Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden – Navan

Navan

14:35

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 5f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €10,620

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Lunigiana Bay J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	128	—	23333	82	90	85	34d	—	—	-2	24.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Looks like one of those that will be difficult to win with and may find a couple too good
3 (11)	Snapdragon Brown J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	133	b	222494	90	96	93	11d	—	—	-8	21.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Can over-race and does not get home in her races; tries the stiff five again here
4 (1)	Turners Cross Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	133	—	5002	87	90	60	32d	—	—	+3	19	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Could well be progressive and a reproduction of his last run can see him go close again
NR (9)	Morally Sound Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2000,000Eur yearling; would not have to be a superstar to get involved here on his debut
2 (8)	Real Life Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	133	—	—	-	31	-	170d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Clearly much better was expected on debut and might be dangerous to underestimate here
9 (2)	New Theory Chestnut J:Darragh O'Sullivan(7) T:J A Stack	J:Darragh O'Sullivan(7) T:J A Stack	128	—	2567	70	82	55	25d	—	—	+2	8.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Down the field in a moderately contested Goffs 500 last time; others preferred
6 (3)	Kilmood Susan Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Ronan Whelan T:Daniel James Murphy	128	p	224	71	82	69	124d	—	—	+8	12.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Handles an ease and has a bit to find on ratings but should go well on early season form
11 (6)	Vanilla Baby Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	35	-	69	45	22d	—	—	0	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Soundly beaten in two starts, showing marginal improvement on her second; more needed
5 (4)	Isabella Expert Bay J:Cristiano Martins T:W P Browne	J:Cristiano Martins T:W P Browne	128	b	0540	68	82	51	33d	—	—	+3	5.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well beaten in cheekpieces at Dundalk latest and blinkers are tried here; others preferred
10 (10)	Star Allure Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Ms Claire O'Connell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Ms Claire O'Connell	128	—	30	-	64	43	123d	—	—	+1	2.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Hard to assess and probably best watched on her Irish debut after four months off
NR (7)	Miss Travers Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	128	—	3	-	75	51	22d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Ran okay at Cork; stiffer five should suit and should improve enough to be a factor here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lunigiana	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1	85/40
Snapdragon	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Turners Cross	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Morally Sound	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
Real Life	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
New Theory	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Kilmood Susan	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Vanilla Baby	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Isabella Expert	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Star Allure	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lunigiana

24.5

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Snapdragon

21.4

OR: 10 Form: 2.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Turners Cross

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.7

4/1

Kilmood Susan

12.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

20/1

New Theory

8.2

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Isabella Expert

5.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Miss Travers

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Vanilla Baby

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Morally Sound

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Star Allure

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Real Life

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Snapdragon	90	96	93
Turners Cross	87	90	60
Lunigiana	82	90	85
Kilmood Susan	71	82	69
New Theory	70	82	55
Isabella Expert	68	82	51
Morally Sound	—	—	—
Real Life	—	31	—
Vanilla Baby	—	69	45
Star Allure	—	64	43
Miss Travers	—	75	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Snapdragon	11d ago	Quick return
Vanilla Baby	22d ago	Fit
Miss Travers	22d ago	Fit
New Theory	25d ago	Fit
Turners Cross	32d ago	Fit
Isabella Expert	33d ago	Fit
Lunigiana	34d ago	Fit
Star Allure	123d ago	Long break
Kilmood Susan	124d ago	Long break
Real Life	170d ago	Long break
Morally Sound	—	—