Heat Your Home With Alpha Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Warwick

12:55

Date 2024-12-12

Distance 2m5f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,540

Winning Time 5m 25.71s (slow by 27.71s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Reallyntruthfully (IRE) Harry Bannister · Kim Bailey	12/1	Won
2nd	Aviation (IRE) Tom Cannon · Lucy Wadham	9/1	4
3rd	Jaccours (FR) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy	7/2	.5
4th	Histrionic (IRE) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	11/2	1.25
5th	Doctor Midas (FR) Paul O'Brien · Nicky Henderson	33/1	25
6th	Drumheller (IRE) Niall Houlihan · Nick Gifford	200/1	11
7th	Jafimgoso (GB) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	66/1	11
8th	Tony's Tipple (IRE) Jack Andrews · T Ellis	250/1	12
9th	Kicks And Ale (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Richard Rowe	300/1	8.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Bear Market (IRE) Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	4/5F
Fell	Jacques Clouseau (IRE) Charlie Deutsch · Mel Rowley	28/1
P.U.	Poete Ardent (FR) Richard Patrick · Clive Boultbee-Brooks	300/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Bear Market Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	158	—	1-1	-	-	-	209d	—	—	-18	35.7	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Bumper winner whose pedigree suggests this step up in trip will be right up his street
6	Jaccours Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	158	—	44-42	115	118	75	32d	—	—	+3	21.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved for the step up in trip when runner-up at Ffos Las and he could be in the mix
5	Histrionic Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	t	1/375-	-	-	-	236d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Point winner who should relish the step up in trip on his hurdle debut; in calculations
1	Aviation Grey J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	158	—	43	-	119	106	21d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
3rd over 2m here on hurdle debut three weeks ago and bred to be suited by this longer trip
11	Reallyntruthfully Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Kim Bailey	J:Harry Bannister T:Kim Bailey	158	—	2/4-3	-	114	101	217d	—	—	0	7.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Point winner who made the frame on first two rules starts and is in good hands to progress
7	Jacques Clouseau Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	158	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+8	10.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won on debut in British maiden point then sold for £72,000; not discounted on rules debut
3	Doctor Midas Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Henderson	J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Henderson	158	—	5	-	-	-	215d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well beaten on sole bumper start but should leave that form well behind at some stage
8	Jafimgoso Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	158	—	1-24B0	-	108	80	21d	—	—	+6	7.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Bumper winner but things haven't gone to plan this autumn; needs to get back on track
4	Drumheller Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Nick Gifford	J:Niall Houlihan T:Nick Gifford	158	—	34-6	-	91	18	30d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Fair 3rd on debut in bumper last November but well beaten at 50-1 over hurdles last month
9	Kicks And Ale Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Rowe	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Rowe	158	—	P1/5/	-	-	-	606d	—	—	0	0.1	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Point winner in May 2021 but just one run since, when tailed off in bumper in April 2023
10	Poete Ardent Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	J:Richard Patrick T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Half-brother to several winners but makes debut in what looks a warm race
12	Tony's Tipple Bay J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:T Ellis	J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:T Ellis	158	—	P968	-	97	59	28d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Hasn't shown enough to suggest he'll be making an impact today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bear Market	4/6	4/6	4/6	4/7	4/7
Jaccours	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Histrionic	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Aviation	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Reallyntruthfully	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Jacques Clouseau	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	40/1
Doctor Midas	66/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	50/1
Jafimgoso	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Drumheller	200/1	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1
Kicks And Ale	400/1	300/1	300/1	300/1	300/1
Poete Ardent	400/1	250/1	300/1	300/1	300/1
Tony's Tipple	250/1	150/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bear Market

35.7

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 18.7

4/6

2nd

Jaccours

21.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Jacques Clouseau

10.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Histrionic

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Reallyntruthfully

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Jafimgoso

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Aviation

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Doctor Midas

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Drumheller

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Poete Ardent

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Tony's Tipple

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Kicks And Ale

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jaccours	115	118	75
Bear Market	—	—	—
Histrionic	—	—	—
Aviation	—	119	106
Reallyntruthfully	—	114	101
Jacques Clouseau	—	—	—
Doctor Midas	—	—	—
Jafimgoso	—	108	80
Drumheller	—	91	18
Kicks And Ale	—	—	—
Poete Ardent	—	—	—
Tony's Tipple	—	97	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aviation	21d ago	Fit
Jafimgoso	21d ago	Fit
Tony's Tipple	28d ago	Fit
Drumheller	30d ago	Fit
Jaccours	32d ago	Fit
Bear Market	209d ago	Long break
Doctor Midas	215d ago	Long break
Reallyntruthfully	217d ago	Long break
Histrionic	236d ago	Long break
Kicks And Ale	606d ago	Long break
Jacques Clouseau	—	—
Poete Ardent	—	—