Absolut Vodka Apprentice Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

1:40

Absolut Vodka Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (2)	Inappropriate ch J:Kaiya Fraser T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Harry Eustace	133	—	732231	70	83	69	22d	—	—	+3	29.7	9/4 31%
Off the mark with a comfortable Beverley win last month; big chance despite the 4lb rise
11 (4)	Susiesparkle ch J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Iain Jardine	126	tp	020122	59	79	66	13d	—	—	+6	21.2	5/1 17%
Clicked for current yard and travels like a filly who should be ahead of her mark; solid
2 (1)	Eeetee b J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:John Wainwright	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:John Wainwright	137	—	446445	70	81	63	15d	—	—	-6	9.4	11/2 15%
Not the force of old but several good runs for current stable; others stronger for the win
3 (9)	Savrola b J:William Pyle T:Dianne Sayer	J:William Pyle T:Dianne Sayer	136	p	-46645	69	83	59	9d	—	—	-1	7	10/1 9%
Fifth behind Can't Stop Now here last week but met lots of trouble; solid contender
4 (8)	Up The Jazz b J:Aiden Brookes T:Richard Fahey	J:Aiden Brookes T:Richard Fahey	135	—	392163	72	79	67	15d	—	—	+9	17.2	10/1 9%
1m2f win at Ripon in June; good 3rd off this mark latest; down in class with e-w claims
1 (3)	Can't Stop Now ch J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Iain Jardine	138	h	956101	71	80	48	9d	—	—	+14	22.5	9/1 10%
Won two of her last three, both over C&D; scrambled home latest but this is a weaker race
7 (12)	Peace Walk b J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	588565	70	80	60	27d	—	—	0	6.7	14/1 7%
2yo promise seems a long time ago but down in trip & class so a revival is not impossible
9 (10)	Jewel Maker b J:Amie Waugh T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh T:Tim Easterby	131	—	224364	64	79	68	9d	—	—	+3	7.2	20/1 5%
Veteran who is in top form & was close up in 4th behind Can't Stop Now over C&D last week
10 (11)	Tilsitt b J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:R Mike Smith	129	tp	340288	62	79	73	9d	—	—	+2	6.7	18/1 5%
Conditions no problem but on a losing run and behind a few of these here last week
12 (6)	Ayr Poet b J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	125	p	086370	58	81	64	21d	—	—	+1	4.5	22/1 4%
Mixed bag this year and needs a full revival to take this
8 (7)	Melinda b J:Oisin McSweeney T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin McSweeney T:Lucinda Russell	133	—	454	70	73	61	29d	—	—	+3	5.8	33/1 3%
Switch to handicap level, shorter trip and better ground could all spark improvement
5 (5)	The Nu Form Way b J:Andrew Breslin T:Stella Barclay	J:Andrew Breslin T:Stella Barclay	134	—	95-878	67	73	50	22d	—	—	+3	4.8	50/1 2%
Yet to fire after a long absence but down in weights and worth a market check

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Inappropriate	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1
Susiesparkle	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Eeetee	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Savrola	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Up The Jazz	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Can't Stop Now	17/2	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Peace Walk	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Jewel Maker	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Tilsitt	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Ayr Poet	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Melinda	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
The Nu Form Way	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Inappropriate

29.7

OR: 5 Form: 16.7 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Can't Stop Now

22.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 15 Odds: 2.2

9/1

3rd

Susiesparkle

21.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Up The Jazz

17.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Eeetee

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Jewel Maker

7.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Savrola

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Peace Walk

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Tilsitt

6.7

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Melinda

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

The Nu Form Way

4.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ayr Poet

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Up The Jazz Top Rated	72	79	67
Can't Stop Now	71	80	48
Inappropriate	70	83	69
Eeetee	70	81	63
Peace Walk	70	80	60
Melinda	70	73	61
Savrola	69	83	59
The Nu Form Way	67	73	50
Jewel Maker	64	79	68
Tilsitt	62	79	73
Susiesparkle	59	79	66
Ayr Poet	58	81	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Savrola	9d ago	Quick return
Can't Stop Now	9d ago	Quick return
Jewel Maker	9d ago	Quick return
Tilsitt	9d ago	Quick return
Susiesparkle	13d ago	Quick return
Eeetee	15d ago	Fit
Up The Jazz	15d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	21d ago	Fit
Inappropriate	22d ago	Fit
The Nu Form Way	22d ago	Fit
Peace Walk	27d ago	Fit
Melinda	29d ago	Fit