Join Racing TV Nursery Handicap – Haydock

Haydock

14:20

Join Racing TV Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-18

Distance 7f37y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 37.32s (slow by 10.22s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pivotal Days (GB) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	6/1	Won
2nd	Lovely Spirit (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	7/2	4.5
3rd	Timefall (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	15/8F	1.5
4th	Cashlyn Cavalier (FR) Sam James · K R Burke	3/1	1.5
5th	Karl Carlston (IRE) David Egan · Darryll Holland	7/1	24

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Timefall Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	136	—	24138	76	78	64	36d	—	—	-2	21.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Respectable eighth in Doncaster sales race last time; enters calculations
7 (4)	Cashlyn Cavalier Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	131	t	5672	71	83	78	16d	—	—	-7	17.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Nearly justified strong market support at Musselburgh on handicap debut; respected
4 (1)	Lovely Spirit Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	135	—	33212	75	81	65	28d	—	—	+9	28	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Good effort at Ayr took her form figures to 33212; looks a solid contender
9 (8)	Pivotal Days Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	127	—	94357	67	81	72	36d	—	—	-4	9.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Needs improvement on nursery efforts but this drop back to 7f may help
3 (6)	Karl Carlston Chestnut J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	135	—	30441	75	82	65	15d	—	—	+7	20.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Off the mark in AW nursery two weeks ago; 6lb rise demands further progress
NR (2)	Rokuni Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	p	494105	76	80	-	28d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
Appeared to be outstayed over 7f on soft last time and may need a sharper test
NR (7)	Ran Amok Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	134	t	5190	74	81	49	33d	—	—	—	11	—	—
Has a standout performance (maiden win); gelded since last run; not a solid option
NR (3)	Reddeef Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Fellowes	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Fellowes	133	—	635	73	79	-	29d	—	—	—	7.9	—	—
Open to progress now handicapping and back on slower ground; interesting
NR (9)	Methgal Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	131	p	463	71	80	74	29d	—	0W/1P 1 run	—	8.3	—	—
Return to 7f looks a plus; possibilities, provided he takes well to headgear

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Timefall	5/2	5/2	5/2
Cashlyn Cavalier	5/2	9/4	5/2
Lovely Spirit	10/3	10/3	10/3
Pivotal Days	6/1	13/2	6/1
Karl Carlston	7/1	11/2	11/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lovely Spirit

OR: 6.3 Form: 16 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Timefall

21.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Karl Carlston

20.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4

7/1

Cashlyn Cavalier

17.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Rokuni

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Ran Amok

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Pivotal Days

9.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

13/2

Methgal

8.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Reddeef

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Timefall	76	78	64
Rokuni	76	80	—
Lovely Spirit	75	81	65
Karl Carlston	75	82	65
Ran Amok	74	81	49
Reddeef	73	79	—
Cashlyn Cavalier	71	83	78
Methgal	71	80	74
Pivotal Days	67	81	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karl Carlston	15d ago	Fit
Cashlyn Cavalier	16d ago	Fit
Lovely Spirit	28d ago	Fit
Rokuni	28d ago	Fit
Reddeef	29d ago	Fit
Methgal	29d ago	Fit
Ran Amok	33d ago	Fit
Timefall	36d ago	Fit
Pivotal Days	36d ago	Fit