated Breath filly; stable had a winning 2yo newcomer (SP 16-1) here last month
6 (2)	Madame Jeanette Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Liam Keniry T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	7	-	34	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Trailed home last of seven in 1m event at Goodwood for an inauspicious debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Wild Angel	5/4	13/8	13/8	13/8	7/4
Kathleen's Glory	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	11/4
Motabaah	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Chadleeny	7/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Adorla Of Achill	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Wilhelmina	20/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Royale Goodnight	25/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	18/1
Sweet Couture	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Bear Facts	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Sangara	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Baileys Value	150/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	80/1
Madame Jeanette	400/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wild Angel

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

7/4

2nd

Kathleen's Glory

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Chadleeny

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Motabaah

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Adorla Of Achill

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Wilhelmina

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Royale Goodnight

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Sweet Couture

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Bear Facts

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Sangara

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Baileys Value

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Madame Jeanette

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wild Angel	—	—	—
Kathleen's Glory	—	72	—
Motabaah	—	77	—
Chadleeny	—	—	—
Adorla Of Achill	—	80	56
Wilhelmina	—	—	—
Royale Goodnight	—	—	—
Sweet Couture	—	—	—
Bear Facts	—	—	—
Sangara	—	—	—
Baileys Value	—	—	—
Madame Jeanette	—	34	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Motabaah	18d ago	Fit
Madame Jeanette	23d ago	Fit
Kathleen's Glory	24d ago	Fit
Adorla Of Achill	27d ago	Fit
Wild Angel	—	—
Chadleeny	—	—
Wilhelmina	—	—
Royale Goodnight	—	—
Sweet Couture	—	—
Bear Facts	—	—
Sangara	—	—
Baileys Value	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.