Navan Racing Festival Real Deal Package On Sale Now Handicap (Div II)

Navan

17:25

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 1m6f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Charlie Darling Chestnut J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	137	—	617265	60	69	62	6d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Out-and-out stayer has been generally running well of late but others better handicapped
12 (6)	Say It So Bay J:W J Lee T:E McNamara	J:W J Lee T:E McNamara	131	tb	57-322	54	67	57	—	—	—	-9	5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Progressive hurdler; good runs in defeat on Turf previously and has to be on the shortlist
14 (16)	Billie Frechette Grey J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	125	—	894552	55	67	54	9d	—	—	-3	9.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Recent Thurles second going the right way; contender if staying this longer trip
1 (5)	Lady Kai Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Ross O'Sullivan	142	p	46-141	65	64	52	26d	—	—	-8	8.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Progressive filly but 10lb higher than when C&D fourth so career-best required
5 (10)	Rauzan Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Eoin Doyle	J:J M Sheridan T:Eoin Doyle	138	p	35709-	61	67	-	—	—	—	-4	6.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Progressive hurdler; potentially well-handicapped on Flat return
4 (13)	Evolving Bay J:Julian Pietropaolo(10) T:Andrew Kinirons	J:Julian Pietropaolo(10) T:Andrew Kinirons	139	—	35-006	62	64	38	13d	—	—	-3	5.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Encouraging recent return on Flat at Thurles; rider enjoying a good spell
9 (20)	Young Lucy Black J:James Ryan(3) T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:James Ryan(3) T:Mrs C O'Leary	133	t	9-0084	56	74	47	77d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ideally wants it softer but on a decent mark so respected
3 (15)	Believe In Science Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	140	p	3-4523	63	68	59	90d	—	—	+2	6.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Knocking on the door over the summer off this mark; back from a break and respected
18 (2)	Bhean Saibhre Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	119	—	78-949	49	55	43	14d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Penultimate Roscommon effort had some merit; upped in trip here but 2lb wrong
7 (11)	Grann's Boy Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:H Rogers	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:H Rogers	137	—	1-7357	60	73	57	20d	—	—	+5	11.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Too keen at Bellewstown latest but on a decent mark now
10 (9)	Black Soul Bay J:Jack Cleary(7) T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:John E & Thomas Kiely	132	t	704947	55	70	53	13d	—	—	-2	2.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to deliver but remains of interest and rider's claim here a likely positive
19 (18)	Highland Bells Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	119	—	259025	49	65	56	14d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Penultimate C&D second offers hope despite being 2lb wrong here
11 (8)	Wendell's Lass Chestnut J:Nicola Burns(10) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Nicola Burns(10) T:Thomas Gibney	132	t	425/70	55	65	51	—	—	—	-1	2.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Just fair hurdles form of late, remains opposable off this Turf mark
20 (4)	Maxwell Smart Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:T G McCourt	J:Andrew Slattery T:T G McCourt	119	—	903648	49	67	23	12d	—	—	-1	1.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Couple of encouraging C&D efforts on good ground; too keen over inadequate trip latest
2 (17)	Scott Lang Grey J:Luke McAteer T:Paul W Flynn	J:Luke McAteer T:Paul W Flynn	141	p	65-400	64	70	30	6d	—	—	+2	4.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Sole Flat win came here in 2022 (1m5f, good) off 68; plenty to find on recent form
17 (3)	Ballinahulla Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Conor David Maxwell	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Conor David Maxwell	119	v	902086	49	67	49	20d	—	—	0	2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Touched off over 1m5f at Down Royal (good) last month but runs since disappointing
16 (7)	Lilac Lady Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	124	b	562658	47	70	64	13d	—	—	0	2.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Suited by better ground, return to 1m6f to suit but others preferred
8 (12)	Enquire Within Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:F G Hand	J:Robbie Colgan T:F G Hand	136	tp	242150	59	65	52	9d	—	—	+7	9.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soft ground may have been against her last time so not one to rule out
13 (14)	Wishes And Dreams Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Ben Coen T:Ciaran Murphy	129	tb	3-2407	52	62	14	12d	—	—	+2	2.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Recent AW run not without promise but fair bit more needed here
15 (19)	Lariat Chestnut J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	124	—	7/307-	47	60	43	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Absent since last Christmas and may well need this comeback run on yard debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Charlie Darling	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	4/1
Say It So	6/1	11/2	6/1	9/2	9/2
Billie Frechette	13/2	11/2	13/2	5/1	7/1
Lady Kai	9/2	5/1	9/2	13/2	9/2
Rauzan	7/1	15/2	7/1	17/2	7/1
Evolving	10/1	9/1	10/1	11/1	17/2
Young Lucy	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Believe In Science	20/1	16/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Bhean Saibhre	18/1	16/1	20/1	16/1	25/1
Grann's Boy	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Black Soul	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Highland Bells	33/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Wendell's Lass	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Maxwell Smart	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Scott Lang	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Ballinahulla	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Lilac Lady	40/1	50/1	40/1	33/1	50/1
Enquire Within	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Wishes And Dreams	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Lariat	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charlie Darling

11.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Grann's Boy

11.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Billie Frechette

9.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Enquire Within

9.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Lady Kai

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

13/2

Believe In Science

6.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Rauzan

6.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Evolving

5.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Say It So

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Highland Bells

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Scott Lang

4.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Young Lucy

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Wishes And Dreams

2.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Black Soul

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Wendell's Lass

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Lilac Lady

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ballinahulla

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Maxwell Smart

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Bhean Saibhre

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Lariat

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Kai	65	64	52
Scott Lang	64	70	30
Believe In Science	63	68	59
Evolving	62	64	38
Rauzan	61	67	—
Charlie Darling	60	69	62
Grann's Boy	60	73	57
Enquire Within	59	65	52
Young Lucy	56	74	47
Billie Frechette	55	67	54
Black Soul	55	70	53
Wendell's Lass	55	65	51
Say It So	54	67	57
Wishes And Dreams	52	62	14
Bhean Saibhre	49	55	43
Highland Bells	49	65	56
Maxwell Smart	49	67	23
Ballinahulla	49	67	49
Lilac Lady	47	70	64
Lariat	47	60	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charlie Darling	6d ago	Quick return
Scott Lang	6d ago	Quick return
Billie Frechette	9d ago	Quick return
Enquire Within	9d ago	Quick return
Maxwell Smart	12d ago	Quick return
Wishes And Dreams	12d ago	Quick return
Evolving	13d ago	Quick return
Black Soul	13d ago	Quick return
Lilac Lady	13d ago	Quick return
Bhean Saibhre	14d ago	Fit
Highland Bells	14d ago	Fit
Grann's Boy	20d ago	Fit
Ballinahulla	20d ago	Fit
Lady Kai	26d ago	Fit
Young Lucy	77d ago	Fresh
Believe In Science	90d ago	Fresh
Say It So	—	—
Rauzan	—	—
Wendell's Lass	—	—
Lariat	—	—