Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-10-19

Distance 1m1f104y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Rocket Warrior Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	136	—	-11529	78	81	61	92d	—	—	+3	20.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner in March; not without a chance if ready to roll after three months off
10 (10)	Secret World Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	129	p	872324	71	87	-	24d	—	—	0	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Knocking at the door on turf; 1-1 at Wolverhampton; interesting contender
4 (4)	Salamanca Lad Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Saffie Osborne T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	136	tb	111724	78	84	75	31d	—	—	+5	19.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Front-runner; three wins in summer and ran creditably last time; in the mix once more
8 (11)	Charlie's Choice Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	131	—	152324	69	87	76	74d	—	—	-1	16.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Consistent; C&D winner; creditable fourth when last seen in August; has run well fresh
9 (7)	Tribal Wisdom Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	131	—	525264	69	87	44	64d	—	—	0	11.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won here early in year and went close at Chelmsford in March; possibilities after a break
1 (9)	Fast Steps Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	139	—	152447	77	86	-	20d	—	—	+2	10.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Made the frame three times after Newbury win, but disappointing last time
2 (3)	Polling Day Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	139	t	4-4006	77	90	65	24d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Both wins have come on AW; some promise when sixth at Kempton last time; 3lb lower today
6 (1)	Ernie's Valentine Grey J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	134	et	950066	72	92	63	19d	—	—	+1	7.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Recent runs below par but is well handicapped on best form, 6lb lower than for last win
11 (8)	Destinado Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	125	b	687066	63	86	52	12d	—	—	+1	4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Six wins early in 2024, including over C&D, but recent efforts have been subdued
5 (2)	Local Bay Brown J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	134	—	613140	72	85	47	19d	—	—	+12	13.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Four turf wins this year but seems to have gone off the boil and well held here last time
NR (6)	Visibility Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	132	—	494331	70	87	64	12d	—	—	—	18.6	—	—
Sixth course success 12 days ago; nudged up just 2lb and should be involved once more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rocket Warrior	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Secret World	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Salamanca Lad	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Charlie's Choice	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Tribal Wisdom	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Fast Steps	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Polling Day	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ernie's Valentine	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Destinado	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Local Bay	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rocket Warrior

20.5

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Salamanca Lad

19.9

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Visibility

18.6

OR: 5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 0

—

Secret World

16.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Charlie's Choice

16.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

5/1

Local Bay

13.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Tribal Wisdom

11.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Fast Steps

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Polling Day

8.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ernie's Valentine

7.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Destinado

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rocket Warrior	78	81	61
Salamanca Lad	78	84	75
Fast Steps	77	86	—
Polling Day	77	90	65
Ernie's Valentine	72	92	63
Local Bay	72	85	47
Secret World	71	87	—
Visibility	70	87	64
Charlie's Choice	69	87	76
Tribal Wisdom	69	87	44
Destinado	63	86	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Destinado	12d ago	Quick return
Visibility	12d ago	Quick return
Ernie's Valentine	19d ago	Fit
Local Bay	19d ago	Fit
Fast Steps	20d ago	Fit
Secret World	24d ago	Fit
Polling Day	24d ago	Fit
Salamanca Lad	31d ago	Fit
Tribal Wisdom	64d ago	Fresh
Charlie's Choice	74d ago	Fresh
Rocket Warrior	92d ago	Long break