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Ayr

4:00

Aperol Handicap

Date 2024-10-10
Distance 7f50y
Class Class 5
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
13 (2)
John L Sullivan
b
J:Oisin Orr
T:Lucinda Russell
J:Oisin Orr
T:Lucinda Russell
 128 t 214473
65
85
73
 9d — — 0
12.4
6/1
14%
1m win at Wetherby in June and he was an eyecatching 3rd over C&D last week; on good mark
10 (5)
Jenni
b
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:David O'Meara
 134 — 436216
71
83
60
 9d — — +5
19.4
5/1
17%
C&D win last month but not so good last week; career best required to win
7 (12)
Cancan In The Rain
b
J:P J McDonald
T:Charlie Johnston
J:P J McDonald
T:Charlie Johnston
 136 — 4-6662
71
82
62
 11d — — -3
8.6
13/2
13%
Good 2nd to a handicap blot at Southwell 11 days ago; 3lb well in; not sure to back it up
6 (13)
Yaaser
b
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
 136 — 470174
71
82
55
 9d — — +2
13.3
7/1
13%
Course win (1m) last month and also ran well here last week; feasible mark; shortlisted
2 (7)
Maxi Boy
b
J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
T:Fionn McSharry
J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
T:Fionn McSharry
 140 — 520001
75
86
80
 9d — — +9
20.3
8/1
11%
Came from off the pace to win easily at Newcastle latest (7f); no penalty and 6lb well in
5 (11)
Prairie Falcon
b
J:Clifford Lee
T:Michael Dods
J:Clifford Lee
T:Michael Dods
 137 p 284676
72
81
67
 19d — — -2
8.4
15/2
12%
On a losing run and he hasn't built on his promising seasonal reappearance; yard run three
1 (4)
Abruzzo Mia
b
J:Rhys Elliott(7)
T:Michael Dods
J:Rhys Elliott(7)
T:Michael Dods
 142 — 736197
77
82
62
 19d — — +7
14.5
10/1
9%
Not fired the last twice but drops in class today and this year's best gives him a shout
8 (8)
Sparkling Red
b
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
 136 v 868641
71
82
65
 24d — — +11
17
12/1
8%
Revived by step up to 7f; 5lb rise for Thirsk win asks more but well treated on 2023 form
11 (3)
Novak
gr
J:William Pyle(3)
T:Iain Jardine
J:William Pyle(3)
T:Iain Jardine
 130 — 848205
65
81
57
 9d — — +1
8.2
14/1
7%
Unplaced in Class 6 events over C&D the last twice; needs to raise his game to win
9 (9)
Graecia
b
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:John Butler
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:John Butler
 134 — 5-4247
71
79
55
 3d — — +1
6.9
16/1
6%
Low-key run at Pontefract on Monday; drops in trip with a good apprentice booked
3 (1)
Spun To Gold
b
J:Amie Waugh(3)
T:Jim Goldie
J:Amie Waugh(3)
T:Jim Goldie
 139 — 1-4438
76
81
56
 106d — — +11
14.4
33/1
3%
Down in class for this stable debut but he has a three-month absence to contend with
4 (6)
Surprise Picture
b
J:Harrison Shaw
T:Grant Tuer
J:Harrison Shaw
T:Grant Tuer
 137 v 528127
72
81
43
 17d — — +13
15.9
28/1
3%
Not at his best last time and opposable returned to turf
12 (10)
American Star
b
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
 128 p 557048
63
82
71
 17d — — +1
4
40/1
2%
Should be well treated but he's been up and down this year and others look safer
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
John L Sullivan
 6/1 6/1 11/2 6/1 6/1
Jenni
 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 9/2
Cancan In The Rain
 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
Yaaser
 13/2 7/1 13/2 13/2 7/1
Maxi Boy
 6/1 8/1 8/1 7/1 13/2
Prairie Falcon
 15/2 7/1 7/1 15/2 15/2
Abruzzo Mia
 10/1 10/1 10/1 9/1 9/1
Sparkling Red
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Novak
 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Graecia
 16/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1
Spun To Gold
 33/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Surprise Picture
 28/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 22/1
American Star
 40/1 33/1 40/1 33/1 25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Maxi Boy
20.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 3.1
8/1
2nd Jenni
19.4
OR: 5.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 4
5/1
3rd Sparkling Red
17
OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7
12/1
4 Surprise Picture
15.9
OR: 5.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.9
28/1
5 Abruzzo Mia
14.5
OR: 6.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.1
10/1
6 Spun To Gold
14.4
OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9
33/1
7 Yaaser
13.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1
7/1
8 John L Sullivan
12.4
OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6
6/1
9 Cancan In The Rain
8.6
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
13/2
10 Prairie Falcon
8.4
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
15/2
11 Novak
8.2
OR: 3.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9
14/1
12 Graecia
6.9
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16/1
13 American Star
4
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Abruzzo Mia Top Rated
77
82
62
Spun To Gold
76
81
56
Maxi Boy
75
86
80
Prairie Falcon
72
81
67
Surprise Picture
72
81
43
Jenni
71
83
60
Cancan In The Rain
71
82
62
Yaaser
71
82
55
Sparkling Red
71
82
65
Graecia
71
79
55
John L Sullivan
65
85
73
Novak
65
81
57
American Star
63
82
71

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Graecia 3d ago Quick return
John L Sullivan 9d ago Quick return
Jenni 9d ago Quick return
Yaaser 9d ago Quick return
Maxi Boy 9d ago Quick return
Novak 9d ago Quick return
Cancan In The Rain 11d ago Quick return
Surprise Picture 17d ago Fit
American Star 17d ago Fit
Prairie Falcon 19d ago Fit
Abruzzo Mia 19d ago Fit
Sparkling Red 24d ago Fit
Spun To Gold 106d ago Long break

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Surprise Picture Prominent
Maxi Boy Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.