Carnarvon Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Sha Tin

18:00

Date 2025-12-07

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £67,407

Winning Time 1m 9.90s (slow by 0.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Embrace Aberdeen (AUS) Matthew Poon · F C Lor	59/1	Won
2nd	Aurio (AUS) James Orman · K L Man	31/10	0.1
3rd	Vigor Eye (NZ) Brenton Avdulla · David A Hayes	27/10F	1.75
4th	Diriya (AUS) Maxime Guyon · C H Yip	24/1	1
5th	Invictus Dragon (AUS) C Y Ho · K W Lui	58/10	0.3
6th	Gastronomique (NZ) Zac Purton · J Size	10/1	.5
7th	Brownneedsfurther (AUS) L J Ferraris · D J Hall	10/1	.75
8th	Sea Sapphire (AUS) Angus Chung · David Eustace	19/1	.5
9th	Absolute Honour (IRE) Lyle Hewitson · A S Cruz	73/1	0.3
10th	Little Monster (AUS) Jerry Chau · W K Mo	14/1	2
11th	Flying Christie (AUS) M L Yeung · P C Ng	61/1	.75
12th	Autumn Vibes (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · Jamie Richards	23/5	3.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Ka Ying Warrior Bay J:TBC T:B Crawford	J: T:B Crawford	121	—	015936	48	74	-	28d	—	—	—	4.1	—	—
Fair sixth on stable debut; could go well if he has come on for that comeback run
R14 (14)	Malpensa Bay J:TBC T:W Y So	J: T:W Y So	125	t	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Won a trial in New Zealand and runner-up in two more in Hong Kong; official debut today
1 (7)	Aurio Chestnut J:James Orman T:K L Man	J:James Orman T:K L Man	129	t	63879R	56	72	-	22d	—	1W/1P 1 run	—	1.5	—	—
Third twice last season but refused to race in May; others look less risky
2 (6)	Brownneedsfurther Bay J:L J Ferraris T:D J Hall	J:L J Ferraris T:D J Hall	125	p	823	52	71	-	35d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Placed on last two outings; improving steadily and new cheekpieces may aid his cause
3 (9)	Embrace Aberdeen Bay J:Matthew Poon T:F C Lor	J:Matthew Poon T:F C Lor	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Has failed to win any of his eight trials so does not appeal as a first-time-out winner
4 (5)	Flying Christie Bay J:M L Yeung T:P C Ng	J:M L Yeung T:P C Ng	125	htb	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Twice runner-up in early trials but has not reproduced that form recently; best watched
5 (2)	Vigor Eye Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:David A Hayes	J:Brenton Avdulla T:David A Hayes	125	—	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Has shown talent in trials, winning his last two; likely contender despite inexperience
6 (12)	Little Monster Brown J:Jerry Chau(2) T:W K Mo	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:W K Mo	124	ht	402	51	73	-	28d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Unexposed 4yo; kept on well for second over 5f last month and now moves up in trip
7 (4)	Invictus Dragon Bay J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	122	—	505	49	73	-	22d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Outran odds of 72-1 when staying on into fifth, beaten by just 1l, over C&D last time out
8 (11)	Absolute Honour Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:A S Cruz	J:Lyle Hewitson T:A S Cruz	121	tb	000580	48	75	-	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	0	—	—
Dual 7f winner in Ireland but yet to make a splash after 11 Hong Kong starts
9 (1)	Gastronomique Bay J:Zac Purton T:J Size	J:Zac Purton T:J Size	121	t	670	48	68	-	32d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Needs significant improvement but is still unexposed and Zac Purton takes the ride
10 (10)	Autumn Vibes Chestnut J:Andrea Atzeni T:Jamie Richards	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Jamie Richards	120	t	077264	47	74	-	22d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
0-8 but has displayed plenty of speed and run well in all three outings this season
11 (3)	Diriya Chestnut J:Maxime Guyon T:C H Yip	J:Maxime Guyon T:C H Yip	120	—	4590	47	75	-	22d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Launched career with two encouraging efforts but well held twice since
12 (8)	Sea Sapphire Chestnut J:Angus Chung(2) T:David Eustace	J:Angus Chung(2) T:David Eustace	120	tb	125500	47	75	-	70d	—	—	—	1	—	—
Dual C&D winner but needs to leave form of his two tame efforts this season well behind

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brownneedsfurther

OR: 0.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Little Monster

5.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Ka Ying Warrior

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0

—

Autumn Vibes

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Aurio

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sea Sapphire

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Malpensa

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Flying Christie

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Vigor Eye

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Embrace Aberdeen

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Invictus Dragon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Absolute Honour

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gastronomique

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Diriya

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aurio	56	72	—
Malpensa	52	—	—
Brownneedsfurther	52	71	—
Flying Christie	52	—	—
Vigor Eye	52	—	—
Little Monster	51	73	—
Invictus Dragon	49	73	—
Ka Ying Warrior	48	74	—
Absolute Honour	48	75	—
Gastronomique	48	68	—
Autumn Vibes	47	74	—
Diriya	47	75	—
Sea Sapphire	47	75	—
Embrace Aberdeen	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Absolute Honour	14d ago	Fit
Aurio	22d ago	Fit
Invictus Dragon	22d ago	Fit
Autumn Vibes	22d ago	Fit
Diriya	22d ago	Fit
Ka Ying Warrior	28d ago	Fit
Little Monster	28d ago	Fit
Gastronomique	32d ago	Fit
Brownneedsfurther	35d ago	Fit
Sea Sapphire	70d ago	Fresh
Malpensa	—	—
Embrace Aberdeen	—	—
Flying Christie	—	—
Vigor Eye	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 10 draws with historical results at this course and distance.