SBK Betting Podcast Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

SBK Betting Podcast Handicap

Date 2026-02-06

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £18,319

Weather Drizzle

Temp 3.7°C

Wind 14mph E

Rain 99%

Winning Time 1m 25.57s (slow by 1.57s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Benacre (IRE) Oliver Stammers · Charlie Johnston	10/1	Won
2nd	The Dragon King (IRE) Hector Crouch · Clive Cox	6/1	0.2
3rd	Little Empire (IRE) Harry Vigors · Anthony McCann	13/2	0.2
4th	Maximising (IRE) Joanna Mason · Kevin Philippart De Foy	100/30F	2.25
5th	Stenmark (IRE) Jason Hart · Denis Quinn	7/1	1
6th	Degale (GB) Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	16/1	2.25
7th	Purest Time (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Ian Williams	7/1	0.3
8th	They All Know Me (GB) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	17/2	1.5
9th	Sunriseontheboyne (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Ben Haslam	28/1	1.5
10th	Tolstoy (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Brian Ellison	6/1	2.25
11th	Society Man (FR) Tom Marquand · Charlie Johnston	33/1	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (10)	Maximising Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Joanna Mason T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	8835-1	77	96	82	23d	—	—	+4	22	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Low-mileage 4yo who scored readily at Lingfield most recently; the type to improve further
12 (11)	Tolstoy Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Brian Ellison	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Brian Ellison	130	p	707-54	76	92	76	14d	—	—	-2	9.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Too headstrong last time but has a fighting chance off current mark provided he settles
2 (1)	Purest Time Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	138	—	230-50	84	89	68	21d	—	—	0	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-11 in Britain (placed four times) but has a chance with this drop in class
3 (3)	The Dragon King Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Clive Cox	J:Hector Crouch T:Clive Cox	138	—	56651-	84	90	79	74d	—	—	+12	21.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Absent since Wolverhampton win 74 days ago; still unexposed at 7f and on AW
8 (12)	Stenmark Bay J:Jason Hart T:Denis Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:Denis Quinn	132	—	12563-	78	92	80	67d	—	—	+6	16.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
This return from 67-day break may be the time to catch him (gained sole win fresh)
5 (7)	Little Empire Bay J:Harry Vigors(7) T:Anthony McCann	J:Harry Vigors(7) T:Anthony McCann	136	p	332-23	82	95	82	9d	—	—	+1	10.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Irish 6yo who has largely consistent AW form; placed five times since last win
10 (8)	They All Know Me Grey J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	131	p	2233-2	77	91	44	25d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Consistent maiden; first win is possible if he takes well to first-time headgear
9 (5)	Benacre Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	402-72	78	94	74	6d	—	—	+1	9.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Close second in last two attempts over C&D; may remain competitive
6 (4)	Degale Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	136	—	31/20-	82	93	24	138d	—	—	+3	9.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Folded tamely when last seen but had wind surgery since and may still do better
4 (9)	Sunriseontheboyne Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	138	—	82671-	84	92	-	136d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+17	21	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Record of 3-6 on AW and 3-22 on turf in Ireland; won by 5l when last seen; new yard
1 (2)	Society Man Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	139	p	0166-5	85	91	66	31d	—	—	+6	9.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Inconsistent in Britain but has possibilities if taking well to first-time headgear
NR (6)	North View Bay J:Jack Dace(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Jack Dace(5) T:Stuart Williams	136	—	3482-1	82	91	80	26d	—	—	—	18	—	—
Merely pushed out to open his AW account in Chelmsford event on stable/seasonal debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Maximising	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Tolstoy	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Purest Time	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
The Dragon King	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Stenmark	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Little Empire	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
They All Know Me	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Benacre	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Degale	14/1	11/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Sunriseontheboyne	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Society Man	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
North View	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Maximising

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

The Dragon King

21.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Sunriseontheboyne

OR: 8.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1

28/1

North View

OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Stenmark

16.6

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

They All Know Me

14.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Purest Time

11.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Little Empire

10.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Tolstoy

9.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Degale

9.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Society Man

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Benacre

9.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Society Man	85	91	66
Purest Time	84	89	68
The Dragon King	84	90	79
Sunriseontheboyne	84	92	—
Little Empire	82	95	82
Degale	82	93	24
North View	82	91	80
Stenmark	78	92	80
Benacre	78	94	74
Maximising	77	96	82
They All Know Me	77	91	44
Tolstoy	76	92	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Benacre	6d ago	Quick return
Little Empire	9d ago	Quick return
Tolstoy	14d ago	Fit
Purest Time	21d ago	Fit
Maximising	23d ago	Fit
They All Know Me	25d ago	Fit
North View	26d ago	Fit
Society Man	31d ago	Fit
Stenmark	67d ago	Fresh
The Dragon King	74d ago	Fresh
Sunriseontheboyne	136d ago	Long break
Degale	138d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.