Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Novices' Handicap Chase

Plumpton

14:50

Date 2024-09-22

Distance 2m3f164y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Winning Time 4m 58.36s (slow by 11.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Belgarum (IRE) Freddie Gingell · Joe Tizzard	13/8F	Won
2nd	Noah's Light (IRE) Richie McLernon · Richenda Ford	16/1	21
3rd	Herecomeshogan (IRE) Daire McConville · Martin Keighley	8/1	2.75
4th	Lunar Contact (IRE) Jack Andrews · T Ellis	11/2	6
5th	Almost Gotaway (IRE) Sean Houlihan · Nicky Martin	6/1	10
6th	Ray's The One (GB) James Best · Mark Pattinson	16/1	1.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Churchtown Glen (IRE) Tabitha Worsley · Michelle Bryant	125/1
P.U.	Definite (GB) Bradley Harris · Harriet Dickin	50/1
Fell	Invictus De Brion (FR) Rex Dingle · Chris Gordon	7/2

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Belgarum Bay J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell(3) T:Joe Tizzard	167	t	-314U1	99	108	85	23d	—	—	+1	35.9	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Comfortably drew clear at Fontwell last month, his second chase success there this season
7	Invictus De Brion Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	147	p	PP/443	79	101	81	23d	—	—	-5	12.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
17l behind Belgarum when third on recent chase debut but that was still a good effort
3	Lunar Contact Bay J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:T Ellis	J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:T Ellis	163	t	31-2F6	95	-	-	23d	—	—	+2	14.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Winning pointer who is well handicapped on best hurdling form; of interest on chase debut
1	Almost Gotaway Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Nicky Martin	J:Sean Houlihan T:Nicky Martin	168	—	1/3-36	100	107	82	34d	—	—	+12	22.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Didn't fire last month but returned from long absence with pleasing chase debut in July
9	Herecomeshogan Bay J:Daire McConville(7) T:Martin Keighley	J:Daire McConville(7) T:Martin Keighley	146	tv	28-766	78	108	93	11d	—	—	+1	9.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Prominent for a long way at Worcester (2m) recently and will be fine over this longer trip
5	Ray's The One Bay J:James Best T:Mark Pattinson	J:James Best T:Mark Pattinson	151	t	849-85	83	93	70	63d	—	—	+3	10.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Out of form on Flat/over hurdles for a while, and made no impact on chase debut in July
8	Noah's Light Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Richenda Ford	J:Richie McLernon T:Richenda Ford	146	tp	-2P518	78	103	79	36d	—	—	+11	15.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Made all at Newton Abbot two starts ago but held since; overall profile not convincing
4	Definite Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	157	t	/3O44-	89	-	-	431d	—	—	+9	11.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-5 over hurdles; makes stable/chase debut after long absence and has stamina to prove
11	Churchtown Glen Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Michelle Bryant	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Michelle Bryant	142	—	54P/P-	74	-	-	497d	—	—	+5	6.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
0-21 over fences; absent since pulled up over hurdles here in May 2023 and is 10lb wrong
NR	Into The Sunset Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	149	—	-U6454	81	106	92	16d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Both chasing attempts this summer were respectable and he holds each-way claims here
NR	Glorious Mist Bay J:Marc Goldstein T:Paddy Butler	J:Marc Goldstein T:Paddy Butler	142	p	P-3P2P	74	-	-	63d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Nearly caused shock in 3m2f hurdle in June but still looks opposable on chasing debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Belgarum	11/8	6/4	11/8	11/8	6/4
Invictus De Brion	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Lunar Contact	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Almost Gotaway	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
Herecomeshogan	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	8/1
Ray's The One	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Noah's Light	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Definite	50/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	33/1
Churchtown Glen	150/1	100/1	150/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Belgarum

35.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 11.1

6/4

2nd

Almost Gotaway

22.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Noah's Light

15.9

OR: 7 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Lunar Contact

14.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Invictus De Brion

12.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Definite

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ray's The One

10.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Herecomeshogan

9.5

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Into The Sunset

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Churchtown Glen

6.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Glorious Mist

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Almost Gotaway	100	107	82
Belgarum	99	108	85
Lunar Contact	95	—	—
Definite	89	—	—
Ray's The One	83	93	70
Into The Sunset	81	106	92
Invictus De Brion	79	101	81
Herecomeshogan	78	108	93
Noah's Light	78	103	79
Churchtown Glen	74	—	—
Glorious Mist	74	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Herecomeshogan	11d ago	Quick return
Into The Sunset	16d ago	Fit
Belgarum	23d ago	Fit
Invictus De Brion	23d ago	Fit
Lunar Contact	23d ago	Fit
Almost Gotaway	34d ago	Fit
Noah's Light	36d ago	Fit
Ray's The One	63d ago	Fresh
Glorious Mist	63d ago	Fresh
Definite	431d ago	Long break
Churchtown Glen	497d ago	Long break