Northumbria Leisure For Juke Boxes Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Northumbria Leisure For Juke Boxes Handicap

Date 2025-10-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 13.17s (slow by 2.77s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Real McKay (IRE) P J McDonald · Michael Herrington	9/2	Won
2nd	Yellow Lemons (FR) Joanna Mason · Katie Scott	20/1	1.25
3rd	She'sashambles (IRE) Shane Gray · Phillip Makin	16/5F	0.05
4th	Flash The Dash (IRE) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Julie Camacho	5/1	.5
5th	Run This Way (GB) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	16/1	.5
6th	Desert Master (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	5/1	1.75
7th	Sadiiki (GB) Andrew Mullen · Fred Watson	33/1	1.75
8th	Rain Cap (GB) Oisin Orr · John David Riches	6/1	.75
9th	Ifonlytheycudtalk (IRE) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	6/1	0.05

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Rain Cap Bay J:Oisin Orr T:John David Riches	J:Oisin Orr T:John David Riches	133	v	642122	53	67	-	48d	—	—	+5	20.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
All eight wins on turf, including when scoring at Pontefract in July, but 2nd twice on AW.
3 (1)	The Real McKay Bay J:P J McDonald T:Michael Herrington	J:P J McDonald T:Michael Herrington	135	—	546828	55	66	49	15d	—	—	-7	9.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-8 for current yard but was close second at Yarmouth two runs back.
2 (7)	Flash The Dash Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	135	—	36-516	55	66	59	241d	—	—	-10	5.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two of his three wins have come here, including over C&D.
5 (8)	Desert Master Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	128	b	092745	48	66	58	11d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
All three wins have been off higher marks over 5f, including here in February 2024.
6 (5)	She'sashambles Bay J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	126	—	863047	46	63	61	25d	—	—	-9	4.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
1-25, her sole win in a classified at Thirsk in August last year.
7 (4)	Ifonlytheycudtalk Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	126	p	707730	46	63	51	17d	—	—	-5	4.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
1-29, but ran well when third back on AW at Southwell last month.
1 (3)	Run This Way Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	7-9768	55	60	48	120d	—	—	-2	2.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
All six wins have been on turf; has not been in the same form this year and returns to AW.
9 (9)	Yellow Lemons Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	126	p	760890	46	57	-	13d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Yet to be placed from 13 starts, it is difficult to muster any enthusiasm for her chances.
8 (6)	Sadiiki Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Fred Watson	J:Andrew Mullen T:Fred Watson	126	h	68-444	46	58	48	74d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Fourth in three classifieds this year, this is a tougher assignment on her handicap debut.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rain Cap	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
The Real McKay	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Flash The Dash	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Desert Master	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
She'sashambles	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Ifonlytheycudtalk	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	8/1
Run This Way	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Yellow Lemons	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Sadiiki	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rain Cap

20.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 15 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

The Real McKay

9.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Flash The Dash

5.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Desert Master

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

She'sashambles

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

5/1

Ifonlytheycudtalk

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Run This Way

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Yellow Lemons

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Sadiiki

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Real McKay	55	66	49
Flash The Dash	55	66	59
Run This Way	55	60	48
Rain Cap	53	67	—
Desert Master	48	66	58
She'sashambles	46	63	61
Ifonlytheycudtalk	46	63	51
Yellow Lemons	46	57	—
Sadiiki	46	58	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desert Master	11d ago	Quick return
Yellow Lemons	13d ago	Quick return
The Real McKay	15d ago	Fit
Ifonlytheycudtalk	17d ago	Fit
She'sashambles	25d ago	Fit
Rain Cap	48d ago	Fresh
Sadiiki	74d ago	Fresh
Run This Way	120d ago	Long break
Flash The Dash	241d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.