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Kempton (AW)

16:55 ✓ Result

Unibet Zero% Mission Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-16
Distance 7f
Class Class 6
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,140
Winning Time 1m 28.61s (slow by 4.01s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 9/1 Won
2nd 7/1 2.75
3rd 4/1J 0.3
4th 5/1 3
5th 33/1 0.1
6th 18/1 0.1
7th 11/1 0.3
8th 9/2 0.2
9th 4/1J 3.75
10th 150/1 1.5
11th 150/1 0.3
12th 25/1 1.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (10)
Me Tarzan
Bay
J:Ross Coakley
T:James Fanshawe
J:Ross Coakley
T:James Fanshawe
 128 — 988
53
57
47
 17d — — -11
5.8
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Open to improvement now handicapping and upped in trip; in-form stable; interesting
1 (5)
Crocodile River
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ed Dunlop
 137 p 7684
62
65
-
 18d — — -10
8.2
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Ran encouragingly at Newbury last time; possibilities if taking well to headgear
7 (3)
Cassandraalexandra
Bay
J:Kaiya Fraser(5)
T:James Horton
J:Kaiya Fraser(5)
T:James Horton
 130 — 086221
55
62
-
 7d — — +6
21.7
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Heading in the right direction, most recently winning over 6f at Brighton last week
5 (1)
Penelope Valentine
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Alice Haynes
J:Luke Morris
T:Alice Haynes
 133 — 054
58
62
-
 61d — — -6
5.3
1.75/1
7/1
13%
May continue her steady progress, provided she stays this new trip
3 (7)
Mister Knockout
Bay
J:Charles Bishop
T:Eve Johnson Houghton
J:Charles Bishop
T:Eve Johnson Houghton
 136 — 094
61
66
-
 45d — — -5
5.8
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Ran well in Bath maiden last time and may take another step forward
2 (12)
Token Gesture
Grey
J:Tyler Heard
T:Mark Usher
J:Tyler Heard
T:Mark Usher
 136 — 957
61
60
60
 12d — — -4
5.3
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Unfavourably treated on bare form but may show improvement upped to 7f
11 (13)
Clipsham Noble
Bay
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
 120 — 5893
45
63
56
 16d — — -3
5.1
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Finished third at Chelmsford (nursery debut) last time and may build on that effort
9 (2)
Poke The Bear
Bay
J:Frederick Larson(3)
T:Amy Murphy
J:Frederick Larson(3)
T:Amy Murphy
 128 p 957
53
61
52
 10d — — -4
2.5
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Midfield in novice events here the last twice; this seems a more realistic task
4 (11)
Deal Maker
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Charlie Johnston
 133 — 384408
58
67
44
 13d — — -1
3
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Exposed sort who is 0-8 since debut win
6 (9)
Dark Sorceress
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Clare Hobson
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Clare Hobson
 130 — 37529
55
65
-
 12d — — +2
6.4
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Mixed results over shorter trips on turf; not sure what to expect
10 (8)
Kate Be Quick
Bay
J:J F Egan
T:Mark Gillard
J:J F Egan
T:Mark Gillard
 125 — 6706
50
58
-
 7d — — -1
0.5
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Held by Cassandraalexandra on Brighton running last Monday
13 (6)
Innocent Settler
Bay
J:Anna Gibson(7)
T:Alice Haynes
J:Anna Gibson(7)
T:Alice Haynes
 120 tv 09907
45
54
47
 16d — — -1
0.4
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Change of headgear needs to make a difference
NR (4)
Ballarat Bertie
Brown
J:George Rooke
T:Richard Hughes
J:George Rooke
T:Richard Hughes
 120 b 008
45
56
-
 84d — — —
0
— —
Dismal claims on form but brings a few possible sources of improvement
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Me Tarzan
 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1
Crocodile River
 7/2 7/2 7/2 10/3 7/2
Cassandraalexandra
 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2
Penelope Valentine
 7/1 13/2 7/1 6/1 13/2
Mister Knockout
 15/2 15/2 15/2 8/1 17/2
Token Gesture
 9/1 17/2 17/2 17/2 9/1
Clipsham Noble
 11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
Poke The Bear
 12/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1
Deal Maker
 25/1 25/1 25/1 22/1 22/1
Dark Sorceress
 22/1 22/1 25/1 25/1 22/1
Kate Be Quick
 80/1 50/1 80/1 40/1 50/1
Innocent Settler
 66/1 50/1 66/1 50/1 50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Cassandraalexandra
21.7
OR: 1.3 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4
11/2
2nd Crocodile River
8.2
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2
7/2
3rd Dark Sorceress
6.4
OR: 1.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.1
25/1
4 Me Tarzan
5.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5
5/1
5 Mister Knockout
5.8
OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
17/2
6 Penelope Valentine
5.3
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
7/1
7 Token Gesture
5.3
OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
9/1
8 Clipsham Noble
5.1
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1
11/1
9 Deal Maker
3
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1
25/1
10 Poke The Bear
2.5
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14/1
11 Kate Be Quick
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
80/1
12 Innocent Settler
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
66/1
13 Ballarat Bertie
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Crocodile River
62
65
 —
Mister Knockout
61
66
 —
Token Gesture
61
60
60
Penelope Valentine
58
62
 —
Deal Maker
58
67
44
Cassandraalexandra
55
62
 —
Dark Sorceress
55
65
 —
Me Tarzan
53
57
47
Poke The Bear
53
61
52
Kate Be Quick
50
58
 —
Clipsham Noble
45
63
56
Innocent Settler
45
54
47
Ballarat Bertie
45
56
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Cassandraalexandra 7d ago Quick return
Kate Be Quick 7d ago Quick return
Poke The Bear 10d ago Quick return
Token Gesture 12d ago Quick return
Dark Sorceress 12d ago Quick return
Deal Maker 13d ago Quick return
Clipsham Noble 16d ago Fit
Innocent Settler 16d ago Fit
Me Tarzan 17d ago Fit
Crocodile River 18d ago Fit
Mister Knockout 45d ago Fit
Penelope Valentine 61d ago Fresh
Ballarat Bertie 84d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.