Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 13.01s (slow by 1.91s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Zip It Up (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	13/2	Won
2nd	Mahato (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	10/11F	7.5
3rd	Dancing Sapphire (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	9/2	1.5
4th	Treasure Bay (GB) Josephine Gordon · Mark Gillard	200/1	1.75
5th	Twilight Truth (GB) Nicola Currie · Henry Candy	10/1	1
6th	Family Matters (GB) Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	40/1	1.5
7th	Believe It (GB) Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	12/1	1
8th	Rising From Embers (FR) Tyler Heard · Joe Tickle	200/1	1.25
9th	Gigastar (GB) Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	10/1	1
10th	Kalik (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	20/1	.75
11th	Titus Thor (GB) Charlie Bennett · Malcolm Saunders	200/1	11

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Mahato Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	137	—	14-	-	72	-	307d	—	—	-23	22	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Ran green but powerful finish to win 6f debut on soft; returned with wound in November
6 (8)	Dancing Sapphire Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	125	—	45	-	72	61	33d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
From marvellous sprinting family; signs of ability and inexperience in two runs at 6f/7f
11 (9)	Zip It Up Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	125	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Nice pedigree but looks an unlikely sprinter on breeding; tongue tied for debut
10 (3)	Twilight Truth Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Henry Candy	J:Nicola Currie T:Henry Candy	125	—	99	-	62	-	79d	—	—	-6	2.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Weak finisher over 6f so far but had wind op since last seen which could improve matters
5 (1)	Believe It Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	125	—	7	-	68	-	19d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Never seriously involved on C&D debut but has ability and could come on plenty for the run
8 (7)	Gigastar Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	125	—	5	-	56	28	80d	—	—	-6	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Out of talented AW sprinter; 16-1 and nothing doing on 7f Tapeta debut in June
3 (10)	Kalik Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	130	h	25-	-	66	-	501d	—	—	-1	5.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Promising at two over 5f but off since May 2023 and sold for 2,000gns in July; new yard
7 (2)	Family Matters Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	125	—	65	-	58	-	86d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Glimmer of promise in 6f maidens in May and June; needs this for a mark
2 (5)	Titus Thor Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Malcolm Saunders	J:Charlie Bennett T:Malcolm Saunders	132	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Hooded son of multiple winning sprinter; very likely to need this first run
4 (4)	Treasure Bay Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Mark Gillard	J:Josephine Gordon T:Mark Gillard	130	—	07	-	58	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well back in two Salisbury runs; unlikely improver for 6f; better chance when handicapping
9 (6)	Rising From Embers Chestnut J:Tyler Heard T:Joe Tickle	J:Tyler Heard T:Joe Tickle	125	—	94	-	51	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Low-key start to career; likely to fare better when handicapping over longer trips

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mahato	10/11	evn	evn	10/11	Evens
Dancing Sapphire	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Zip It Up	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2
Twilight Truth	12/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	12/1
Believe It	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Gigastar	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Kalik	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Family Matters	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Titus Thor	200/1	150/1	200/1	100/1	150/1
Treasure Bay	100/1	200/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Rising From Embers	150/1	150/1	150/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mahato

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 15

Evens

2nd

Dancing Sapphire

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Kalik

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Zip It Up

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Twilight Truth

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Gigastar

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Believe It

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Family Matters

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Titus Thor

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Treasure Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Rising From Embers

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mahato	—	72	—
Dancing Sapphire	—	72	61
Zip It Up	—	—	—
Twilight Truth	—	62	—
Believe It	—	68	—
Gigastar	—	56	28
Kalik	—	66	—
Family Matters	—	58	—
Titus Thor	—	—	—
Treasure Bay	—	58	—
Rising From Embers	—	51	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rising From Embers	13d ago	Quick return
Treasure Bay	17d ago	Fit
Believe It	19d ago	Fit
Dancing Sapphire	33d ago	Fit
Twilight Truth	79d ago	Fresh
Gigastar	80d ago	Fresh
Family Matters	86d ago	Fresh
Mahato	307d ago	Long break
Kalik	501d ago	Long break
Zip It Up	—	—
Titus Thor	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.