Absolut Vodka Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

4:33

Absolut Vodka Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10 (6)	Rwenearlytheredad b J:Daniel Tudhope T:Declan Carroll	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Declan Carroll	130	—	978342	55	71	64	8d	—	—	-11	16.2	9/4 31%
Season's best effort latest; up in trip; will need to settle better if he is to prevail.
6 (5)	Mr Jetman b J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	136	—	2-3234	61	71	66	40d	—	—	-6	11.3	9/2 18%
A model of consistency in defeat this season; mark unchanged; should again be thereabouts.
3 (4)	Shine On Brendan b J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Goldie	141	b	624451	66	75	61	10d	—	—	+1	20.7	11/2 15%
4lb worse with Gainsbourg for a ready success latest; has paid to follow him when in form.
4 (9)	Strongbowe b J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tim Easterby	140	tp	002490	65	78	54	25d	—	—	-1	7.5	12/1 8%
Well in on 2023 form; tongue-tie accompanies cheekpieces; support would pique interest.
8 (2)	Colorada Dancer b J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	135	p	468004	63	69	58	16d	—	—	-4	5.9	8/1 11%
Drops another 2lb but we haven't seen enough to suggest that will tip the scales his way.
2 (1)	Gainsbourg b J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	142	p	081902	67	71	52	10d	—	—	+4	15.3	12/1 8%
Put two lacklustre efforts behind him second in a 0-68 latest; each-way player.
7 (7)	Straya ch J:P J McDonald T:Katie Scott	J:P J McDonald T:Katie Scott	135	—	756855	63	72	61	9d	—	—	-1	4.9	16/1 6%
Beaten 2l over C&D latest; drops slightly in grade again but still needs to pull out more.
11 (10)	Zumaaty b J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Jim Goldie	123	—	099015	48	72	42	8d	—	—	+4	8.2	20/1 5%
Won this in 2022; game win at Hamilton on his penultimate start but below par latest.
5 (3)	Izzari b J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Iain Jardine	139	—	6368	67	68	46	18d	—	—	+3	6.6	40/1 2%
Disappointing when coming in for some support but never involved on handicap debut latest.
1 (11)	Jackhammer b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	142	b	445725	67	73	47	—	—	—	+6	8.5	40/1 2%
Below par in a better race than this latest but a player if close to his season's best.
9 (8)	Cisco Disco b J:Clifford Lee T:R Mike Smith	J:Clifford Lee T:R Mike Smith	133	t	775690	58	71	58	21d	—	—	0	2.7	40/1 2%
Changed hands prior to his latest C&D defeat; drops another 3lb but big revival needed.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rwenearlytheredad	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	9/4
Mr Jetman	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Shine On Brendan	9/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	3/1
Strongbowe	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Colorada Dancer	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Gainsbourg	8/1	6/1	17/2	6/1	12/1
Straya	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Zumaaty	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Izzari	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Jackhammer	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Cisco Disco	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shine On Brendan

20.7

OR: 4 Form: 11 Odds: 5.7

11/2

2nd

Rwenearlytheredad

16.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Gainsbourg

15.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 8 Odds: 3.1

12/1

Mr Jetman

11.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Jackhammer

8.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Zumaaty

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Strongbowe

7.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Izzari

6.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Colorada Dancer

5.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Straya

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Cisco Disco

2.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gainsbourg Top Rated	67	71	52
Izzari	67	68	46
Jackhammer	67	73	47
Shine On Brendan	66	75	61
Strongbowe	65	78	54
Colorada Dancer	63	69	58
Straya	63	72	61
Mr Jetman	61	71	66
Cisco Disco	58	71	58
Rwenearlytheredad	55	71	64
Zumaaty	48	72	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rwenearlytheredad	8d ago	Quick return
Zumaaty	8d ago	Quick return
Straya	9d ago	Quick return
Shine On Brendan	10d ago	Quick return
Gainsbourg	10d ago	Quick return
Colorada Dancer	16d ago	Fit
Izzari	18d ago	Fit
Cisco Disco	21d ago	Fit
Strongbowe	25d ago	Fit
Mr Jetman	40d ago	Fit
Jackhammer	—	—