Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-10-19

Distance 1m1f104y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Highland Spring Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:William Haggas	J:Saffie Osborne T:William Haggas	138	b	855107	80	84	62	3d	—	—	0	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won at Kempton in first-time blinkers in August; respectable seventh of 14 there on Weds
7 (5)	Rosenzoo Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	156722	77	85	68	22d	—	—	+3	20.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner and good runner-up efforts back here the last twice; should go well again
6 (11)	Drink Dry Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	135	p	321473	77	82	-	50d	—	—	+5	17.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent since cheekpieces have been applied; makes AW debut after seven weeks off
4 (10)	Monsieur Fudge Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	136	—	3-24	78	84	-	30d	—	—	+1	12.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Promise in maiden/novices and has the potential for better in handicaps
2 (7)	Arcadian Nights Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	139	—	145097	77	89	67	28d	—	—	-2	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Not at best lately but now 1lb lower than when successful over C&D in February
5 (2)	Beylerbeyi Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	136	—	113855	74	83	59	42d	—	—	+2	11.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Completed a hat-trick in June/July but recent efforts only respectable
1 (9)	Warren Hill Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley T:Roger Varian	142	—	1-4419	80	83	50	65d	—	—	+9	16.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Below par on turf latest but this former AW winner is capable of bouncing back after break
9 (8)	Glendower Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	131	h	322209	73	81	-	10d	—	—	+6	12.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Seems to be going the wrong way and remains to be seen if switch to AW helps
10 (3)	Flatley Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	130	—	541787	68	82	57	22d	—	—	+6	8.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Below par since turf win in July but dangerous to rule out as a three-time course winner
11 (6)	Nogradi Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	127	—	0637	69	81	-	22d	—	—	+5	7.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Lightly raced but never involved on recent course handicap debut
8 (1)	Ghasham Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ian Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Ian Williams	132	—	6387/0	70	70	16	17d	—	—	+3	5.7	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well held on recent return from long absence and can only be watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Highland Spring	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Rosenzoo	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Drink Dry	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Monsieur Fudge	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Arcadian Nights	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2
Beylerbeyi	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Warren Hill	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Glendower	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Flatley	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Nogradi	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Ghasham	200/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rosenzoo

20.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Highland Spring

17.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Drink Dry

17.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Warren Hill

16.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Glendower

12.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Monsieur Fudge

12.4

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Beylerbeyi

11.6

OR: 6 Form: 2.9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Arcadian Nights

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Flatley

8.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Nogradi

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ghasham

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Highland Spring	80	84	62
Warren Hill	80	83	50
Monsieur Fudge	78	84	—
Rosenzoo	77	85	68
Drink Dry	77	82	—
Arcadian Nights	77	89	67
Beylerbeyi	74	83	59
Glendower	73	81	—
Ghasham	70	70	16
Nogradi	69	81	—
Flatley	68	82	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Highland Spring	3d ago	Quick return
Glendower	10d ago	Quick return
Ghasham	17d ago	Fit
Rosenzoo	22d ago	Fit
Flatley	22d ago	Fit
Nogradi	22d ago	Fit
Arcadian Nights	28d ago	Fit
Monsieur Fudge	30d ago	Fit
Beylerbeyi	42d ago	Fit
Drink Dry	50d ago	Fresh
Warren Hill	65d ago	Fresh