Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap – Haydock

Haydock

14:55

Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-18

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 19.22s (slow by 8.72s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Station X (GB) Sean D Bowen · Bryan Smart	14/1	Won
2nd	Jayvee (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	12/1	1
3rd	Nebrook Dream (GB) Adam Farragher · Amy Murphy	13/2	0.3
4th	Sir Palamedes (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	7/2	2.75
5th	Mamma Maria (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	9/4F	.75
6th	Herecomesthebear (IRE) Joe Leavy · Hugo Palmer	5/1	2
7th	Sabrimento (IRE) Harry Davies · Brian Meehan	12/1	1
8th	Captain Pickles (IRE) Andrew Elliott · Stella Barclay	50/1	1.5
9th	Forteleza (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	11/1	10

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Herecomesthebear Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	122	—	675163	62	82	68	23d	—	—	-1	16	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won on heavy ground in August; ties in closely with Forteleza on latest effort; player
6 (8)	Mamma Maria Grey J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	745	68	82	74	30d	—	—	-12	11.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Looks the type to do better now handicapping; interesting
3 (2)	Sir Palamedes Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	134	—	452017	74	82	65	11d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Disappointing last week; scored on heavy ground the time before
5 (4)	Nebrook Dream Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	130	tp	3071	70	81	77	10d	—	—	+7	19.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Needs to overcome penalty (1lb lower in future) but could well build on the Leicester win
1 (3)	Jayvee Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	136	b	19900	76	81	64	13d	—	—	+4	10.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Returns to a realistic level for first time since debut win; not ruled out
8 (9)	Sabrimento Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Brian Meehan	J:Harry Davies T:Brian Meehan	122	b	566774	62	81	63	17d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Sneaked into the frame at Bath last time, posting his best handicap effort
4 (5)	Forteleza Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	130	p	5432	70	81	59	23d	—	—	+7	14	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has shown steady improvement; neck second at Redcar most recently; strong contender
2 (1)	Station X Grey J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Bryan Smart	135	—	286284	75	83	72	16d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Inconsistent results over 5f; possibilities if helped by new trip
7 (7)	Captain Pickles Bay J:Andrew Elliott T:Stella Barclay	J:Andrew Elliott T:Stella Barclay	126	—	44086	66	82	64	27d	—	—	+2	4.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Far from solid on form; others preferred

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Herecomesthebear	4/1	4/1	4/1
Mamma Maria	5/2	5/2	5/2
Sir Palamedes	9/2	9/2	4/1
Nebrook Dream	5/1	11/2	6/1
Jayvee	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sabrimento	12/1	12/1	12/1
Forteleza	12/1	10/1	11/1
Station X	14/1	12/1	14/1
Captain Pickles	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Palamedes

19.5

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Nebrook Dream

19.5

OR: 5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Herecomesthebear

OR: 3 Form: 8 Odds: 5

4/1

Forteleza

OR: 5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Mamma Maria

11.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Station X

10.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Jayvee

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Sabrimento

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Captain Pickles

4.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jayvee	76	81	64
Station X	75	83	72
Sir Palamedes	74	82	65
Nebrook Dream	70	81	77
Forteleza	70	81	59
Mamma Maria	68	82	74
Captain Pickles	66	82	64
Herecomesthebear	62	82	68
Sabrimento	62	81	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nebrook Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Sir Palamedes	11d ago	Quick return
Jayvee	13d ago	Quick return
Station X	16d ago	Fit
Sabrimento	17d ago	Fit
Herecomesthebear	23d ago	Fit
Forteleza	23d ago	Fit
Captain Pickles	27d ago	Fit
Mamma Maria	30d ago	Fit