You Make Good Possible Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course B+2) (Turf)

Sha Tin

18:15

Date 2024-10-20

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £65,915

Winning Time 1m 21.52s (slow by 0.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Win Speed (NZ) Matthew Chadwick · Mark Newnham	206/10	Won
2nd	Legend St Paul's (NZ) K C Leung · F C Lor	17/1	1.5
3rd	Corleone (AUS) Hugh Bowman · C Fownes	28/1	1.5
4th	Amazing Run (AUS) Lyle Hewitson · David A Hayes	9/1	.75
5th	Affirm (AUS) Harry Bentley · P F Yiu	39/10	0.3
6th	California Moxie (IRE) Brenton Avdulla · A S Cruz	30/1	0.05
7th	Lucky Touch (NZ) C Y Ho · Jamie Richards	9/1	1
8th	Dream Pursuer (AUS) L J Ferraris · K L Man	57/1	.75
9th	Forerunner (FR) Zac Purton · W K Mo	11/10F	.75
10th	Skyey Blue (IRE) Angus Chung · C W Chang	191/1	0.1
11th	Roman Crown (IRE) Karis Teetan · P C Ng	16/1	.5
12th	Harmony N Home (IRE) Matthew Poon · C S Shum	19/1	0.3
13th	Fashion Legend (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · David Eustace	16/1	0.05
14th	Firefoot (AUS) Jerry Chau · W Y So	121/1	.5

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R15 (15)	Mr Energia Bay J:TBC T:D J Hall	J: T:D J Hall	129	b	00513	54	74	-	22d	—	—	—	11	—	—
Back from the season break with a bang and ran well on his latest start; contender
R16 (16)	Lucky Gold Bay J:TBC T:K W Lui	J: T:K W Lui	127	b	910780	52	79	-	42d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Ended last season with some disappointing efforts; fared no better on his return
1 (4)	Roman Crown Bay J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	135	—	1-1800	60	69	-	19d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Safely held in all three local starts so far; should find things easier in this grade
2 (13)	Fashion Legend Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:David Eustace	J:Andrea Atzeni T:David Eustace	133	t	647880	58	79	-	119d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Hinted at a breakthrough in March but four lesser efforts followed; seasonal/stable debut
3 (2)	Dream Pursuer Bay J:L J Ferraris T:K L Man	J:L J Ferraris T:K L Man	130	b	182009	55	78	-	14d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Out of sorts by the end of last season; looked in need of the run on his recent return
4 (11)	Amazing Run Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:David A Hayes	J:Lyle Hewitson T:David A Hayes	128	—	565015	53	79	-	22d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Scored over C&D on his return and ran well off his revised rating three weeks ago; chance
5 (1)	Corleone Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	127	—	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Out of a smart Australian sprinter; came third in a recent trial and evidently has ability
6 (9)	Forerunner Chestnut J:Zac Purton T:W K Mo	J:Zac Purton T:W K Mo	127	t	422242	52	80	-	22d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Again found only one too good here last month; strong claims once again
7 (5)	Legend St Paul'S Bay J:K C Leung T:F C Lor	J:K C Leung T:F C Lor	127	—	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Has caught the eye in recent barrier trials; any market support needs to be noted
8 (7)	Lucky Touch Bay J:C Y Ho T:Jamie Richards	J:C Y Ho T:Jamie Richards	127	tb	354286	52	76	-	22d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Posted a creditable effort on his return last month; warrants plenty of respect
9 (6)	California Moxie Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	125	tb	555676	50	78	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Yet to get seriously involved in a couple of handicap events; blinkers now preferred
10 (8)	Harmony N Home Brown J:Matthew Poon(2) T:C S Shum	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:C S Shum	124	—	870114	49	76	-	22d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Completed consecutive victories either side of the season break; capable off revised mark
11 (10)	Firefoot Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:W Y So	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:W Y So	121	t	008	45	65	-	111d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Struggled to make any impact on his first three career starts; can only be watched
12 (14)	Affirm Chestnut J:Harry Bentley T:P F Yiu	J:Harry Bentley T:P F Yiu	119	tv	244442	44	75	-	22d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Front-runner who remains a maiden but was unlucky not to strike over C&D last month
13 (3)	Skyey Blue Chestnut J:Angus Chung(3) T:C W Chang	J:Angus Chung(3) T:C W Chang	118	t	78068	43	76	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Showed improvement when denied a clear run on last month's return; may have more to offer
14 (12)	Win Speed Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:Mark Newnham	J:Matthew Chadwick T:Mark Newnham	117	b	000074	42	71	-	22d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Outran his odds when fourth on his return last month; needs to build on that run

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Harmony N Home

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Mr Energia

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Forerunner

10.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Roman Crown

9.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Amazing Run

7.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Affirm

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Touch

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Dream Pursuer

2.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Gold

2.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Fashion Legend

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Corleone

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Legend St Paul'S

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

California Moxie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Firefoot

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Skyey Blue

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Win Speed

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roman Crown	60	69	—
Fashion Legend	58	79	—
Dream Pursuer	55	78	—
Mr Energia	54	74	—
Amazing Run	53	79	—
Lucky Gold	52	79	—
Corleone	52	—	—
Forerunner	52	80	—
Legend St Paul'S	52	—	—
Lucky Touch	52	76	—
California Moxie	50	78	—
Harmony N Home	49	76	—
Firefoot	45	65	—
Affirm	44	75	—
Skyey Blue	43	76	—
Win Speed	42	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dream Pursuer	14d ago	Fit
Roman Crown	19d ago	Fit
Mr Energia	22d ago	Fit
Amazing Run	22d ago	Fit
Forerunner	22d ago	Fit
Lucky Touch	22d ago	Fit
Harmony N Home	22d ago	Fit
Affirm	22d ago	Fit
Win Speed	22d ago	Fit
California Moxie	28d ago	Fit
Skyey Blue	28d ago	Fit
Lucky Gold	42d ago	Fit
Firefoot	111d ago	Long break
Fashion Legend	119d ago	Long break
Corleone	—	—
Legend St Paul'S	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 14 draws with historical results at this course and distance.