Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

12:17

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-12-12

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Winning Time 2m 11.43s (slow by 4.93s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Royal Approval (IRE) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	5/2	Won
2nd	Stifling (GB) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	9/4	1
3rd	King Chaos (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Rebecca Menzies	13/2	.75
4th	Cadarn (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · George Boughey	15/8F	6.5
5th	Breakwater (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	50/1	3.25
6th	Toby Tops (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Dylan Cunha	50/1	5
7th	Bella Puledra (GB) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	300/1	3.25
8th	Dark Agent (IRE) Harry Burns · Rebecca Menzies	300/1	.75
9th	Chantilly Moon (GB) Cam Hardie · Peter Niven	300/1	3
10th	Yes Sir (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	14/1	11
11th	Brave Musketeer (GB) Brandon Wilkie · Ian McInnes	300/1	2.5
12th	Keeper Of Secrets (GB) Andrew Mullen · Rebecca Menzies	300/1	27

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Cadarn Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:George Boughey	J:Paul Mulrennan T:George Boughey	131	t	22	-	92	93	26d	—	—	-12	17.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Runner-up on both Flat starts (C&D and 1m4f at Wolverhampton); a leading player.
12 (10)	Stifling Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	126	—	4-	-	87	-	454d	—	—	-23	10.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Promise when running-on fourth on Doncaster debut (7f, soft) in September 2023; off since.
8 (6)	Royal Approval Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	131	—	8	-	75	-	180d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Low-key Sandown debut (1m2f) in June; off for six months since and gelded.
7 (3)	King Chaos Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	131	—	33	-	89	70	52d	—	—	-6	9.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Joined Rebecca Menzies for 38,000gns; contender on what he's shown for Karl Burke
10 (11)	Yes Sir Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
230,000euros breeze-up buy last May; late debut the market moves should offer advice.
9 (2)	Toby Tops Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	131	—	66	-	70	42	24d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Better when switched to Tapeta at Southwell (1m; sixth, 66-1); may have more too offer
4 (9)	Breakwater Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	4-9	-	75	-	45d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Failed to beat single rival at Redcar (1m2f, soft) seven weeks ago after nearly a year off
3 (12)	Dark Agent Grey J:Harry Burns(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	133	—	89	-	63	14	9d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Always behind both starts (1m2f/12.5f); one of three declared for Rebecca Menzies.
1 (7)	Brave Musketeer Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Ian McInnes	133	—	53	-	36	-	44d	—	—	+3	3.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Well beaten both starts, a remote third of five here (1m novice; 250-1) last time.
2 (8)	Chantilly Moon Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Fourth in a Catterick bumper last December; pulled up on all three starts over hurdles.
6 (1)	Keeper Of Secrets Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	131	—	—	-	49	-	9d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Very slowly away when last of 12 on debut in a 12.5f novice here (250-1) last week.
11 (4)	Bella Puledra Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	128	—	0-	-	-	-	583d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Slowly away, reportedly running in snatches, on C&D debut (250-1, beaten 30l) in May 2023.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Cadarn	2/1	2/1	2/1	7/4	15/8
Stifling	6/4	15/8	15/8	2/1	11/8
Royal Approval	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
King Chaos	7/1	6/1	13/2	6/1	9/1
Yes Sir	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Toby Tops	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Breakwater	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
Dark Agent	250/1	150/1	200/1	250/1	250/1
Brave Musketeer	300/1	300/1	300/1	250/1	250/1
Chantilly Moon	300/1	300/1	300/1	250/1	250/1
Keeper Of Secrets	300/1	300/1	300/1	250/1	250/1
Bella Puledra	300/1	300/1	300/1	250/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cadarn

17.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Stifling

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

2/1

3rd

King Chaos

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4.4

9/1

Royal Approval

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Brave Musketeer

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Yes Sir

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Toby Tops

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Breakwater

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Dark Agent

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Chantilly Moon

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Keeper Of Secrets

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Bella Puledra

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cadarn	—	92	93
Stifling	—	87	—
Royal Approval	—	75	—
King Chaos	—	89	70
Yes Sir	—	—	—
Toby Tops	—	70	42
Breakwater	—	75	—
Dark Agent	—	63	14
Brave Musketeer	—	36	—
Chantilly Moon	—	—	—
Keeper Of Secrets	—	49	—
Bella Puledra	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dark Agent	9d ago	Quick return
Keeper Of Secrets	9d ago	Quick return
Toby Tops	24d ago	Fit
Cadarn	26d ago	Fit
Brave Musketeer	44d ago	Fit
Breakwater	45d ago	Fit
King Chaos	52d ago	Fresh
Royal Approval	180d ago	Long break
Stifling	454d ago	Long break
Bella Puledra	583d ago	Long break
Yes Sir	—	—
Chantilly Moon	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.