At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2024-10-19

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 13.75s (slow by 1.85s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Saffredi (GB) Ray Dawson · Grace Harris	6/1	Won
2nd	Prince Of Bel Lir (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Joseph Parr	11/4F	.5
3rd	Arlecchino's Gift (GB) Tyler Heard · Mark Usher	8/1	2.75
4th	Vape (GB) William Carson · John & Rhys Flint	9/1	.75
5th	King's Gem (IRE) Zoe Lewis · Thomas Faulkner	80/1	.5
6th	Impeach (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Michael Attwater	20/1	0.3
7th	Not Just Yet (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Nikki Evans	18/1	0.3
8th	Walking On Clouds (IRE) Liam Keniry · John Butler	3/1	.75
9th	Doctor Vuby (IRE) Shane Gray · Michael & David Easterby	5/1	.75
10th	Bomb Squad (IRE) Marco Ghiani · John Mackie	18/1	0.3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Walking On Clouds Bay J:Liam Keniry T:John Butler	J:Liam Keniry T:John Butler	137	—	866897	64	77	60	82d	—	—	-11	9.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Thrown in on best form but little promise this year; watch the market
9 (10)	Prince Of Bel Lir Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	132	p	626530	59	76	-	55d	—	—	-9	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-8 this term; hopes rest on a short break and Daniel Muscutt replacing a 7lb claimer
4 (1)	Doctor Vuby Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	136	h	220570	64	79	62	61d	—	—	-5	8.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Well held on turf last four starts; gelding op and return to AW could spark a revival
1 (4)	Arlecchino's Gift Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	138	—	417921	65	76	62	42d	—	—	+8	23.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D win last month has been boosted; likely to be in the shake-up again
12 (6)	Saffredi Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Grace Harris	J:Ray Dawson T:Grace Harris	127	—	364955	55	73	52	12d	—	—	-7	4.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Fifth on both outings for this yard and gives the impression this drop to 6f may suit
8 (8)	Vape Grey J:William Carson T:John & Rhys Flint	J:William Carson T:John & Rhys Flint	133	p	516355	60	71	65	16d	—	—	+2	7.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made all at Chepstow in July; fifth at Chelmsford two weeks ago; unlikely to be far away
7 (2)	Not Just Yet Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Nikki Evans	J:Saffie Osborne T:Nikki Evans	135	—	-60625	62	75	47	44d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Easily best effort for current yard when beaten neck over C&D in August; not ruled out
11 (9)	Bomb Squad Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:John Mackie	J:Marco Ghiani T:John Mackie	128	p	4427-0	55	78	-	11d	—	—	-3	3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
C&D winner; needs to have come on a good deal for belated reappearance
10 (12)	Impeach Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	132	p	642556	59	77	62	16d	—	—	+1	4.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unplaced three times since a near miss at Salisbury in July; no obvious excuses on latest
6 (3)	King's Gem Bay J:Zoe Lewis(7) T:Thomas Faulkner	J:Zoe Lewis(7) T:Thomas Faulkner	135	t	8440-9	62	64	47	24d	—	—	+1	3.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Expensive to follow last year; showed little at 80-1 on return; difficult to recommend
NR (7)	Professor Tickle Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	137	b	5-8096	65	71	24	60d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Has beaten just three rivals in four runs this year; needs to have been revived by a break
NR (11)	Betties Bay Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	136	tp	759060	64	68	65	39d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Regressive in 2024; combination of tongue-strap/cheekpieces last time failed to stop slide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Walking On Clouds	3/1	7/2	10/3	10/3	11/4
Prince Of Bel Lir	3/1	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Doctor Vuby	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1
Arlecchino's Gift	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	4/1
Saffredi	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	7/1
Vape	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Not Just Yet	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Bomb Squad	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	11/1
Impeach	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
King's Gem	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arlecchino's Gift

23.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 4.4

6/1

2nd

Prince Of Bel Lir

11.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Walking On Clouds

9.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Not Just Yet

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Doctor Vuby

8.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Vape

7.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Impeach

4.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Saffredi

4.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Professor Tickle

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

King's Gem

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Betties Bay

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bomb Squad

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arlecchino's Gift	65	76	62
Professor Tickle	65	71	24
Walking On Clouds	64	77	60
Doctor Vuby	64	79	62
Betties Bay	64	68	65
Not Just Yet	62	75	47
King's Gem	62	64	47
Vape	60	71	65
Prince Of Bel Lir	59	76	—
Impeach	59	77	62
Saffredi	55	73	52
Bomb Squad	55	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bomb Squad	11d ago	Quick return
Saffredi	12d ago	Quick return
Vape	16d ago	Fit
Impeach	16d ago	Fit
King's Gem	24d ago	Fit
Betties Bay	39d ago	Fit
Arlecchino's Gift	42d ago	Fit
Not Just Yet	44d ago	Fit
Prince Of Bel Lir	55d ago	Fresh
Professor Tickle	60d ago	Fresh
Doctor Vuby	61d ago	Fresh
Walking On Clouds	82d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.