William Hill Top Price Guarantee Mercury Stakes (Group 3)

Dundalk (AW)

19:30

Date 2024-10-25

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo+

Prize €32,450

Winning Time 58.60s (slow by 0.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ostraka (IRE) James Ryan · Daniel James Murphy	66/1	Won
2nd	Powerful Nation (IRE) Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	7/2	0.2
3rd	Electric Storm (IRE) Ben Coen · James Tate	100/30J	0.3
4th	Valiant Force (USA) David Egan · Adrian Murray	14/1	0.1
5th	Albasheer (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	100/30J	.5
6th	Star Of Lady M (GB) Ronan Whelan · David O'Meara	5/1	1.25
7th	Tees Spirit (GB) Mia Nicholls · Adrian Nicholls	28/1	.75
8th	Lady With The Lamp (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	12/1	0.2
9th	Arnhem (IRE) Shane Foley · M G Quinn	100/1	0.3
10th	Seraphim Angel (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	33/1	.75
11th	Samrogue (IRE) Leigh Roche · Ross O'Sullivan	100/1	.75
12th	His Majesty (IRE) Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien	9/1	1
13th	Over The Blues (IRE) Colin Keane · Patrick T Foley	18/1	0.3

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Electric Storm Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:James Tate	J:Ben Coen T:James Tate	137	—	-21262	101	112	-	40d	—	—	+10	30.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Touched off in French Group 3's; interesting to see if she can reproduce that back on AW
1 (13)	Albasheer Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	140	b	100247	107	114	-	34d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	22.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Dual AW winner; heavy ground against him last time at Newbury but likely major player here
11 (11)	Powerful Nation Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	122	—	21213	101	104	88	21d	—	—	+16	34.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Recent C&D third to Lady With The Lampo when hampered; tough task taking on his elders
10 (10)	Star Of Lady M Grey J:Ronan Whelan T:David O'Meara	J:Ronan Whelan T:David O'Meara	137	v	321181	110	97	91	35d	—	—	+25	37.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Filly thriving this year, recent Ayr Listed win a career-best; big player
3 (7)	His Majesty Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	140	—	4326-8	102	103	-	26d	—	—	+7	15.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Decent 2yo but recent belated seasonal return leaves him with a bit to find
12 (8)	Lady With The Lamp Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	119	—	31631	98	103	88	21d	—	—	+22	29.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Got up for C&D Listed win for 2yos recently; more needed taking on her elders
5 (1)	Valiant Force Roan J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	140	—	240901	101	105	72	21d	—	—	+18	24.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Smart 2yo form absent this year but recent C&D win a confidence-booster
8 (12)	Over The Blues Bay J:Colin Keane T:Patrick T Foley	J:Colin Keane T:Patrick T Foley	137	—	31255	92	95	-	40d	—	—	+13	17.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Good run in Curragh premier handicap latest but this a much stiffer task on paper
4 (9)	Tees Spirit Brown J:Mia Nicholls T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls T:Adrian Nicholls	140	—	019031	104	105	-	31d	—	—	+24	28.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Recent Beverly winner; could make a bold bid if handling surface (AW debut)
13 (5)	Seraphim Angel Brown J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	119	—	416081	85	91	-	39d	—	—	+19	21.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Recent Windsor winner but whole different level of opposition here
7 (3)	Ostraka Bay J:James Ryan T:Daniel James Murphy	J:James Ryan T:Daniel James Murphy	137	b	601167	83	100	-	20d	—	—	+15	16.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Revival of fortunes this year for new yard on turf, big ask here however on AW return
2 (6)	Arnhem Bay J:Shane Foley T:M G Quinn	J:Shane Foley T:M G Quinn	140	p	060043	90	100	64	21d	—	—	+12	13.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Recent C&D third to Valiant Force was a fine effort but stiff task here at the weights
9 (2)	Samrogue Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Leigh Roche T:Ross O'Sullivan	137	—	506125	86	95	64	54d	—	—	+17	17.7	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Safely held in Listed company latest and even stiffer task awaits here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Electric Storm	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Albasheer	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Powerful Nation	7/2	9/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Star Of Lady M	7/1	11/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
His Majesty	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	10/1
Lady With The Lamp	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Valiant Force	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Over The Blues	22/1	18/1	22/1	18/1	22/1
Tees Spirit	25/1	20/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Seraphim Angel	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Ostraka	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Arnhem	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Samrogue	125/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Star Of Lady M

37.6

OR: 15 Form: 19 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Powerful Nation

34.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5.4

9/2

3rd

Electric Storm

30.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Lady With The Lamp

29.8

OR: 12 Form: 15.7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Tees Spirit

28.8

OR: 13.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Valiant Force

24.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Albasheer

22.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Seraphim Angel

21.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Over The Blues

17.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Samrogue

17.7

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ostraka

16.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.3

100/1

His Majesty

15.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Arnhem

13.2

OR: 10 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Star Of Lady M	110	97	91
Albasheer	107	114	—
Tees Spirit	104	105	—
His Majesty	102	103	—
Electric Storm	101	112	—
Powerful Nation	101	104	88
Valiant Force	101	105	72
Lady With The Lamp	98	103	88
Over The Blues	92	95	—
Arnhem	90	100	64
Samrogue	86	95	64
Seraphim Angel	85	91	—
Ostraka	83	100	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ostraka	20d ago	Fit
Powerful Nation	21d ago	Fit
Lady With The Lamp	21d ago	Fit
Valiant Force	21d ago	Fit
Arnhem	21d ago	Fit
His Majesty	26d ago	Fit
Tees Spirit	31d ago	Fit
Albasheer	34d ago	Fit
Star Of Lady M	35d ago	Fit
Seraphim Angel	39d ago	Fit
Electric Storm	40d ago	Fit
Over The Blues	40d ago	Fit
Samrogue	54d ago	Fresh