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Kempton (AW)

19:30 ✓ Result

North Farm Stud Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Date 2024-10-02
Distance 1m
Class Class 4
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £5,757
Winning Time 1m 37.99s (slow by 0.59s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 9/2 Won
2nd 22/1 .75
3rd 15/2 1.5
4th 3/1F .75
5th 22/1 1.25
6th 25/1 0.3
7th 33/1 .5
8th 20/1 0.2
9th 13/2 0.05
10th 11/2 1
11th 150/1 .5
12th 11/1 1
13th 66/1 0.3
14th 14/1 0.2

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (11)
Nap Hand
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Alan King
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Alan King
 135 — 574341
80
96
66
 25d — — +2
26.3
0.69/1
11/4
27%
Taking performance at Haydock last month and a 3lb rise isn't excessive; contender
11 (9)
Devoirs Choice
Bay
J:Tom Marquand
T:Ed Walker
J:Tom Marquand
T:Ed Walker
 132 — 522611
80
94
-
 34d — — +15
31.7
1.38/1
11/2
15%
2-2 since returning to a mile; still feasibly weighted; effective on AW; one to consider
4 (8)
Havanagreattime
Grey
J:Finley Marsh
T:Richard Hughes
J:Finley Marsh
T:Richard Hughes
 139 — 4210-1
87
92
71
 189d — — +10
22.9
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Game 7f win here in March; a mile should suit but he has another absence to contend with
10 (2)
Bluelight Bay
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Eve Johnson Houghton
J:Billy Loughnane
T:Eve Johnson Houghton
 133 — -68060
78
88
80
 69d — — -1
10.3
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Down in the weights but this season has been a struggle; others have less to prove
2 (4)
Rhythm N Rock
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:John Butler
J:Luke Morris
T:John Butler
 140 — 5-3327
85
92
65
 25d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run +2
11.4
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Conditions to suit and he comes here a fresh horse; shouldn't be far away
3 (14)
Helm Rock
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
 139 tp 758878
84
95
77
 25d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run +4
10.2
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Well handicapped but he's not hit top form this year and he's bagged another wide draw
5 (10)
King's Code
Bay
J:Alexandra McDonnell(7)
T:David Evans
J:Alexandra McDonnell(7)
T:David Evans
 139 — 948908
84
98
-
 14d — — +4
10.1
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Gone quiet in recent starts but he's down in the weights and class as a result
1 (3)
Hieronymus
Bay
J:Callum Shepherd
T:George Baker
J:Callum Shepherd
T:George Baker
 141 p 088083
86
93
62
 25d — — +8
13.4
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Conditions in his favour and he ran well in a stronger C&D handicap last time; chance
9 (13)
Monte Linas
Bay
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
 134 — 37-820
79
93
71
 13d — — +4
8.5
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Wasn't out of it when badly hampered in the final furlong latest; dropped 1lb; chance
13 (7)
Lessay
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
 128 p 744756
76
92
55
 26d — — +3
7.7
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Struggled on turf this summer; hopes pinned on cheekpieces/return to AW sparking a revival
6 (12)
Love Billy Boy
Bay
J:Sean Levey
T:Richard Hannon
J:Sean Levey
T:Richard Hannon
 137 b 419323
85
91
-
 19d — — +15
20.1
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Several good runs, including 7.5f Chester win, this year; others appeal more all the same
12 (1)
Golden Sands
Chestnut
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
 132 hp 20-087
77
90
-
 13d — — +5
7.5
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Well drawn for a front-runner and there were more encouraging signs last month
7 (6)
Mirador
Grey
J:Rob Hornby
T:Brian Meehan
J:Rob Hornby
T:Brian Meehan
 135 b 1-05
83
87
20
 28d — — +14
15.6
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Well held in two 1m2f runs this year; unexposed but something to prove tried in blinkers
14 (5)
Aljezur
Bay
J:Jack Dace(7)
T:Luke Dace
J:Jack Dace(7)
T:Luke Dace
 119 p 708367
67
89
63
 11d — — +5
6
37.50/1
150/1
1%
Had plenty of chances now and is drawn widest; due to run 7.30 Kempton yesterday
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Nap Hand
 5/2 11/4 5/2 9/4 5/2
Devoirs Choice
 5/1 5/1 11/2 9/2 11/2
Havanagreattime
 13/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
Bluelight Bay
 8/1 15/2 8/1 7/1 8/1
Rhythm N Rock
 8/1 17/2 8/1 8/1 8/1
Helm Rock
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
King's Code
 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Hieronymus
 16/1 18/1 16/1 16/1 16/1
Monte Linas
 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1
Lessay
 18/1 18/1 18/1 16/1 20/1
Love Billy Boy
 20/1 18/1 20/1 18/1 18/1
Golden Sands
 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1
Mirador
 66/1 50/1 66/1 50/1 50/1
Aljezur
 150/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Devoirs Choice
31.7
OR: 7.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 4.7
11/2
2nd Nap Hand
26.3
OR: 7.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 7.3
11/4
3rd Havanagreattime
22.9
OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6
13/2
4 Love Billy Boy
20.1
OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4
20/1
5 Mirador
15.6
OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.4
66/1
6 Hieronymus
13.4
OR: 9 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4
18/1
7 Rhythm N Rock
11.4
OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
17/2
8 Bluelight Bay
10.3
OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
8/1
9 Helm Rock
10.2
OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
12/1
10 King's Code
10.1
OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
14/1
11 Monte Linas
8.5
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
20/1
12 Lessay
7.7
OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
20/1
13 Golden Sands
7.5
OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
33/1
14 Aljezur
6
OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.2
150/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Havanagreattime
87
92
71
Hieronymus
86
93
62
Rhythm N Rock
85
92
65
Love Billy Boy
85
91
 —
Helm Rock
84
95
77
King's Code
84
98
 —
Mirador
83
87
20
Nap Hand
80
96
66
Devoirs Choice
80
94
 —
Monte Linas
79
93
71
Bluelight Bay
78
88
80
Golden Sands
77
90
 —
Lessay
76
92
55
Aljezur
67
89
63

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Aljezur 11d ago Quick return
Monte Linas 13d ago Quick return
Golden Sands 13d ago Quick return
King's Code 14d ago Fit
Love Billy Boy 19d ago Fit
Nap Hand 25d ago Fit
Rhythm N Rock 25d ago Fit
Helm Rock 25d ago Fit
Hieronymus 25d ago Fit
Lessay 26d ago Fit
Mirador 28d ago Fit
Devoirs Choice 34d ago Fit
Bluelight Bay 69d ago Fresh
Havanagreattime 189d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Golden Sands Front Runner
Rhythm N Rock Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.