Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap

Date 2025-12-16

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 59.76s (slow by 2.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Our Absent Friends (IRE) Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson	6/1	Won
2nd	Ganesha (GB) Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	4/1J	.75
3rd	Bibendum (GB) Cieren Fallon · Julie Camacho	9/2	1
4th	Harb (GB) David Nolan · Tristan Davidson	17/2	0.2
5th	Lady Of The Garr (IRE) Luke Morris · Tracy Waggott	28/1	.5
6th	Water Of Leith (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	4/1J	1
7th	Good Point (GB) Conor Orr · Bryan Smart	18/1	.75
8th	Thunderstorm Katie (GB) Lauren Young · Jim Goldie	9/1	0.2
9th	Invincible Annice (IRE) Amie Waugh · Tracy Waggott	33/1	1
10th	Carlton And Co (GB) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	9/1	0.3
11th	High Opinion (GB) Aiden Brookes · Bryan Smart	12/1	1
12th	Tickets (GB) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	28/1	.75
13th	Stroxx (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	80/1	2.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Ganesha Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	134	—	433042	64	76	68	11d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win in March came off 3lb higher; good second here latest; contender
2 (5)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	907676	65	71	63	28d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-6	7.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Drop to Class 6 in his favour and he's likely to step up on some modest recent efforts
7 (13)	Bibendum Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Julie Camacho	J:Cieren Fallon T:Julie Camacho	132	v	136271	62	77	62	19d	—	—	+6	20.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Impressive over C&D last month but a 6lb rise and stronger opposition asks more of him
9 (4)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	130	—	184345	60	76	60	11d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-3	6.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
On a fair mark and running okay of late but he needs to raise his game to win
8 (3)	Thunderstorm Katie Bay J:Lauren Young(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(5) T:Jim Goldie	132	—	534116	62	73	67	14d	—	—	+9	18.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Five wins since July, including C&D; not at her best over 6f; could revive back at 5f
1 (9)	Carlton And Co Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	135	v	419512	65	75	68	19d	—	—	+11	20.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In good form at present and latest Chelmsford secnd was a solid effort; high on the list
3 (2)	Harb Bay J:David Nolan T:Tristan Davidson	J:David Nolan T:Tristan Davidson	135	—	414560	65	73	56	45d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	7.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Form has dipped here on his last two starts; needs the drop in class to revive fortunes
5 (8)	High Opinion Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Bryan Smart	134	—	348797	64	74	-	48d	—	—	-1	5.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner; not at his best of late but drops in class now returning to AW
6 (10)	Good Point Brown J:Conor Orr(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Conor Orr(3) T:Bryan Smart	134	—	204256	64	76	69	17d	—	—	+2	7.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Modest strike-rate but on a good mark on recent best; each-way claims
11 (7)	Tickets Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	125	—	841805	55	73	63	26d	—	—	+1	5.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Latest run was a step back in the right direction; needs strong pace at 5f but capable
10 (12)	Invincible Annice Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tracy Waggott	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tracy Waggott	125	p	403188	55	74	63	7d	—	—	+5	7.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
C&D winner last month but she has come up short twice since; others appeal more
13 (1)	Lady Of The Garr Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tracy Waggott	J:Luke Morris T:Tracy Waggott	121	—	255250	51	76	71	50d	—	—	+1	3.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Poor run over C&D in October and she can blow the start; others appeal more
12 (11)	Stroxx Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	123	—	214826	53	76	39	210d	—	—	+5	6.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
C&D winner; fair mark but may come on for this first start since May

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ganesha	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Water Of Leith	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bibendum	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Our Absent Friends	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Thunderstorm Katie	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Carlton And Co	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Harb	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
High Opinion	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Good Point	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tickets	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Invincible Annice	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Lady Of The Garr	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Stroxx	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Carlton And Co

20.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 14 Odds: 2.5

8/1

2nd

Bibendum

20.1

OR: 3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Thunderstorm Katie

18.3

OR: 3 Form: 12.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Ganesha

14.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Invincible Annice

7.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Water Of Leith

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Harb

7.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.8

12/1

Good Point

7.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.5

14/1

Our Absent Friends

6.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Stroxx

6.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Tickets

5.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

22/1

High Opinion

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Lady Of The Garr

3.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Water Of Leith	65	71	63
Carlton And Co	65	75	68
Harb	65	73	56
Ganesha	64	76	68
High Opinion	64	74	—
Good Point	64	76	69
Bibendum	62	77	62
Thunderstorm Katie	62	73	67
Our Absent Friends	60	76	60
Tickets	55	73	63
Invincible Annice	55	74	63
Stroxx	53	76	39
Lady Of The Garr	51	76	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Invincible Annice	7d ago	Quick return
Ganesha	11d ago	Quick return
Our Absent Friends	11d ago	Quick return
Thunderstorm Katie	14d ago	Fit
Good Point	17d ago	Fit
Bibendum	19d ago	Fit
Carlton And Co	19d ago	Fit
Tickets	26d ago	Fit
Water Of Leith	28d ago	Fit
Harb	45d ago	Fit
High Opinion	48d ago	Fresh
Lady Of The Garr	50d ago	Fresh
Stroxx	210d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.